2026 North Carolina High School Football Report

Week 2 — August 27, 2026

Work in progress. This report is in active development. Ratings and projections will change as the system is refined, and some sections are not yet complete.
Ratings basis: 337 2026 results, seeded with 2025 Home field: +2.1 pts Generated August 24, 2026

Week 2 Projections

220 games. Sorted with the closest matchups first.

Thursday, August 27 — 1 games

MatchupProjected resultConfidence
Carver at Winston-Salem Preparatory AcadCarver 31–1897%

Friday, August 28 — 214 games

MatchupProjected resultConfidence
Hendersonville at West HendersonWest Henderson 30–2150%
South Johnston at FikeFike 31–1952%
Christ School at East RutherfordEast Rutherford 34–2553%
Forestview at East GastonForestview 35–1253%
West Wilkes at North SurryNorth Surry 28–2754%
Mount Pleasant at CarsonMount Pleasant 27–2654%
Thomasville at CummingsCummings 29–2156%
Anson at Montgomery CentralAnson 28–1556%
Roanoke Rapids at KIPP PrideKIPP Pride 30–2156%
Cherryville at OwenOwen 25–2456%
Burns at Kings MountainKings Mountain 26–2257%
Overhills at Harnett CentralHarnett Central 27–2657%
Northeast Guilford at Eastern AlamanceEastern Alamance 28–2658%
Alleghany at Grayson CountyAlleghany 31–2859%
Orange at Chapel HillChapel Hill 27–2359%
Camden County at First FlightFirst Flight 20–1260%
Northwest Halifax Collegiate and Technic at Bear Grass CharterBear Grass Charter 23–1460%
Greer at Union County Early CollegeGreer 31–2862%
New Bern at HavelockHavelock 33–2362%
Southern Alamance at Patrick HenryPatrick Henry 26–2063%
Perquimans County at Northampton CountyPerquimans County 23–1563%
Union Pines at PinecrestPinecrest 30–2863%
Southside at North EdgecombeSouthside 25–1864%
Fuquay-Varina at ApexFuquay-Varina 31–1564%
West Johnston at Smithfield-SelmaWest Johnston 24–2465%
Holmes at North JohnstonHolmes 23–2166%
West Stanly at North StanlyNorth Stanly 26–2266%
Kinston at Wallace-Rose HillWallace-Rose Hill 25–1566%
Southeast Guilford at RagsdaleRagsdale 28–1466%
Chambers at HopewellChambers 31–3067%
Western Harnett at Douglas ByrdWestern Harnett 27–1967%
Mitchell at McDowellMitchell 31–2268%
South Lenoir at North LenoirNorth Lenoir 38–1768%
Providence Athletic Club at Cary ChristianCary Christian 29–1668%
Panther Creek at HillsideHillside 23–1968%
Central Cabarrus at Northwest CabarrusNorthwest Cabarrus 26–2168%
Cox Mill at Rocky RiverCox Mill 29–2769%
Terry Sanford at Pine ForestTerry Sanford 37–1969%
Tarboro at HuntHunt 32–2370%
South Stanly at PiedmontPiedmont 31–2870%
Bartlett Yancey at American Leadership Academy - JohnstonAmerican Leadership Academy - Johnston 32–2270%
St. David's at Wake Christian AcademyWake Christian Academy 29–1771%
Parkwood at CuthbertsonCuthbertson 40–2272%
East Wilkes at Mount AiryMount Airy 27–1972%
Maiden at ReynoldsReynolds 25–1272%
Clinton at MidwayMidway 31–2773%
West Forsyth at GrimsleyGrimsley 22–2273%
Harrells Christian Academy at Wayne ChristianconfHarrells Christian Academy 31–1673%
Butler at StatesvilleButler 25–2473%
Knightdale at EnloeEnloe 27–2174%
Currituck County at Deep CreekCurrituck County 26–2074%
Harding University at GaringerHarding University 35–1574%
Pine Lake Preparatory at East RowanEast Rowan 26–2174%
Foard at East BurkeFoard 30–1674%
Dobyns-Bennett at AshevilleAsheville 36–2374%
Erwin at Mountain HeritageMountain Heritage 31–3074%
Hoke County at South ViewSouth View 24–1774%
Northern Guilford at East ForsythEast Forsyth 26–1274%
Glenn at R J ReynoldsR J Reynolds 30–774%
Halifax County at PersonPerson 27–2375%
East Duplin at PrincetonEast Duplin 26–1576%
Wheatmore at ForbushForbush 20–1277%
Ben L. Smith at Southern GuilfordBen L. Smith 28–2177%
West Brunswick at WhitevilleWest Brunswick 33–2477%
North Mecklenburg at South IredellNorth Mecklenburg 35–1277%
Seaforth at Southeast AlamanceSoutheast Alamance 27–2378%
Ayden-Grifton at North PittNorth Pitt 25–1978%
SouthLake Christian Academy at RavenscroftRavenscroft 27–1378%
Ambassador Christian School at Grapevine Faith ChristianAmbassador Christian School 23–2278%
Triangle Math and Science Academy at North East Carolina PrepNorth East Carolina Prep 25–2578%
Seventy-First at Cape FearSeventy-First 31–2678%
East Mecklenburg at West MecklenburgWest Mecklenburg 29–2078%
Westover at Gray's CreekWestover 25–2279%
Eastern Randolph at RandlemanEastern Randolph 26–1879%
Manteo at NorthsideNorthside 25–2080%
Halifax Academy at Southampton AcademySouthampton Academy 30–1780%
Walkertown at ParklandWalkertown 23–1981%
Watauga at RobersonWatauga 30–3081%
Northeastern at D H ConleyD H Conley 34–1882%
West Carteret at East CarteretWest Carteret 26–2482%
Western Guilford at Felton GroveFelton Grove 23–2182%
Ardrey Kell at Porter RidgeArdrey Kell 38–1582%
South Central at Farmville CentralSouth Central 28–2282%
Avery County at PattonPatton 27–1783%
Franklinton at BunnFranklinton 27–1783%
R-S Central at North HendersonR-S Central 33–1983%
East Lincoln at ProvidenceEast Lincoln 26–2083%
Rocky Mount at East WakeRocky Mount 31–2683%
North Davidson at LexingtonNorth Davidson 29–1984%
Starmount at East SurryStarmount 26–2384%
Community Christian at Liberty Christian AcademyconfLiberty Christian Academy 35–2184%
Rocky Mount Preparatory at Washington CountyRocky Mount Preparatory 22–2185%
Salisbury at North RowanNorth Rowan 32–2085%
Richmond at ScotlandRichmond 26–2085%
Oak Grove at ReaganReagan 24–1885%
Mooresville at Sun ValleyMooresville 29–2685%
West Craven at Wilson Preparatory AcademyWest Craven 34–2586%
Athens Drive at CaryCary 25–2486%
Travelers Rest at Blue Ridge Early CollegeTravelers Rest 26–2486%
Union at Southern WayneSouthern Wayne 32–2086%
Mallard Creek at MauryMallard Creek 31–2687%
Pungo Christian Academy at Northeast AcademyPungo Christian Academy 29–2087%
Gates County at Pasquotank CountyPasquotank County 25–2587%
Page at Northwest GuilfordPage 37–2887%
Webb at Asheville School (Independent)Asheville School (Independent) 26–2688%
Jones at ColumbiaColumbia 32–1888%
E E Smith at AshleyAshley 25–1888%
Hayesville at EnkaEnka 37–1989%
Leesville Road at Wake ForestLeesville Road 29–2989%
Langtree Charter Academy at South RowanSouth Rowan 32–3089%
White Oak at RichlandsWhite Oak 22–2189%
West Davidson at Bishop McGuinnessWest Davidson 17–1689%
Davie County at West RowanDavie County 34–1890%
Northern at CarrboroNorthern 34–2390%
North Raleigh Christian Academy at SouthwestNorth Raleigh Christian Academy 23–1990%
Madison at East HendersonMadison 31–990%
Laney at GarnerGarner 30–1791%
Ledford at East DavidsonLedford 27–2491%
Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi at JordanJordan 29–2991%
Elkin at North StokesElkin 24–1191%
South Granville at Vance CountySouth Granville 33–1692%
J. F. Webb at Warren CountyWarren County 29–2192%
Rosewood at North Duplin Jr SrNorth Duplin Jr Sr 25–1692%
South Point at Charlotte LatinSouth Point 27–2592%
Shelby at CrestCrest 26–2292%
Saint Pauls at LumbertonSaint Pauls 28–2292%
Rockingham County at Magna VistaMagna Vista 29–2092%
Triton at HobbtonTriton 39–2492%
Lincoln Charter at West LincolnWest Lincoln 19–1592%
Saint Stephens at Bunker HillSaint Stephens 36–1693%
Olympic at PalisadesPalisades 33–2193%
Community School of Davidson at South MecklenburgSouth Mecklenburg 22–1893%
Providence Grove at MoreheadProvidence Grove 33–1993%
Christ the King at GRACE ChristianChrist the King 31–2094%
South Columbus at West ColumbusSouth Columbus 31–2094%
Weddington at Myers ParkWeddington 40–1994%
Northside at JacksonvilleJacksonville 34–1694%
Cherokee at TuscolaTuscola 35–2794%
Bradford Preparatory at Highland TechBradford Preparatory 34–2894%
North Lincoln at LincolntonLincolnton 19–1394%
Bonnie Cone Leadership Academy at South Davidson Middle andSouth Davidson Middle and 27–1294%
Hertford County at SouthWest EdgecombeSouthWest Edgecombe 25–2594%
Rolesville at Providence DayProvidence Day 41–2094%
Hickory at Alexander CentralHickory 38–2694%
Sanderson at RiversideSanderson 21–2194%
Cabarrus Stallions at Hickory Grove ChristianHickory Grove Christian 24–1695%
East Columbus Junior-Senior at Heide TraskHeide Trask 25–1395%
Charlotte Catholic at Charlotte Country Day SchoolCharlotte Catholic 25–1095%
Albemarle at ChaseChase 29–2295%
Jack Britt at HoggardHoggard 24–1995%
Monroe at West CharlotteWest Charlotte 24–1296%
Hibriten at South CaldwellHibriten 25–2396%
Mount Zion Christian Academy at Faith ChristianFaith Christian 36–2196%
North Forsyth Magnet at T Wingate AndrewsT Wingate Andrews 35–1396%
Eastern Guilford at WilliamsWilliams 39–1496%
Clayton at Southern NashClayton 27–2396%
Pender at Red SpringsPender 38–1096%
South Brunswick at North BrunswickNorth Brunswick 27–1696%
Green Level at BroughtonBroughton 32–2796%
Eastern Wayne at Charles B AycockEastern Wayne 26–1696%
Swansboro at Pamlico CountySwansboro 27–2496%
Pisgah at Swain CountyPisgah 38–2196%
Croatan at TopsailCroatan 27–1696%
Wayne Preparatory Academy at Father CapodannoFather Capodanno 30–2896%
Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy] at Oceanside Collegiate AcademyCannon [Cannon/Concord Academy] 30–2797%
West Cabarrus at Jay M RobinsonJay M Robinson 31–1497%
Apex Friendship at Lee CountyApex Friendship 30–1997%
Maryland School for the Deaf at Rocky Mount AcademyMaryland School for the Deaf 34–1897%
Buford at Charlotte ChristianCharlotte Christian 34–2697%
Polk County at Newton-ConoverNewton-Conover 33–3297%
Chatham Central at Jordan-MatthewsJordan-Matthews 29–2497%
Purnell Swett at New HanoverNew Hanover 28–1497%
Martin County at BertieMartin County 35–1497%
Central Davidson at AtkinsCentral Davidson 31–2497%
Northern Nash at Nash CentralNorthern Nash 24–1897%
Bessemer City at HussHuss 29–2897%
Southwest Guilford at Western AlamanceWestern Alamance 33–2197%
Reidsville at George WashingtonReidsville 28–2297%
Wilkes Central at McMichaelWilkes Central 34–1897%
Heritage at MillbrookMillbrook 33–1897%
Junius H Rose at WashingtonJunius H Rose 24–2497%
Willow Spring at Middle CreekMiddle Creek 40–1997%
Arendell Parrott Academy at Lawrence AcademyArendell Parrott Academy 34–2397%
Ballantyne Ridge at Marvin RidgeMarvin Ridge 42–2397%
Sallie B Howard at Trinity ChristianTrinity Christian 22–1697%
South Garner at Southern LeeSouth Garner 36–1497%
Louisburg Magnet at Southeast Collegiate Prep AcademyLouisburg Magnet 23–2097%
Independence at Corvian CommunityIndependence 21–1697%
Beddingfield at DixonDixon 26–1497%
North Moore at Wake Preparatory AcademyWake Preparatory Academy 33–1897%
Mount Tabor at Lake NormanLake Norman 32–797%
Forest Hills at FairmontForest Hills 34–2297%
West Iredell at North IredellWest Iredell 40–1297%
South Wake Christian Athletics at John Paul II CatholicJohn Paul II Catholic 38–1097%
A L Brown at ConcordA L Brown 33–1597%
Goldsboro at Greene CentralGreene Central 45–1497%
Phillip O Berry Academy of Technology at AshbrookAshbrook 28–2397%
Metrolina Christian Academy at High Point Christian AcademyHigh Point Christian Academy 32–3197%
Cleveland at Corinth HoldersCleveland 25–2597%
Lejeune at LakewoodLakewood 27–2497%
East Bladen at West BladenEast Bladen 38–1097%
East Chapel Hill at Green HopeGreen Hope 28–2497%
College Prep and Leadership Academy at Mountain Island CharterMountain Island Charter 25–1797%
Draughn at FreedomFreedom 37–797%
Surry Central at North WilkesNorth Wilkes 27–1297%
Northwood at AsheboroAsheboro 34–1797%
Trinity at Southwestern RandolphSouthwestern Randolph 36–1297%
South Stokes at West StokesWest Stokes 29–2797%
North Gaston at Stuart W CramerStuart W Cramer 35–1297%
Smoky Mountain at AndrewsSmoky Mountain 29–1197%
Robbinsville at FranklinFranklin 31–1097%
North Buncombe at RosmanNorth Buncombe 39–3397%
Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy at Greenville HurricanesGreenville Hurricanes 26–2597%
Asheville Christian Academy at Lakeway Christian AcademyLakeway Christian Academy 30–2497%

Saturday, August 29 — 5 games

MatchupProjected resultConfidence
Cardinal Gibbons at HoughHough 25–1752%
Wakefield at Holly SpringsHolly Springs 23–2183%
Camden Early College at Imhotep CharterCamden Early College 28–2295%
Dudley at Southeast RaleighSoutheast Raleigh 40–1097%
Covenant Day at North Wake SaintsCovenant Day 23–1597%

Top 25 Power Rankings

SchoolClassRecordPowerSOSMaxPrepsSimmons

By Classification

Leaders

Top offenses

SchoolClassOff

Top defenses

SchoolClassDef

Toughest schedules

SchoolClassSOS

Classification Strength

Fitted from games between classifications, not assumed.

ClassLevel
8A+24.2
7A+19.1
NCISAA I+14.9
6A+12.5
5A+6.4
4A-1.4
NCISAA II-3.2
3A-8.1
NCISAA 8-11.5
2A-14.5
8-MAN-18.8
1A-29.2

Season Projection

120 simulated seasons, each one playing every remaining game and refitting ratings weekly. Outcomes are sampled rather than awarded to the favourite, so upsets happen at the rate the model believes they happen. The band is the forecast; the mean rating barely moves because nothing new is known yet.

Projected final power rankings — top 25

SchoolClassProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Millbrook8A9.8-0.266.559.6 – 74.220.883%
2Weddington7A9.6-0.465.557.6 – 73.129.068%
3Providence DayNCISAA I9.4-0.662.353.1 – 74.028.056%
4Grimsley7A9.3-0.758.348.3 – 66.021.654%
5Cardinal Gibbons7A8.6-1.454.246.0 – 62.524.322%
6West Forsyth8A8.6-1.453.242.9 – 62.927.816%
7Lake Norman7A9.0-1.052.942.3 – 62.720.940%
8Southeast Raleigh7A8.3-1.752.742.3 – 61.527.017%
9Hough8A8.0-2.052.343.5 – 60.424.714%
10Hoggard8A9.0-1.050.641.2 – 60.223.238%
11Jordan8A9.5-0.550.041.2 – 58.114.863%
12Clayton7A7.8-2.249.440.1 – 57.826.912%
13West Charlotte8A8.0-2.049.341.4 – 57.823.0—
14Cleveland7A8.1-1.948.238.5 – 56.428.812%
15Leesville Road8A7.4-2.647.638.1 – 55.623.8—
16Mallard Creek8A8.1-1.946.636.5 – 55.626.019%
17Crest5A8.4-1.646.137.9 – 55.218.611%
18Mooresville7A6.5-3.543.033.3 – 51.029.9—
19Jacksonville6A8.1-0.943.032.0 – 53.716.846%
20Myers Park8A6.3-3.742.833.5 – 52.028.2—
21Independence7A6.1-3.942.133.3 – 50.628.6—
22East Lincoln5A9.0-1.041.132.5 – 50.211.641%
23Middle Creek6A8.3-1.740.931.1 – 49.820.418%
24Rolesville8A5.7-4.340.531.4 – 49.331.1—
25Seventy-First6A9.0-1.040.331.3 – 50.110.837%

By classification

8A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Millbrook9.8-0.266.559.6 – 74.220.883%
2West Forsyth8.6-1.453.242.9 – 62.927.816%
3Hough8.0-2.052.343.5 – 60.424.714%
4Hoggard9.0-1.050.641.2 – 60.223.238%
5Jordan9.5-0.550.041.2 – 58.114.863%
6West Charlotte8.0-2.049.341.4 – 57.823.0—
7Leesville Road7.4-2.647.638.1 – 55.623.8—
8Mallard Creek8.1-1.946.636.5 – 55.626.019%
9Myers Park6.3-3.742.833.5 – 52.028.2—
10Rolesville5.7-4.340.531.4 – 49.331.1—
7A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Weddington9.6-0.465.557.6 – 73.129.068%
2Grimsley9.3-0.758.348.3 – 66.021.654%
3Cardinal Gibbons8.6-1.454.246.0 – 62.524.322%
4Lake Norman9.0-1.052.942.3 – 62.720.940%
5Southeast Raleigh8.3-1.752.742.3 – 61.527.017%
6Clayton7.8-2.249.440.1 – 57.826.912%
7Cleveland8.1-1.948.238.5 – 56.428.812%
8Mooresville6.5-3.543.033.3 – 51.029.9—
9Independence6.1-3.942.133.3 – 50.628.6—
10Reagan6.9-3.139.931.6 – 48.730.03%
NCISAA I — projected top 9
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Providence Day9.4-0.662.353.1 – 74.028.056%
2Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy]7.3-2.727.518.4 – 37.315.82%
3Charlotte Christian4.9-4.124.217.0 – 33.420.3—
4Charlotte Latin4.4-5.615.67.9 – 23.621.7—
5Charlotte Country Day School3.2-6.811.61.1 – 21.325.1—
6North Raleigh Christian Academy7.1-2.99.1-0.3 – 19.7-1.07%
7Christ School3.2-5.82.9-8.6 – 12.712.5—
8Metrolina Christian Academy3.3-6.7-4.1-13.5 – 4.14.6—
9Ravenscroft3.8-6.2-11.6-21.9 – -0.4-1.2—
6A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Jacksonville8.1-0.943.032.0 – 53.716.846%
2Middle Creek8.3-1.740.931.1 – 49.820.418%
3Seventy-First9.0-1.040.331.3 – 50.110.837%
4Watauga9.1-0.939.929.9 – 50.68.344%
5Charlotte Catholic7.7-2.338.428.9 – 47.624.34%
6Williams7.4-1.632.322.6 – 43.110.623%
7Union Pines8.4-1.632.122.9 – 39.98.420%
8Southern Alamance8.0-2.030.621.3 – 38.59.113%
9Northern Nash6.5-3.529.920.2 – 39.714.7—
10Junius H Rose6.7-3.329.219.2 – 38.823.02%
5A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Crest8.4-1.646.137.9 – 55.218.611%
2East Lincoln9.0-1.041.132.5 – 50.211.641%
3South Point8.6-1.439.230.2 – 48.515.522%
4Jay M Robinson9.5-0.537.426.6 – 47.52.763%
5Hickory7.7-2.336.427.1 – 45.113.4—
6Croatan9.0-1.034.625.0 – 46.12.142%
7Hunt7.9-2.131.521.4 – 40.613.716%
8Oak Grove7.5-2.529.718.6 – 39.45.68%
9Franklin9.0-1.028.820.4 – 38.30.538%
10Monroe6.2-3.824.414.7 – 34.719.1—
4A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Reidsville9.1-0.938.429.1 – 47.51.734%
2Eastern Wayne7.7-1.325.014.1 – 33.6-4.620%
3Hibriten9.2-0.824.615.0 – 32.0-7.053%
4West Craven7.0-3.023.215.0 – 32.38.2—
5Burns6.7-3.322.214.7 – 29.20.7—
6Stuart W Cramer8.3-1.721.611.4 – 30.8-8.916%
7West Iredell6.9-3.118.58.4 – 28.27.22%
8Bandys6.1-3.917.88.8 – 27.314.02%
9SouthWest Edgecombe6.3-2.717.59.9 – 24.85.52%
10Pisgah7.6-2.416.88.1 – 26.52.27%
NCISAA II — projected top 9
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1High Point Christian Academy8.3-1.728.219.1 – 36.70.1—
2Asheville School (Independent)5.4-4.611.12.3 – 19.65.9—
3Trinity Christian6.2-4.85.4-3.1 – 15.61.6—
4Harrells Christian Academy6.3-3.74.7-5.8 – 14.8-4.62%
5Wayne Christian6.2-2.8-3.6-13.4 – 7.0-16.12%
6Hickory Grove Christian5.5-4.5-10.6-20.0 – -1.5-11.4—
7Covenant Day2.8-7.2-14.3-24.4 – -3.4-3.3—
8SouthLake Christian Academy2.3-7.7-18.8-27.1 – -9.4-3.0—
9GRACE Christian4.6-6.4-24.0-33.7 – -13.7-19.8—
NCISAA 8 — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1John Paul II Catholic8.3-1.719.29.9 – 29.4-6.618%
2Cary Christian7.0-2.016.47.4 – 27.1-5.611%
3Arendell Parrott Academy7.1-1.916.35.1 – 25.3-3.113%
4Faith Christian5.9-2.112.54.3 – 19.4-3.49%
5Wake Christian Academy5.1-4.9-7.8-16.4 – 1.3-4.8—
6Sandhills Classical Christian5.5-1.5-8.2-16.3 – 0.6-24.226%
7Liberty Christian Academy4.3-2.7-9.5-19.2 – -0.8-17.22%
8St. David's3.4-5.6-13.7-25.8 – -4.8-1.6—
9Pungo Christian Academy7.0-2.0-15.2-24.1 – -6.3-34.58%
10Lawrence Academy4.0-5.0-15.8-25.7 – -7.1-12.5—
3A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Shelby7.6-2.425.716.5 – 33.70.42%
2Lincolnton8.2-1.821.713.4 – 29.8-4.512%
3Eastern Randolph6.9-3.118.08.3 – 26.61.2—
4James Kenan6.6-2.417.68.0 – 26.1-3.112%
5Martin County7.7-2.317.17.3 – 25.8-3.66%
6Northeastern7.2-2.817.07.9 – 25.3-1.53%
7Walkertown8.1-1.917.07.6 – 26.2-6.212%
8Pender8.3-1.716.28.3 – 25.7-6.821%
9Mount Airy6.0-4.016.16.1 – 23.74.3—
10Mountain Heritage7.5-2.513.33.0 – 23.2-8.2—
2A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Tarboro8.2-1.827.016.2 – 37.24.413%
2Starmount8.7-1.417.28.8 – 25.9-4.631%
3Warren County9.2-0.816.97.9 – 25.4-17.142%
4Corvian Community7.5-2.514.34.9 – 22.7-3.12%
5Holmes8.4-1.613.84.3 – 23.7-12.420%
6East Wilkes6.2-3.811.23.6 – 21.0-2.0—
7Murphy7.0-3.09.0-2.7 – 18.6-9.4—
8Alleghany7.1-2.97.3-1.9 – 15.7-8.15%
9East Bladen8.5-1.57.1-0.9 – 15.4-17.221%
10Community School of Davidson6.3-3.65.7-5.9 – 17.0-7.3—
8-MAN — projected top 2
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Community Christian3.6-5.4-22.0-31.0 – -13.2-18.9—
2Father Capodanno2.3-4.7-26.5-35.3 – -18.0-17.9—
1A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Rocky Mount6.4-4.616.77.9 – 28.08.7—
2Wilson Preparatory Academy6.2-4.87.1-2.0 – 16.2-2.0—
3Northside8.3-1.7-1.6-12.0 – 8.6-27.222%
4Robbinsville4.9-5.1-3.1-12.7 – 6.4-8.1—
5KIPP Pride5.7-4.3-9.1-19.2 – 0.8-18.1—
6Blue Ridge Early College1.7-6.3-17.2-24.8 – -10.60.0—
7South Davidson Middle and8.3-1.7-19.4-30.5 – -8.7-41.722%
8Bear Grass Charter6.4-2.6-20.8-30.2 – -11.6-34.9—
9Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy3.8-6.2-24.2-32.5 – -15.5-13.9—
10Washington County4.5-5.5-26.7-35.1 – -17.7-24.7—

Most likely to finish unbeaten

SchoolClassProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Millbrook8A9.8-0.266.559.6 – 74.220.883%
2Weddington7A9.6-0.465.557.6 – 73.129.068%
3Providence DayNCISAA I9.4-0.662.353.1 – 74.028.056%
4Grimsley7A9.3-0.758.348.3 – 66.021.654%
5Cardinal Gibbons7A8.6-1.454.246.0 – 62.524.322%
6West Forsyth8A8.6-1.453.242.9 – 62.927.816%
7Lake Norman7A9.0-1.052.942.3 – 62.720.940%
8Southeast Raleigh7A8.3-1.752.742.3 – 61.527.017%
9Hough8A8.0-2.052.343.5 – 60.424.714%
10Hoggard8A9.0-1.050.641.2 – 60.223.238%
11Jordan8A9.5-0.550.041.2 – 58.114.863%
12Clayton7A7.8-2.249.440.1 – 57.826.912%

Strength of classification

Mean is the average member rating. Fitted level is what games between classifications say the tier is worth, which is the real comparison.

GroupTeamsMeanFitted level
8A32+26.3+25.9
7A60+20.0+19.8
NCISAA I10+16.9+16.1
6A58+13.2+13.1
5A56+7.7+6.8
4A57-1.8-1.7
NCISAA II9-2.4-2.3
NCISAA 812-5.2-10.2
3A56-8.5-8.8
2A46-15.7-15.5
8-MAN2-24.3-19.4
1A27-32.3-31.8

Strength of conference

Four or more teams.

GroupTeamsMean
Meck Power Six5+36.4
Greater Neuse River7+33.3
Southern Carolina7+28.4
NCISAA Big South4+28.4
Central Piedmont5+26.2
CAP8+25.7
Big Carolina6+24.8
Triangle Six6+23.9
North Piedmont6+21.0
Mid South6+21.0
Quad City Seven7+20.5
Big South6+17.0
Carolina Coast4+16.2
Western Foothills8+15.2
Metro5+15.1