8A
Avg power- 1Meck Power Six6 of 6 teams rated · best: Chambers99.0
- 2Central Piedmont6 of 6 teams rated · best: Reagan93.2
- 3CAP8 of 8 teams rated · best: Millbrook92.4
Week08
This week's report
201 games, Oct 8–10
Ratings basis: 2645 2026 results, seeded with 2025. Home-field advantage 1.1 points. Weeks run Tuesday to Monday, so a Monday makeup counts in the week it was scheduled.
Winners picked, week 7
80%
154 of 193 decided games
Average miss, week 7
13.1 pts
predicted margin against the final
Results stored
1,361
games with an NC team this season
On the slate, week 8
201
Oct 8–10
Season 2026, week by week
PlayedThis weekAhead
This week
The top of the week 8 table as each rating system sees it, and the closest games among ranked teams.
Top 10
Ranked among the 418 teams in the week 8 table (5+ games). Other systems are ranked over the same teams.
| # | Team | Rec | Power | CV | Massey | MaxPreps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hough8A · Greater Charlotte | 6-0 | 133.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Weddington7A · Southern Carolina | 7-0 | 126.9 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 3 | Providence DayNCISAA I · NCISAA Big South | 5-1 | 123.9 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Millbrook8A · CAP | 5-0-1 | 121.4 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Grimsley7A · Metro | 6-0 | 121.1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Cleveland7A · Greater Neuse River | 6-0 | 120.5 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 7 | Lake Norman7A · North Piedmont | 6-0 | 119.1 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 8 | Reagan7A · Central Piedmont | 5-1 | 117.8 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 9 | Chambers8A · Meck Power Six | 6-0 | 117.6 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 10 | West Forsyth8A · Central Piedmont | 5-1 | 116.5 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 1 | Hough8A · Greater Charlotte | 6-0 | 133.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Providence DayNCISAA I · NCISAA Big South | 5-1 | 123.9 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Weddington7A · Southern Carolina | 7-0 | 126.9 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 4 | Grimsley7A · Metro | 6-0 | 121.1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Mallard Creek8A · Meck Power Six | 5-2 | 112.6 | 15 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Cleveland7A · Greater Neuse River | 6-0 | 120.5 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 7 | Millbrook8A · CAP | 5-0-1 | 121.4 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | West Forsyth8A · Central Piedmont | 5-1 | 116.5 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Cardinal Gibbons7A · Triangle Six | 4-2 | 114.0 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Lake Norman7A · North Piedmont | 6-0 | 119.1 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 1 | Hough8A · Greater Charlotte | 6-0 | 133.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Weddington7A · Southern Carolina | 7-0 | 126.9 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 3 | Grimsley7A · Metro | 6-0 | 121.1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Providence DayNCISAA I · NCISAA Big South | 5-1 | 123.9 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Lake Norman7A · North Piedmont | 6-0 | 119.1 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 6 | Reagan7A · Central Piedmont | 5-1 | 117.8 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 7 | Chambers8A · Meck Power Six | 6-0 | 117.6 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 8 | Mallard Creek8A · Meck Power Six | 5-2 | 112.6 | 15 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Myers Park8A · Greater Charlotte | 4-2 | 104.1 | 36 | 15 | 9 |
| 10 | Cardinal Gibbons7A · Triangle Six | 4-2 | 114.0 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 1 | Hough8A · Greater Charlotte | 6-0 | 133.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Providence DayNCISAA I · NCISAA Big South | 5-1 | 123.9 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Grimsley7A · Metro | 6-0 | 121.1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Weddington7A · Southern Carolina | 7-0 | 126.9 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 5 | Millbrook8A · CAP | 5-0-1 | 121.4 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Lake Norman7A · North Piedmont | 6-0 | 119.1 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 7 | Mallard Creek8A · Meck Power Six | 5-2 | 112.6 | 15 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Chambers8A · Meck Power Six | 6-0 | 117.6 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 9 | Cardinal Gibbons7A · Triangle Six | 4-2 | 114.0 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Cleveland7A · Greater Neuse River | 6-0 | 120.5 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
Rank all by Carolina Varsity →
Rank all:Statewide8A7A6A5A4A3A2A1ANCISAA INCISAA IINCISAA 88-MAN
Games to watch
The closest predictions where both teams rank in the top 80. Percent is the favorite's win probability.
- Fri Oct 9 Jacksonville@Junius H Rose 55% Pick: Junius H Rose 23–21
- Fri Oct 9 Charlotte Catholic@Sun Valley 56% Pick: Sun Valley 24–21
- Fri Oct 9 Cleveland@Garner 77% Pick: Cleveland 30–19
- Fri Oct 9 Lincolnton@Shelby 78% Pick: Shelby 30–19
- Fri Oct 9 Ashbrook@Kings Mountain 80% Pick: Kings Mountain 31–19
- Fri Oct 9 West Iredell@Hickory 86% Pick: Hickory 34–17
Statewide leaders
From the week 8 report, among the 418 teams with 5+ games. Offense and defense switch between points as scored and opponent-adjusted.
Top 10 offenses
PPG is points per game as scored. Adj is points above what the defenses they faced usually allow.
| # | Team | PPG | Adj |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Faith ChristianNCISAA 8 | 53.8 | +15.1 |
| 2 | John Paul II CatholicNCISAA 8 | 53.4 | +15.9 |
| 3 | Lincolnton3A | 52.7 | +16.2 |
| 4 | Pungo Christian AcademyNCISAA 8 | 51.0 | +6.1 |
| 5 | Wilkes Central4A | 49.0 | +9.0 |
| 6 | Hickory5A | 48.6 | +20.5 |
| 7 | Southeast Alamance5A | 48.1 | +19.3 |
| 8 | Lawrence AcademyNCISAA 8 | 47.5 | +13.6 |
| 9 | Fike5A | 47.0 | +16.0 |
| 10 | North Buncombe5A | 46.2 | +12.5 |
| 1 | Lake Norman7A | 42.5 | +21.4 |
| 2 | Hickory5A | 48.6 | +20.5 |
| 3 | Chambers8A | 43.5 | +20.3 |
| 4 | Southeast Alamance5A | 48.1 | +19.3 |
| 5 | Cleveland7A | 43.5 | +18.9 |
| 6 | Hertford County3A | 42.7 | +18.9 |
| 7 | Tuscola4A | 43.3 | +18.8 |
| 8 | Weddington7A | 38.7 | +18.6 |
| 9 | Princeton3A | 43.1 | +18.1 |
| 10 | Hough8A | 36.3 | +17.7 |
Top 10 defenses
PA/G is points allowed per game. Adj is points allowed against what the offenses they faced usually score, so lower is better.
| # | Team | PA/G | Adj |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jay M Robinson5A | 2.0 | -13.4 |
| 2 | Warren County2A | 2.0 | -15.3 |
| 3 | Millbrook8A | 2.8 | -23.8 |
| 4 | Glenn6A | 3.5 | -14.1 |
| 5 | Hough8A | 5.5 | -26.3 |
| 6 | Grimsley7A | 5.5 | -19.1 |
| 7 | Hickory Grove ChristianNCISAA II | 5.7 | -6.0 |
| 8 | Mountain Island Charter2A | 6.0 | -8.7 |
| 9 | Hickory Ridge7A | 6.5 | -12.3 |
| 10 | Northside5A | 6.7 | -18.9 |
| 1 | Hough8A | 5.5 | -26.3 |
| 2 | Millbrook8A | 2.8 | -23.8 |
| 3 | Providence DayNCISAA I | 13.0 | -20.1 |
| 4 | Reagan7A | 10.8 | -19.5 |
| 5 | Grimsley7A | 5.5 | -19.1 |
| 6 | Weddington7A | 9.9 | -19.1 |
| 7 | Northside5A | 6.7 | -18.9 |
| 8 | Junius H Rose6A | 12.3 | -18.4 |
| 9 | Jacksonville6A | 9.4 | -17.2 |
| 10 | Crest5A | 16.0 | -17.1 |
Top 10 toughest schedules
Strength of schedule on the report's rating scale. Higher is tougher.
| # | Team | Rec | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Providence DayNCISAA I | 5-1 | 37.8 |
| 2 | Mooresville7A | 2-4 | 36.8 |
| 3 | Hough8A | 6-0 | 36.6 |
| 4 | Rolesville8A | 3-2-1 | 34.8 |
| 5 | Mount Tabor6A | 2-4 | 33.4 |
| 6 | Mallard Creek8A | 5-2 | 32.8 |
| 7 | West Charlotte8A | 4-3 | 32.2 |
| 8 | Weddington7A | 7-0 | 31.3 |
| 9 | West Forsyth8A | 5-1 | 31.0 |
| 10 | Cardinal Gibbons7A | 4-2 | 31.0 |
Toughest conferences
The three strongest conferences in each classification, by the average power of every team in them that has played this season, from the week 8 report. A conference counts once it has 4 rated teams, and one that spans classifications is listed under each. Click a classification for all of its conferences, or a conference for its teams.
7A
Avg power- 1Meck Power Six6 of 6 teams rated · best: Chambers99.0
- 2Greater Neuse River7 of 7 teams rated · best: Cleveland98.8
- 3Big Carolina6 of 6 teams rated · best: Junius H Rose94.7
6A
Avg power- 1Big Carolina6 of 6 teams rated · best: Junius H Rose94.7
- 2Southern Carolina7 of 7 teams rated · best: Weddington92.5
- 3Triangle Six6 of 6 teams rated · best: Cardinal Gibbons87.5
5A
Avg power4A
Avg power- 1Western Foothills9 of 9 teams rated · best: Hickory83.3
- 2Rocky River6 of 6 teams rated · best: Monroe82.4
- 3Mountain Eight8 of 8 teams rated · best: Franklin77.4
3A
Avg power- 1Northeastern Coastal6 of 6 teams rated · best: Northeastern72.6
- 2Southern Piedmont9 of 9 teams rated · best: Shelby69.7
- 3Swine Valley6 of 7 teams rated · best: James Kenan69.7
2A
Avg power- 1Southern Piedmont9 of 9 teams rated · best: Shelby69.7
- 2Swine Valley6 of 7 teams rated · best: James Kenan69.7
- 3Eastern Plains6 of 6 teams rated · best: Tarboro68.8
1A
Avg power- 1Yadkin Valley8 of 8 teams rated · best: North Stanly59.4
- 2Smoky Mountain7 of 7 teams rated · best: Murphy56.6
- 3Carolina7 of 7 teams rated · best: East Bladen53.8
NCISAA I
Avg power- 1NCISAA Big South4 of 4 teams rated · best: Providence Day96.0
- 2NCISAA Big East4 of 4 teams rated · best: Trinity Christian74.1
NCISAA II
Avg power- 1NCISAA Big 65 of 5 teams rated · best: High Point Christian Academy75.7
- 2NCISAA Big East4 of 4 teams rated · best: Trinity Christian74.1
NCISAA 8
Avg power- 1NCISAA 8 Man Freelance9 of 9 teams rated · best: John Paul II Catholic50.8
- 2Christian Independent4 of 6 teams rated · best: Liberty Christian Academy40.4
Rank all conferences:All8A7A6A5A4A3A2A1ANCISAA INCISAA IINCISAA 88-MAN
Winningest coaches
North Carolina head-coaching records: every game in our archive for the seasons a coach is credited with, from HSFHA, the NCHSAA, NCHSFootball and MaxPreps, with a published stint filling a season no source names. Records outside North Carolina are HSFHA's. Still being completed: for 1980-1999 many seasons have no coach on record anywhere yet.
All-time
NC record- 1Jack HolleyTabor City 1964-69, 1972-81; Hallsboro 1970-71; Wallace-Rose Hill 1982-92, 1997-2008; South Columbus 1993-96; Harrells Christian Academy 2009-10418-126-8
- 2David GentryEdneyville 1974-83; Murphy 1984-2020 · 9 state titles406-173-2
- 3Burton CatesEastern Randolph 1984-2009, 2012, 2018-26; Lee County 2010-11, 2013-14, 2016-17 · 1 state title390-132
- 4Bob ParoliBenson 1958-63; Jacksonville 1964; Fike 1971-75; Cummings 1976-79; Douglas Byrd 1980-2004; Seventy-First 2005-12 · 1 state title375-191-11
- 5Jim TeagueEastern Alamance 1985-88; Garinger 1989-91; Reidsville 1992-2008, 2012-22 · 8 state titles371-102
- 6Tom BrownMaiden 1966-78, 1986-2004, 2006-07; Bunker Hill 1982-85; East Burke 2014-16 · 2 state titles354-139-7
- 7Jim OddoCharlotte Catholic 1973-2008, 2010-13 · 3 state titles350-142-2
- 8Bob LewisEast Bladen 1972-79; Pender 1980-85; Clinton 1988-2001, 2004, 2012-17; Harrells Christian Academy 2007; Whiteville 2008-09; South Brunswick 2020 · 4 state titles316-142-6
- 9Allen BrownCentral Davidson 1968; Thomasville 1973-99, 2008, 2010-13 · 4 state titles311-103-2
- 10Tom KnottsHarding University 1983-88; West Charlotte 1989-99; Independence 2000-03, 2005-09 · 7 state titles · 195-29-1 in SC309-45
Coaching in 2026
NC record- 1Burton CatesEastern Randolph 1984-2009, 2012, 2018-26; Lee County 2010-11, 2013-14, 2016-17 · 1 state title390-132
- 2Jeff CraddockTarboro 2004-26 · 8 state titles260-49
- 3Steve DavisDudley 2004-26 · 5 state titles250-60
- 4Richard BaileyJack Britt 2000-02, 2004, 2006-10; Scotland 2012-26237-76
- 5Antonio MooreNortheastern 2005-26235-58
- 6Donnie KieferSaint Pauls 1986-87; Southwest Guilford 1988-90; Gates County 1991-93; Andrews 1994-95; Hibriten 1996-98; Roanoke 1999-2003; East Carteret 2004-06; Tuscola 2007-11; Central Cabarrus 2012-16, 2022, 2025-26 · 55-34 in SC232-172-5
- 7John KirbyEastern Alamance 2001-02, 2004-23, 2025-26220-85-1
- 8Todd WillertEast Forsyth 2003-26 · 2 state titles208-87
- 9Johnny SowellMonroe 2004-11, 2013-26 · 2 state titles197-82
- 10Greg LloydKings Mountain 2004, 2007-22; East Gaston 2005-06; Starmount 2023; Crest 2024-26197-96
The record
Every week played, and how its picks held up in final games with an NC team. A tie has no winner to pick, so ties are left out.
Winners picked correctly
Share of decided games, by week. Hover or focus a week for the average miss.
Ahead
From the simulation stored Oct 6: 120 seasons over 2645 results.
- 09 Oct 13–19 202 games Closest projected: South Point @ Kings Mountain, 52% favorite
- 10 Oct 22–24 205 games Closest projected: Reagan @ West Forsyth, 58% favorite
- 11 Oct 29–31 204 games Closest projected: Kings Mountain @ Crest, 52% favorite
State title odds
Share of 120 simulated seasons ending in a title, each team within its own bracket.
- Providence DayNCISAA I 91%
- Northside1A 55%
- Hough8A 52%
- High Point Christian AcademyNCISAA II 52%
- John Paul II CatholicNCISAA 8 46%
- Shelby3A 41%
- Faith ChristianNCISAA 8 40%
- Asheville School (Independent)NCISAA II 40%
- Tarboro2A 38%
- Weddington7A 37%
Ratings desk
When each system last published. The report drops an outside column when its source has not published since before the first kickoff.
Carolina Varsity
Rebuilt weekly- Report
- Week 8, built 2026-10-06
- Basis
- 2645 2026 results, seeded with 2025
- Home field
- 1.1 pts
Our own ratings, refit from every result each time a report is written.
Massey
18 days old- As of
- Sep 19
- Filed as
- Week 5
- NC teams
- 428
Massey Ratings for North Carolina, captured every week.
MaxPreps
Current- As of
- Oct 4
- Filed as
- Week 8
- NC teams
- 417
MaxPreps state ratings, captured every week. MaxPreps replaces its numbers when it recomputes, so each week is kept as it stood.
Simmons
Current- As of
- Oct 1
- Filed as
- Week 8
- NC teams
- 427
Simmons Ratings for North Carolina, captured every week with the date the edition was published.
Built Sep 15, 2026
The 2026 season book
Every week on one page, played and projected, through the brackets to a champion. Built before the latest week report, so its played and projected weeks may be a week behind.
New for 2026
Girls flag football
NCHSAA's first sanctioned season: weekly results, power ratings and RPI by playoff group for every school fielding a team.