# 2026 North Carolina High School Football Report

## Week 6 — September 24, 2026

*Ratings basis: 1156 2026 results, seeded with 2025.*

*Home-field advantage: 1.4 points.*


## Week 6 Predictions

150 games scheduled.


### Thursday, September 24

| Matchup | Prediction | Win prob | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midway @ North Duplin Jr Sr | **Midway** 42-14 | 96% |  |
| Seventy-First @ Cape Fear | **Seventy-First** 26-20 | 66% |  |

### Friday, September 25

| Matchup | Prediction | Win prob | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Gaston @ Ashbrook | **Ashbrook** 58-8 | 97% | Y |
| Lincolnton @ Highland Tech | **Lincolnton** 57-8 | 97% | Y |
| Smithfield-Selma @ Clayton | **Clayton** 56-8 | 97% | Y |
| Wallace-Rose Hill @ Goldsboro | **Wallace-Rose Hill** 56-9 | 97% | Y |
| Hough @ West Mecklenburg | **Hough** 55-9 | 97% | Y |
| Grimsley @ Western Guilford | **Grimsley** 55-9 | 97% | Y |
| Thomasville @ North Moore | **Thomasville** 52-10 | 97% |  |
| Jay M Robinson @ Salisbury | **Jay M Robinson** 52-10 | 97% | Y |
| Bonnie Cone Leadership Academy @ North Rowan | **North Rowan** 52-10 | 97% | Y |
| Carver @ Reidsville | **Reidsville** 51-10 | 97% | Y |
| Lincoln Charter @ Corvian Community | **Corvian Community** 51-11 | 97% | Y |
| Crest @ Forestview | **Crest** 50-11 | 97% | Y |
| North Lincoln @ Hickory | **Hickory** 49-11 | 97% | Y |
| Southwestern Randolph @ McMichael | **Southwestern Randolph** 49-11 | 97% |  |
| Northside @ Richlands | **Northside** 49-11 | 97% | Y |
| Robbinsville @ Andrews | **Robbinsville** 49-11 | 97% | Y |
| Eastern Wayne @ North Lenoir | **Eastern Wayne** 49-11 | 97% | Y |
| North Wake Saints @ Felton Grove | **Felton Grove** 48-11 | 97% |  |
| Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy @ North Stanly | **North Stanly** 48-12 | 97% |  |
| Rocky Mount Preparatory @ Weldon STEM | **Rocky Mount Preparatory** 47-12 | 97% |  |
| Providence @ Rocky River | **Providence** 47-12 | 97% | Y |
| Hoggard @ West Brunswick | **Hoggard** 47-12 | 97% | Y |
| Madison @ Mountain Heritage | **Mountain Heritage** 47-12 | 97% | Y |
| Lumberton @ Monroe | **Monroe** 46-12 | 97% |  |
| Southern Wayne @ Hunt | **Hunt** 46-12 | 97% | Y |
| Beddingfield @ Bunn | **Bunn** 46-12 | 97% |  |
| Triton @ Southern Lee | **Triton** 46-12 | 97% | Y |
| Fuquay-Varina @ Southeast Raleigh | **Southeast Raleigh** 46-13 | 97% | Y |
| Bertie @ Currituck County | **Currituck County** 45-13 | 97% |  |
| Washington @ West Craven | **West Craven** 45-13 | 97% | Y |
| Athens Drive @ Leesville Road | **Leesville Road** 45-13 | 97% | Y |
| A L Brown @ Phillip O Berry Academy of Technology | **A L Brown** 45-13 | 97% | Y |
| South Wake Christian Athletics @ Hickory Grove Christian | **Hickory Grove Christian** 44-13 | 97% |  |
| Hibriten @ East Burke | **Hibriten** 44-13 | 97% | Y |
| Bunker Hill @ East Lincoln | **East Lincoln** 44-13 | 97% | Y |
| Rosewood @ James Kenan | **James Kenan** 44-13 | 97% | Y |
| Carrboro @ Louisburg Magnet | **Louisburg Magnet** 44-13 | 97% |  |
| Faith Christian @ St. David's | **Faith Christian** 44-13 | 97% | Y |
| Weddington @ Sun Valley | **Weddington** 44-13 | 97% | Y |
| South Garner @ Cleveland | **Cleveland** 43-13 | 97% | Y |
| Southeast Alamance @ Person | **Southeast Alamance** 43-14 | 97% | Y |
| Warren County @ Roanoke Rapids | **Warren County** 43-14 | 97% |  |
| Southern Guilford @ Central Davidson | **Central Davidson** 43-14 | 97% |  |
| John Paul II Catholic @ Liberty Christian Academy | **John Paul II Catholic** 43-14 | 96% |  |
| West Henderson @ East Henderson | **West Henderson** 43-14 | 96% | Y |
| West Stokes @ Northeast Guilford | **Northeast Guilford** 43-14 | 96% |  |
| South Point @ Huss | **South Point** 42-14 | 96% | Y |
| Charlotte Christian @ Ravenscroft | **Charlotte Christian** 42-14 | 96% |  |
| Burns @ West Lincoln | **Burns** 42-14 | 96% | Y |
| Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy] @ Providence Day | **Providence Day** 42-14 | 96% |  |
| Harnett Central @ Western Harnett | **Harnett Central** 42-14 | 96% | Y |
| East Rutherford @ Forest Hills | **Forest Hills** 42-14 | 96% |  |
| Morehead @ Bartlett Yancey | **Morehead** 41-14 | 95% | Y |
| Charlotte Country Day School @ Myers Park | **Myers Park** 41-14 | 95% |  |
| Hickory Ridge @ West Cabarrus | **Hickory Ridge** 41-14 | 95% | Y |
| Hoke County @ Middle Creek | **Middle Creek** 41-15 | 95% |  |
| East Wilkes @ West Wilkes | **East Wilkes** 40-15 | 95% | Y |
| Chambers @ Butler | **Chambers** 40-15 | 95% | Y |
| Chatham Central @ North Stokes | **Chatham Central** 40-15 | 95% | Y |
| South Johnston @ Union Pines | **Union Pines** 39-15 | 94% | Y |
| West Stanly @ Eastern Randolph | **Eastern Randolph** 39-15 | 94% |  |
| Hertford County @ New Bern | **New Bern** 39-15 | 94% |  |
| Carson @ West Rowan | **West Rowan** 39-15 | 93% | Y |
| North Wilkes @ Wilkes Central | **Wilkes Central** 39-15 | 93% | Y |
| Covenant Day @ Harrells Christian Academy | **Harrells Christian Academy** 38-15 | 93% |  |
| East Gaston @ Bessemer City | **East Gaston** 38-15 | 93% | Y |
| Mitchell @ Polk County | **Mitchell** 38-15 | 93% | Y |
| Cary Christian @ Wake Christian Academy | **Cary Christian** 38-16 | 93% | Y |
| Wayne Preparatory Academy @ Northeast Academy | **Wayne Preparatory Academy** 38-16 | 92% |  |
| Willow Spring @ Panther Creek | **Panther Creek** 38-16 | 92% | Y |
| Pamlico County @ Camden County | **Camden County** 38-16 | 92% |  |
| Cherokee @ Murphy | **Murphy** 37-16 | 92% | Y |
| Rolesville @ Millbrook | **Millbrook** 37-16 | 91% | Y |
| Wayne Christian @ American Leadership Academy - Johnston | **Wayne Christian** 36-16 | 90% |  |
| Northern @ Orange | **Orange** 36-16 | 90% |  |
| Northwest Cabarrus @ East Rowan | **Northwest Cabarrus** 35-17 | 89% | Y |
| GRACE Christian @ Concord Christian (TN) | **Concord Christian (TN)** 35-17 | 88% |  |
| Alleghany @ Starmount | **Starmount** 34-17 | 87% | Y |
| Pisgah @ Franklin | **Franklin** 34-17 | 87% | Y |
| Mountain Island Charter @ Albemarle | **Mountain Island Charter** 34-17 | 87% |  |
| Dudley @ Page | **Page** 34-17 | 86% | Y |
| West Columbus @ Lakewood | **Lakewood** 33-18 | 85% | Y |
| GRACE Christian @ Mount Zion Christian Academy | **Mount Zion Christian Academy** 33-18 | 85% |  |
| High Point Christian Academy @ Trinity Christian | **High Point Christian Academy** 33-18 | 85% |  |
| Wakefield @ Enloe | **Enloe** 33-18 | 85% | Y |
| Arendell Parrott Academy @ Rocky Mount Academy | **Arendell Parrott Academy** 33-18 | 84% | Y |
| Shelby @ Stuart W Cramer | **Shelby** 32-18 | 84% | Y |
| Laney @ Ashley | **Laney** 32-18 | 84% | Y |
| East Columbus Junior-Senior @ Union | **Union** 32-18 | 83% | Y |
| J. F. Webb @ Northwest Halifax Collegiate and Technic | **J. F. Webb** 32-18 | 83% |  |
| South Rowan @ Concord | **South Rowan** 32-18 | 83% | Y |
| T Wingate Andrews @ Ledford | **T Wingate Andrews** 32-18 | 83% | Y |
| Sandhills Classical Christian @ Father Capodanno | **Sandhills Classical Christian** 31-18 | 82% | Y |
| Lawrence Academy @ Halifax Academy | **Lawrence Academy** 31-18 | 81% |  |
| Maiden @ Foard | **Maiden** 31-19 | 80% | Y |
| Hopewell @ South Mecklenburg | **Hopewell** 30-19 | 79% | Y |
| Atkins @ Forbush | **Forbush** 30-19 | 79% |  |
| Chase @ R-S Central | **R-S Central** 30-19 | 79% | Y |
| North Pitt @ North Johnston | **North Pitt** 30-19 | 78% | Y |
| Elkin @ Ashe County | **Ashe County** 30-19 | 77% | Y |
| North Buncombe @ McDowell | **North Buncombe** 29-19 | 76% |  |
| Union Academy @ South Stanly | **Union Academy** 29-19 | 76% | Y |
| Avery County @ Owen | **Owen** 29-19 | 76% | Y |
| D H Conley @ Western Alamance | **D H Conley** 29-19 | 76% |  |
| Jordan-Matthews @ East Chapel Hill | **East Chapel Hill** 29-19 | 75% |  |
| Mallard Creek @ West Charlotte | **Mallard Creek** 29-19 | 75% | Y |
| Broughton @ Corinth Holders | **Broughton** 29-19 | 75% | Y |
| Columbia @ Hobgood Charter | **Hobgood Charter** 29-19 | 74% | Y |
| Porter Ridge @ Charlotte Catholic | **Charlotte Catholic** 28-19 | 73% | Y |
| Green Hope @ Apex | **Green Hope** 28-20 | 72% | Y |
| Benedictine (GA) @ Richmond | **Richmond** 28-20 | 71% | Y |
| Spartanburg (SC) @ Charlotte Latin | **Spartanburg (SC)** 28-20 | 71% |  |
| Lake Norman Charter @ Pine Lake Preparatory | **Lake Norman Charter** 27-20 | 70% | Y |
| Smoky Mountain @ Tuscola | **Tuscola** 27-20 | 70% | Y |
| Walkertown @ Rockingham County | **Walkertown** 27-20 | 68% | Y |
| Cuthbertson @ Piedmont | **Piedmont** 27-20 | 68% | Y |
| East Bladen @ Hobbton | **East Bladen** 27-20 | 68% | Y |
| College Prep and Leadership Academy @ South Stokes | **South Stokes** 26-20 | 67% | Y |
| Princeton @ Wake Preparatory Academy | **Princeton** 26-20 | 67% |  |
| Harding University @ Cox Mill | **Cox Mill** 26-20 | 67% | Y |
| Brevard @ North Henderson | **North Henderson** 26-20 | 66% | Y |
| Topsail @ North Brunswick | **North Brunswick** 26-20 | 66% | Y |
| East Mecklenburg @ Ballantyne Ridge | **Ballantyne Ridge** 26-20 | 65% | Y |
| Central Cabarrus @ Olympic | **Olympic** 26-21 | 64% | Y |
| Ben L. Smith @ Southwest Guilford | **Southwest Guilford** 25-21 | 63% | Y |
| Fike @ Northern Nash | **Fike** 25-21 | 61% | Y |
| Lake View (SC) @ Fairmont | **Lake View (SC)** 25-21 | 61% |  |
| Jordan @ Apex Friendship | **Apex Friendship** 25-21 | 61% | Y |
| Christ the King @ Community School of Davidson | **Community School of Davidson** 25-21 | 60% | Y |
| Anson @ Pender | **Pender** 24-21 | 59% |  |
| Bandys @ Newton-Conover | **Bandys** 24-21 | 59% | Y |
| Lexington @ Randleman | **Randleman** 24-21 | 59% | Y |
| Rabun Gap-Nacoochee (GA) @ Ambassador Christian School | **Rabun Gap-Nacoochee (GA)** 24-21 | 57% |  |
| Gates County @ Pasquotank County | **Pasquotank County** 24-21 | 57% |  |
| Bradford Preparatory @ Langtree Charter Academy | **Langtree Charter Academy** 24-21 | 56% | Y |
| Triangle Math and Science Academy @ Jones | **Triangle Math and Science Academy** 24-21 | 56% |  |
| North Raleigh Christian Academy @ Metrolina Christian Academy | **Metrolina Christian Academy** 23-21 | 56% |  |
| Lee County @ West Johnston | **West Johnston** 23-21 | 55% | Y |
| Bishop McGuinness @ Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad | **Bishop McGuinness** 23-21 | 55% | Y |
| Croatan @ Havelock | **Croatan** 23-21 | 55% | Y |
| Swansboro @ West Carteret | **West Carteret** 23-22 | 53% | Y |
| Charles B Aycock @ Southern Nash | **Southern Nash** 23-22 | 52% | Y |
| Patton @ Draughn | **Draughn** 22-22 | 52% | Y |
| Asheville @ Watauga | **Asheville** 22-22 | 50% |  |
| Rosman @ Hayesville | **Hayesville** 22-22 | 50% | Y |
| Trion (GA) @ Northview Academy | *no rating for one side* | — |  |

### Saturday, September 26

| Matchup | Prediction | Win prob | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asheville School (Independent) @ Christ School | **Christ School** 28-20 | 72% |  |

### Monday, September 28

| Matchup | Prediction | Win prob | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond @ Rolesville | **Rolesville** 25-21 | 60% |  |


## Top 25 Overall Power Rankings

| # | School | Class | Record | Rating | Power | SOS | MaxPreps | Massey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hough | 8A | 5-0-0 | 60.77 | 130.8 | 37.20 | 137.9 | 130.1 |
| 2 | Weddington | 7A | 5-0-0 | 52.70 | 122.7 | 29.96 | 128.1 | 122.0 |
| 3 | Providence Day | NCISAA I | 4-1-0 | 52.06 | 122.1 | 35.88 | 127.7 | 124.0 |
| 4 | Lake Norman | 7A | 5-0-0 | 50.14 | 120.1 | 22.93 | 120.8 | 112.4 |
| 5 | Chambers | 8A | 5-0-0 | 46.09 | 116.1 | 22.74 | 120.7 | 109.7 |
| 6 | Clayton | 7A | 5-0-0 | 45.63 | 115.6 | 12.38 | 102.9 | 111.9 |
| 7 | Reagan | 7A | 4-1-0 | 45.11 | 115.1 | 28.03 | 115.1 | 110.7 |
| 8 | West Forsyth | 8A | 4-1-0 | 44.48 | 114.5 | 29.36 | 114.0 | 112.7 |
| 9 | Southeast Raleigh | 7A | 4-1-0 | 44.16 | 114.2 | 24.49 | 114.0 | 108.6 |
| 10 | Cardinal Gibbons | 7A | 3-2-0 | 41.63 | 111.6 | 38.13 | 114.6 | 112.5 |
| 11 | Mallard Creek | 8A | 3-2-0 | 40.66 | 110.7 | 36.99 | 118.9 | 115.6 |
| 12 | Marvin Ridge | 7A | 5-0-0 | 40.41 | 110.4 | 13.37 | 98.5 | 101.7 |
| 13 | Hickory | 5A | 4-1-0 | 39.85 | 109.9 | 11.81 | 98.2 | 106.0 |
| 14 | Oak Grove | 5A | 4-1-0 | 39.41 | 109.4 | 14.59 | 98.2 | 104.6 |
| 15 | Garner | 7A | 3-2-0 | 38.44 | 108.4 | 33.70 | 107.1 | 105.8 |
| 16 | Roberson | 6A | 4-1-0 | 38.07 | 108.1 | 13.63 | 96.4 | 102.6 |
| 17 | South Point | 5A | 5-0-0 | 37.68 | 107.7 | 27.11 | 113.4 | 106.2 |
| 18 | East Forsyth | 7A | 3-2-0 | 37.08 | 107.1 | 21.97 | 98.8 | 108.6 |
| 19 | Kings Mountain | 6A | 4-1-0 | 36.87 | 106.9 | 14.32 | 101.7 | 101.6 |
| 20 | Junius H Rose | 6A | 5-0-0 | 35.94 | 105.9 | 19.86 | 101.8 | 100.9 |
| 21 | Palisades | 8A | 4-1-0 | 35.57 | 105.6 | 23.52 | 102.6 | 102.4 |
| 22 | Fike | 5A | 5-0-0 | 34.24 | 104.2 | -1.93 | 91.6 | 90.7 |
| 23 | Wake Forest | 7A | 3-2-0 | 33.68 | 103.7 | 24.76 | 94.1 | 99.5 |
| 24 | Scotland | 6A | 4-1-0 | 32.90 | 102.9 | 20.64 | 99.1 | 91.1 |
| 25 | Shelby | 3A | 4-1-0 | 31.98 | 102.0 | 3.24 | 95.8 | 99.5 |

*MaxPreps and Massey are shown on our power scale, not as those systems publish them, so the columns can be read across. The conversions this week:*

- *MAXPREPS: ours = 1.003 x theirs -28.98, r=0.944, residual 7.5 pts, n=419; as of 2026-09-20*
- *MASSEY: ours = 0.878 x theirs -8.40, r=0.973, residual 5.4 pts, n=434; as of 2026-09-19*

*A dash means that system does not rate the team.*

*Simmons has not published since 2026-08-13 -- before the season's first game, so the column is left out rather than shown as though it were current.*


## Against Preseason Expectation

Where last season said a team would be, where this season's results alone put them, and how much of the preseason number the published rating still carries. A team whose results contradict its preseason rating sheds it as the games accumulate — fully protected at one game, essentially free of it by six — so this column is the model saying how much it still believes last year.


### Furthest below preseason

| School | Class | Record | Preseason | This season | Change | Published | Preseason kept |
|---|---|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| KIPP Pride | 1A | 1-4-0 | +5.2 | -43.3 | -48.5 | 34.9 | 4% |
| Brevard | 4A | 0-4-0 | +22.0 | -25.5 | -47.5 | 61.4 | 6% |
| Independence | 7A | 1-4-0 | +48.3 | +5.0 | -43.2 | 85.7 | 4% |
| Northern Guilford | 6A | 1-4-0 | +38.8 | -3.7 | -42.5 | 79.3 | 10% |
| Southern Guilford | 5A | 0-4-0 | -7.0 | -48.6 | -41.6 | 41.4 | 13% |
| Red Springs | 4A | 1-4-0 | -3.4 | -42.3 | -38.9 | 40.4 | 9% |
| West Charlotte | 8A | 3-2-0 | +56.0 | +19.0 | -37.0 | 101.6 | 5% |
| North Gaston | 5A | 0-5-0 | -17.8 | -52.8 | -35.0 | 33.3 | 10% |
| North Iredell | 6A | 0-5-0 | -7.1 | -41.8 | -34.8 | 40.1 | 7% |
| Northwest Guilford | 8A | 0-5-0 | +20.8 | -13.0 | -33.8 | 72.5 | 22% |

### Furthest above preseason

| School | Class | Record | Preseason | This season | Change | Published | Preseason kept |
|---|---|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| Chatham Central | 1A | 5-0-0 | -57.7 | -10.2 | +47.5 | 47.1 | 9% |
| Graham | 4A | 0-1-0 | -52.6 | -8.2 | +44.4 | 32.7 | 95% |
| South Rowan | 4A | 3-1-0 | -26.1 | +18.2 | +44.3 | 76.7 | 12% |
| Fike | 5A | 5-0-0 | +4.0 | +46.7 | +42.7 | 104.2 | 5% |
| Pungo Christian Academy | NCISAA 8 | 5-0-0 | -18.7 | +17.4 | +36.2 | 55.4 | 18% |
| Thomasville | 3A | 3-1-0 | -11.7 | +24.5 | +36.1 | 84.8 | 11% |
| Liberty Christian Academy | NCISAA 8 | 3-0-0 | -9.9 | +25.7 | +35.6 | 49.9 | 26% |
| Chambers | 8A | 5-0-0 | +18.5 | +53.9 | +35.4 | 116.1 | 14% |
| Enka | 5A | 5-0-0 | -11.8 | +23.6 | +35.4 | 86.7 | 8% |
| Hertford County | 3A | 3-1-0 | -10.2 | +24.7 | +34.9 | 83.0 | 17% |


## Power Rankings by Classification


### 8A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hough | 60.77 | 37.20 |
| 2 | Chambers | 46.09 | 22.74 |
| 3 | West Forsyth | 44.48 | 29.36 |
| 4 | Mallard Creek | 40.66 | 36.99 |
| 5 | Palisades | 35.57 | 23.52 |
| 6 | West Charlotte | 31.56 | 33.28 |
| 7 | Apex Friendship | 28.79 | 4.90 |
| 8 | Pinecrest | 28.69 | 28.24 |
| 9 | Jordan | 26.72 | 10.06 |
| 10 | Ardrey Kell | 24.56 | 20.87 |

### 7A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weddington | 52.70 | 29.96 |
| 2 | Lake Norman | 50.14 | 22.93 |
| 3 | Clayton | 45.63 | 12.38 |
| 4 | Reagan | 45.11 | 28.03 |
| 5 | Southeast Raleigh | 44.16 | 24.49 |
| 6 | Cardinal Gibbons | 41.63 | 38.13 |
| 7 | Marvin Ridge | 40.41 | 13.37 |
| 8 | Garner | 38.44 | 33.70 |
| 9 | East Forsyth | 37.08 | 21.97 |
| 10 | Wake Forest | 33.68 | 24.76 |

### 6A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roberson | 38.07 | 13.63 |
| 2 | Kings Mountain | 36.87 | 14.32 |
| 3 | Junius H Rose | 35.94 | 19.86 |
| 4 | Scotland | 32.90 | 20.64 |
| 5 | Ashbrook | 29.57 | 24.99 |
| 6 | Southern Alamance | 25.70 | 17.43 |
| 7 | Dudley | 24.90 | 25.71 |
| 8 | Asheboro | 24.27 | 8.94 |
| 9 | Mount Tabor | 21.57 | 35.89 |
| 10 | Franklinton | 21.14 | -6.71 |

### 5A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hickory | 39.85 | 11.81 |
| 2 | Oak Grove | 39.41 | 14.59 |
| 3 | South Point | 37.68 | 27.11 |
| 4 | Fike | 34.24 | -1.93 |
| 5 | East Lincoln | 31.83 | 7.17 |
| 6 | Hunt | 25.47 | 12.57 |
| 7 | Southeast Alamance | 23.25 | 3.06 |
| 8 | Croatan | 23.17 | -4.39 |
| 9 | North Davidson | 22.26 | 5.69 |
| 10 | Eastern Alamance | 20.89 | 8.13 |

### 4A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuscola | 25.16 | -1.62 |
| 2 | West Iredell | 24.68 | -5.80 |
| 3 | West Craven | 23.03 | 9.23 |
| 4 | Burns | 21.40 | 9.84 |
| 5 | Reidsville | 19.73 | 14.10 |
| 6 | T Wingate Andrews | 16.51 | 3.01 |
| 7 | East Duplin | 13.32 | 13.38 |
| 8 | Mount Pleasant | 13.20 | 8.56 |
| 9 | Pisgah | 11.28 | 5.38 |
| 10 | R-S Central | 10.13 | -5.91 |

### 3A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shelby | 31.98 | 3.24 |
| 2 | Lincolnton | 20.63 | 1.63 |
| 3 | Northeastern | 18.24 | -0.34 |
| 4 | Hendersonville | 17.04 | -0.38 |
| 5 | Mount Airy | 15.09 | 18.17 |
| 6 | Eastern Randolph | 14.97 | 15.55 |
| 7 | Martin County | 13.69 | -5.34 |
| 8 | Kinston | 12.53 | -3.11 |
| 9 | Midway | 10.85 | -0.44 |
| 10 | Whiteville | 10.02 | -9.28 |

### 2A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitchell | 3.20 | -2.15 |
| 2 | East Bladen | -3.71 | -13.47 |
| 3 | Rosewood | -7.34 | -16.84 |
| 4 | Cherryville | -8.37 | -10.06 |
| 5 | Manteo | -9.19 | -16.81 |
| 6 | Cherokee | -9.82 | 3.34 |
| 7 | Hobbton | -10.12 | -4.42 |
| 8 | Lakewood | -10.74 | -7.55 |
| 9 | East Carteret | -19.89 | -3.72 |
| 10 | Perquimans County | -20.06 | -15.08 |

### 1A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northside | 5.93 | -12.07 |
| 2 | Robbinsville | 5.11 | 6.02 |
| 3 | Wilson Preparatory Academy | 4.03 | 17.93 |
| 4 | South Davidson Middle and | -19.16 | -27.74 |
| 5 | Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad | -22.77 | -13.35 |
| 6 | Chatham Central | -22.88 | -32.06 |
| 7 | North Edgecombe | -24.55 | -23.33 |
| 8 | Washington County | -25.51 | -25.70 |
| 9 | Rosman | -26.59 | -16.67 |
| 10 | North East Carolina Prep | -30.24 | -44.96 |

### NCCSA

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Community Christian | -36.85 | -31.96 |

### NCISAA

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Providence Day | 52.06 | 35.88 |
| 2 | Asheville School (Independent) | 19.27 | 11.30 |
| 3 | Charlotte Latin | 14.83 | 20.97 |
| 4 | Trinity Christian | 12.12 | 3.61 |
| 5 | Metrolina Christian Academy | 6.95 | 4.96 |
| 6 | SouthLake Christian Academy | -5.34 | -14.35 |
| 7 | Pungo Christian Academy | -14.62 | -48.22 |
| 8 | Wake Christian Academy | -26.77 | -17.34 |


## Top 10 Scoring Offenses

*Points per game, as scored.*

| # | School | Class | PPG | Adj |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|
| 1 | Fike | 5A | 56.0 | +19.5 |
| 2 | Marvin Ridge | 7A | 49.6 | +15.5 |
| 3 | Hickory | 5A | 49.4 | +19.5 |
| 4 | Shelby | 3A | 48.8 | +16.5 |
| 5 | Pungo Christian Academy | NCISAA 8 | 48.8 | +9.1 |
| 6 | Southeast Alamance | 5A | 47.2 | +16.6 |
| 7 | Chambers | 8A | 46.6 | +21.6 |
| 8 | Roberson | 6A | 46.2 | +18.0 |
| 9 | Princeton | 3A | 46.2 | +17.9 |
| 10 | Tuscola | 4A | 45.8 | +16.4 |


## Top 10 Offenses, Opponent-Adjusted

*Points above what the defenses faced usually concede.*

| # | School | Class | Adj | PPG |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|
| 1 | Chambers | 8A | +21.6 | 46.6 |
| 2 | Fike | 5A | +19.5 | 56.0 |
| 3 | Hickory | 5A | +19.5 | 49.4 |
| 4 | Lake Norman | 7A | +19.0 | 42.0 |
| 5 | Roberson | 6A | +18.0 | 46.2 |
| 6 | Princeton | 3A | +17.9 | 46.2 |
| 7 | Southeast Alamance | 5A | +16.6 | 47.2 |
| 8 | Shelby | 3A | +16.5 | 48.8 |
| 9 | Tuscola | 4A | +16.4 | 45.8 |
| 10 | Lincolnton | 3A | +16.1 | 45.8 |


## Top 10 Scoring Defenses

*Points allowed per game, as conceded.*

| # | School | Class | PA/G | Adj | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Glenn | 6A | 4.2 | -14.7 | 8.0 |
| 2 | Smoky Mountain | 5A | 6.4 | -12.6 | -12.9 |
| 3 | West Iredell | 4A | 6.6 | -11.0 | -5.8 |
| 4 | Hough | 8A | 6.6 | -18.7 | 37.2 |
| 5 | Saint Pauls | 5A | 6.6 | -11.1 | -4.2 |
| 6 | Apex Friendship | 8A | 6.8 | -14.2 | 4.9 |
| 7 | Pungo Christian Academy | NCISAA 8 | 6.8 | -11.1 | -48.2 |
| 8 | Lake Norman | 7A | 7.6 | -13.2 | 22.9 |
| 9 | Asheboro | 6A | 7.8 | -15.4 | 8.9 |
| 10 | Franklinton | 6A | 8.2 | -9.9 | -6.7 |


## Top 10 Defenses, Opponent-Adjusted

*Points allowed against what the offenses faced usually score. Ten points conceded to a strong offense counts for more than a shutout of a weak one, which is why this table and the one above disagree.*

| # | School | Class | Adj | PA/G | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Hough | 8A | -18.7 | 6.6 | 37.2 |
| 2 | Providence Day | NCISAA I | -16.4 | 12.8 | 35.9 |
| 3 | Reagan | 7A | -15.7 | 12.4 | 28.0 |
| 4 | Asheboro | 6A | -15.4 | 7.8 | 8.9 |
| 5 | Oak Grove | 5A | -15.1 | 9.2 | 14.6 |
| 6 | Kings Mountain | 6A | -14.9 | 11.0 | 14.3 |
| 7 | Glenn | 6A | -14.7 | 4.2 | 8.0 |
| 8 | Apex Friendship | 8A | -14.2 | 6.8 | 4.9 |
| 9 | Junius H Rose | 6A | -13.9 | 14.8 | 19.9 |
| 10 | Clayton | 7A | -13.9 | 8.6 | 12.4 |


## Top 10 Toughest Schedules

| # | School | Class | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mooresville | 7A | 41.30 |
| 2 | Cardinal Gibbons | 7A | 38.13 |
| 3 | Hough | 8A | 37.20 |
| 4 | Mallard Creek | 8A | 36.99 |
| 5 | Mount Tabor | 6A | 35.89 |
| 6 | Providence Day | NCISAA I | 35.88 |
| 7 | Garner | 7A | 33.70 |
| 8 | West Charlotte | 8A | 33.28 |
| 9 | Davie County | 7A | 31.52 |
| 10 | Weddington | 7A | 29.96 |


## Classification Strength

*Fitted from cross-classification games, not assumed.*

| Classification | Level |
|---|---|
| 8A | +21.61 |
| NCISAA I | +17.04 |
| 7A | +16.64 |
| 6A | +9.75 |
| 5A | +7.25 |
| NCISAA II | +1.06 |
| 4A | -2.25 |
| 3A | -7.53 |
| 2A | -12.05 |
| NCISAA 8 | -23.25 |
| 1A | -28.70 |
| 8-MAN | -29.93 |


## Conference Power Rankings

*Every team, strongest first, by our rating.*

### Albemarle AAC

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Manteo | 2A | 4-1-0 | 60.8 | -16.8 |
| 2 | Perquimans County | 2A | 2-3-0 | 49.9 | -15.1 |

### Atlantic

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Bear Grass Charter | 1A | 0-5-0 | 26.7 | -24.4 |

### Big Carolina

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Junius H Rose | 6A | 5-0-0 | 105.9 | 19.9 |
| 2 | South Central | 7A | 3-2-0 | 88.9 | 10.5 |

### Big East

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Fike | 5A | 5-0-0 | 104.2 | -1.9 |
| 2 | Hunt | 5A | 5-0-0 | 95.5 | 12.6 |
| 3 | Rocky Mount | 5A | 3-2-0 | 90.2 | 8.5 |
| 4 | Southern Nash | 5A | 3-2-0 | 73.9 | 8.2 |
| 5 | Southern Wayne | 5A | 3-2-0 | 62.9 | -11.9 |

### Big Seven

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Seaforth | 5A | 4-1-0 | 76.3 | -6.9 |
| 2 | South Granville | 5A | 3-2-0 | 69.1 | 3.0 |

### Big South

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | South Point | 5A | 5-0-0 | 107.7 | 27.1 |
| 2 | Kings Mountain | 6A | 4-1-0 | 106.9 | 14.3 |
| 3 | Ashbrook | 6A | 2-3-0 | 99.6 | 25.0 |
| 4 | Huss | 5A | 3-2-0 | 82.0 | -1.9 |
| 5 | Forestview | 5A | 0-5-0 | 60.5 | 11.6 |
| 6 | North Gaston | 5A | 0-5-0 | 33.3 | 1.6 |

### Carolina

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | East Bladen | 2A | 3-2-0 | 66.3 | -13.5 |
| 2 | Hobbton | 2A | 1-4-0 | 59.9 | -4.4 |
| 3 | Lakewood | 2A | 2-3-0 | 59.3 | -7.6 |
| 4 | East Columbus Junior-Senior | 1A | 2-3-0 | 38.7 | -16.1 |

### Carolina Coast

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Laney | 8A | 2-3-0 | 90.1 | 26.7 |
| 2 | North Brunswick | 7A | 3-2-0 | 82.4 | 8.1 |
| 3 | New Hanover | 7A | 2-3-0 | 80.6 | 21.6 |
| 4 | Topsail | 7A | 2-3-0 | 78.7 | 19.4 |
| 5 | Ashley | 7A | 2-3-0 | 77.2 | 17.6 |
| 6 | West Brunswick | 6A | 1-4-0 | 76.5 | 7.3 |

### Central Carolina

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Providence Grove | 3A | 3-2-0 | 72.0 | -5.7 |
| 2 | Wheatmore | 3A | 1-4-0 | 52.7 | -14.7 |
| 3 | East Davidson | 3A | 2-3-0 | 47.7 | -7.2 |
| 4 | Trinity | 3A | 1-4-0 | 32.3 | -14.3 |

### Central Piedmont

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Reagan | 7A | 4-1-0 | 115.1 | 28.0 |
| 2 | West Forsyth | 8A | 4-1-0 | 114.5 | 29.4 |
| 3 | East Forsyth | 7A | 3-2-0 | 107.1 | 22.0 |
| 4 | R J Reynolds | 7A | 3-2-0 | 81.0 | -4.5 |
| 5 | Northwest Guilford | 8A | 0-5-0 | 72.5 | 22.0 |
| 6 | Parkland | 7A | 3-2-0 | 66.9 | -9.3 |

### Christian Independent

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Community Christian | 8-MAN | 2-3-0 | 33.2 | -32.0 |

### Coastal

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Croatan | 5A | 5-0-0 | 93.2 | -4.4 |
| 2 | Havelock | 5A | 2-3-0 | 90.6 | 21.6 |
| 3 | Swansboro | 6A | 4-1-0 | 74.0 | -6.5 |
| 4 | Dixon | 5A | 2-3-0 | 67.0 | -8.9 |
| 5 | Richlands | 5A | 1-4-0 | 61.7 | 4.3 |

### Coastal Plains

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Northside | 1A | 5-0-0 | 75.9 | -12.1 |
| 2 | East Carteret | 2A | 1-4-0 | 50.1 | -3.7 |
| 3 | Southside | 2A | 3-2-0 | 46.6 | -14.0 |

### East Central

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | East Duplin | 4A | 4-1-0 | 83.3 | 13.4 |
| 2 | Clinton | 4A | 3-2-0 | 74.4 | 3.8 |
| 3 | Southwest | 4A | 1-4-0 | 61.8 | 3.7 |
| 4 | Heide Trask | 3A | 1-4-0 | 46.1 | -15.9 |
| 5 | South Lenoir | 3A | 3-2-0 | 45.2 | -17.8 |

### Eastern Carolina

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Wilson Preparatory Academy | 1A | 1-4-0 | 74.0 | 17.9 |
| 2 | North Edgecombe | 1A | 3-2-0 | 45.4 | -23.3 |
| 3 | Washington County | 1A | 1-4-0 | 44.5 | -25.7 |
| 4 | North East Carolina Prep | 1A | 3-2-0 | 39.8 | -45.0 |

### Eastern Plains

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Kinston | 3A | 3-2-0 | 82.5 | -3.1 |
| 2 | Greene Central | 3A | 3-2-0 | 77.0 | -11.9 |
| 3 | Farmville Central | 3A | 2-3-0 | 65.7 | 11.7 |
| 4 | Ayden-Grifton | 3A | 1-4-0 | 60.5 | 6.4 |

### Eastern Sandhills

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Saint Pauls | 5A | 5-0-0 | 89.4 | -4.2 |
| 2 | Westover | 6A | 2-3-0 | 82.2 | 11.0 |
| 3 | South View | 6A | 1-4-0 | 76.9 | 15.1 |
| 4 | E E Smith | 6A | 0-5-0 | 72.3 | 6.4 |
| 5 | Douglas Byrd | 5A | 0-5-0 | 40.0 | -1.4 |

### Four Rivers

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Eastern Randolph | 3A | 2-3-0 | 85.0 | 15.5 |
| 2 | Southwestern Randolph | 4A | 4-1-0 | 71.1 | -15.1 |
| 3 | Northwood | 3A | 2-3-0 | 63.7 | 2.0 |
| 4 | Jordan-Matthews | 4A | 2-3-0 | 35.7 | -23.9 |

### Greater Charlotte

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Hough | 8A | 5-0-0 | 130.8 | 37.2 |
| 2 | Hopewell | 7A | 4-1-0 | 85.1 | 11.2 |
| 3 | South Mecklenburg | 8A | 1-4-0 | 74.3 | 12.4 |
| 4 | West Mecklenburg | 7A | 0-5-0 | 71.6 | 10.5 |
| 5 | Garinger | 8A | 2-3-0 | 49.7 | -6.5 |

### Greater Neuse River

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Clayton | 7A | 5-0-0 | 115.6 | 12.4 |
| 2 | Southeast Raleigh | 7A | 4-1-0 | 114.2 | 24.5 |
| 3 | Garner | 7A | 3-2-0 | 108.4 | 33.7 |
| 4 | South Garner | 7A | 3-2-0 | 91.3 | -0.6 |
| 5 | Fuquay-Varina | 7A | 2-3-0 | 83.5 | 20.1 |
| 6 | Smithfield-Selma | 7A | 0-5-0 | 56.3 | 6.6 |

### Greater Triad

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | South Davidson Middle and | 1A | 3-2-0 | 50.8 | -27.7 |
| 2 | Bishop McGuinness | 2A | 2-3-0 | 49.8 | -19.1 |
| 3 | Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad | 1A | 1-4-0 | 47.2 | -13.3 |
| 4 | Chatham Central | 1A | 5-0-0 | 47.1 | -32.1 |
| 5 | South Stokes | 2A | 3-2-0 | 41.5 | -26.7 |
| 6 | North Stokes | 1A | 0-5-0 | 25.2 | -23.8 |

### Meck Power Six

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Chambers | 8A | 5-0-0 | 116.1 | 22.7 |
| 2 | Mallard Creek | 8A | 3-2-0 | 110.7 | 37.0 |
| 3 | West Charlotte | 8A | 3-2-0 | 101.6 | 33.3 |
| 4 | Butler | 7A | 3-2-0 | 94.1 | 25.9 |
| 5 | Independence | 7A | 1-4-0 | 85.7 | 25.3 |
| 6 | North Mecklenburg | 7A | 2-3-0 | 84.1 | 3.7 |

### Metro

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Dudley | 6A | 3-2-0 | 94.9 | 25.7 |
| 2 | Ragsdale | 6A | 2-3-0 | 78.5 | 10.5 |
| 3 | Western Guilford | 6A | 2-3-0 | 62.2 | -2.6 |
| 4 | Ben L. Smith | 6A | 1-4-0 | 59.4 | -1.9 |

### Mid Carolina

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Southern Alamance | 6A | 4-1-0 | 95.7 | 17.4 |
| 2 | Southeast Alamance | 5A | 5-0-0 | 93.2 | 3.1 |
| 3 | Eastern Alamance | 5A | 3-2-0 | 90.9 | 8.1 |
| 4 | Person | 5A | 1-4-0 | 66.0 | 6.8 |
| 5 | Cummings | 4A | 1-4-0 | 60.2 | 3.4 |

### Mid South

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Pinecrest | 8A | 2-3-0 | 98.7 | 28.2 |
| 2 | Jack Britt | 7A | 2-3-0 | 86.7 | 21.6 |
| 3 | Overhills | 7A | 3-2-0 | 80.7 | 5.3 |
| 4 | Pine Forest | 7A | 3-2-0 | 78.0 | 13.2 |

### Mid State

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Reidsville | 4A | 2-3-0 | 89.7 | 14.1 |
| 2 | Walkertown | 3A | 4-1-0 | 79.9 | 3.1 |
| 3 | Rockingham County | 5A | 2-3-0 | 73.3 | 2.1 |
| 4 | Morehead | 4A | 3-2-0 | 60.0 | -4.2 |
| 5 | Carver | 4A | 1-5-0 | 44.4 | -11.1 |

### Mountain

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Roberson | 6A | 4-1-0 | 108.1 | 13.6 |
| 2 | Enka | 5A | 5-0-0 | 86.7 | -8.5 |
| 3 | Erwin | 5A | 3-2-0 | 83.1 | 7.4 |
| 4 | Reynolds | 6A | 1-4-0 | 75.8 | 9.6 |

### Mountain Eight

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Tuscola | 4A | 5-0-0 | 95.2 | -1.6 |
| 2 | Smoky Mountain | 5A | 5-0-0 | 89.9 | -12.9 |
| 3 | Pisgah | 4A | 3-2-0 | 81.3 | 5.4 |
| 4 | North Henderson | 5A | 0-5-0 | 65.2 | 16.1 |
| 5 | East Henderson | 4A | 1-4-0 | 50.1 | 1.3 |

### NCISAA 8 Man Freelance

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Pungo Christian Academy | NCISAA 8 | 5-0-0 | 55.4 | -48.2 |
| 2 | Wake Christian Academy | NCISAA 8 | 1-4-0 | 43.2 | -17.3 |

### NCISAA Big 6

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Asheville School (Independent) | NCISAA II | 3-2-0 | 89.3 | 11.3 |
| 2 | SouthLake Christian Academy | NCISAA II | 3-2-0 | 64.7 | -14.3 |

### NCISAA Big East

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Trinity Christian | NCISAA II | 3-2-0 | 82.1 | 3.6 |

### NCISAA Big South

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Providence Day | NCISAA I | 4-1-0 | 122.1 | 35.9 |
| 2 | Charlotte Latin | NCISAA I | 2-3-0 | 84.8 | 21.0 |

### NCISAA Western

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Metrolina Christian Academy | NCISAA I | 2-3-0 | 77.0 | 5.0 |

### North Piedmont

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Lake Norman | 7A | 5-0-0 | 120.1 | 22.9 |
| 2 | Mooresville | 7A | 1-4-0 | 99.2 | 41.3 |
| 3 | Davie County | 7A | 3-2-0 | 98.5 | 31.5 |
| 4 | Statesville | 6A | 2-3-0 | 80.0 | 11.2 |
| 5 | South Iredell | 7A | 1-4-0 | 75.6 | 21.1 |
| 6 | North Iredell | 6A | 0-5-0 | 40.1 | 7.8 |

### Northeastern Coastal

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Northeastern | 3A | 4-1-0 | 88.2 | -0.3 |
| 2 | Martin County | 3A | 4-1-0 | 83.7 | -5.3 |

### Northern Six

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Wake Forest | 7A | 3-2-0 | 103.7 | 24.8 |
| 2 | Franklinton | 6A | 5-0-0 | 91.1 | -6.7 |
| 3 | Heritage | 7A | 1-4-0 | 79.8 | 23.4 |
| 4 | East Wake | 7A | 2-3-0 | 71.4 | 9.1 |
| 5 | Knightdale | 7A | 0-5-0 | 60.6 | 8.8 |
| 6 | Vance County | 6A | 0-5-0 | 58.4 | 17.2 |

### Northwest

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Mount Airy | 3A | 3-2-0 | 85.1 | 18.2 |
| 2 | East Surry | 3A | 1-4-0 | 69.7 | 5.1 |
| 3 | North Surry | 4A | 3-2-0 | 69.2 | -6.3 |
| 4 | Surry Central | 3A | 0-5-0 | 30.0 | -23.0 |

### Northwestern

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Alexander Central | 6A | 4-1-0 | 85.4 | 6.8 |
| 2 | Freedom | 6A | 4-1-0 | 76.5 | -6.2 |
| 3 | Saint Stephens | 6A | 1-4-0 | 72.7 | 4.7 |
| 4 | South Caldwell | 6A | 2-3-0 | 64.9 | 8.4 |

### PAC Seven

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | T Wingate Andrews | 4A | 4-1-0 | 86.5 | 3.0 |
| 2 | Montgomery Central | 5A | 2-3-0 | 75.0 | 12.4 |
| 3 | Ledford | 4A | 3-2-0 | 74.0 | 6.9 |
| 4 | Randleman | 4A | 1-4-0 | 69.8 | 10.2 |
| 5 | Central Davidson | 4A | 1-4-0 | 66.0 | 5.6 |

### Piedmont Triad

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Oak Grove | 5A | 4-1-0 | 109.4 | 14.6 |
| 2 | North Davidson | 5A | 4-1-0 | 92.3 | 5.7 |
| 3 | Mount Tabor | 6A | 1-4-0 | 91.6 | 35.9 |
| 4 | Glenn | 6A | 4-1-0 | 82.2 | 8.0 |
| 5 | North Forsyth Magnet | 5A | 1-4-0 | 50.4 | -0.3 |

### Quad City Seven

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Apex Friendship | 8A | 5-0-0 | 98.8 | 4.9 |
| 2 | Jordan | 8A | 4-1-0 | 96.7 | 10.1 |
| 3 | Green Hope | 8A | 4-1-0 | 90.9 | -1.5 |
| 4 | Panther Creek | 8A | 3-2-0 | 85.0 | 9.6 |
| 5 | Apex | 8A | 2-3-0 | 83.0 | 5.1 |
| 6 | Green Level | 8A | 1-4-0 | 67.2 | 10.4 |

### Quad County

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Wake Preparatory Academy | 3A | 4-1-0 | 71.1 | -23.0 |
| 2 | Nash Central | 4A | 0-5-0 | 62.6 | 17.5 |

### Roanoke River

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | KIPP Pride | 1A | 1-4-0 | 34.9 | -10.2 |

### Rocky River

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Parkwood | 5A | 3-2-0 | 83.5 | 14.3 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 4A | 4-1-0 | 83.2 | 8.6 |

### Smoky Mountain

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Robbinsville | 1A | 1-4-0 | 75.1 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Cherokee | 2A | 3-2-0 | 60.2 | 3.3 |
| 3 | Rosman | 1A | 2-3-0 | 43.4 | -16.7 |

### Southeastern

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Whiteville | 3A | 5-0-0 | 80.0 | -9.3 |
| 2 | South Columbus | 3A | 3-2-0 | 68.9 | 4.1 |
| 3 | South Brunswick | 5A | 2-3-0 | 65.2 | -1.8 |
| 4 | Red Springs | 4A | 1-4-0 | 40.4 | 0.4 |
| 5 | West Bladen | 3A | 0-5-0 | 34.5 | -13.1 |

### Southern Carolina

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Weddington | 7A | 5-0-0 | 122.7 | 30.0 |
| 2 | Marvin Ridge | 7A | 5-0-0 | 110.4 | 13.4 |
| 3 | Charlotte Catholic | 6A | 2-3-0 | 90.0 | 24.9 |
| 4 | Porter Ridge | 7A | 2-3-0 | 83.8 | 21.1 |
| 5 | Piedmont | 6A | 2-3-0 | 74.1 | 7.5 |
| 6 | Cuthbertson | 7A | 1-4-0 | 69.7 | 14.1 |

### Southern Piedmont

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Shelby | 3A | 4-1-0 | 102.0 | 3.2 |
| 2 | Burns | 4A | 3-2-0 | 91.4 | 9.8 |
| 3 | Lincolnton | 3A | 4-1-0 | 90.6 | 1.6 |
| 4 | Cherryville | 2A | 3-2-0 | 61.6 | -10.1 |
| 5 | Bessemer City | 3A | 0-5-0 | 38.2 | 7.1 |
| 6 | Highland Tech | 2A | 0-5-0 | 26.0 | -1.1 |

### Southwestern

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Palisades | 8A | 4-1-0 | 105.6 | 23.5 |
| 2 | Ardrey Kell | 8A | 3-2-0 | 94.6 | 20.9 |
| 3 | Providence | 8A | 1-4-0 | 89.5 | 27.6 |
| 4 | Ballantyne Ridge | 7A | 2-3-0 | 76.0 | 8.4 |
| 5 | East Mecklenburg | 8A | 3-2-0 | 72.7 | 2.9 |
| 6 | Rocky River | 7A | 0-5-0 | 53.0 | 2.4 |

### Swine Valley

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Midway | 3A | 5-0-0 | 80.9 | -0.4 |
| 2 | Princeton | 3A | 2-3-0 | 77.2 | 0.9 |
| 3 | Rosewood | 2A | 3-2-0 | 62.7 | -16.8 |
| 4 | Goldsboro | 3A | 0-5-0 | 21.4 | 2.9 |

### TAAC Six

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Asheboro | 6A | 5-0-0 | 94.3 | 8.9 |
| 2 | Northern Guilford | 6A | 1-4-0 | 79.3 | 28.8 |
| 3 | Southeast Guilford | 6A | 1-4-0 | 72.8 | 9.9 |

### Three Rivers

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | West Craven | 4A | 3-2-0 | 93.0 | 9.2 |
| 2 | North Pitt | 4A | 1-4-0 | 64.1 | 10.6 |
| 3 | North Johnston | 4A | 1-4-0 | 53.8 | -0.8 |
| 4 | North Lenoir | 4A | 0-5-0 | 47.3 | -0.6 |

### Tobacco Road

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Hillside | 7A | 3-2-0 | 78.3 | 14.4 |
| 2 | Riverside | 7A | 1-4-0 | 58.1 | 11.0 |
| 3 | Chapel Hill | 7A | 1-4-0 | 45.9 | -2.2 |

### Tri County

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Scotland | 6A | 4-1-0 | 102.9 | 20.6 |
| 2 | Gray's Creek | 6A | 3-2-0 | 74.6 | -0.1 |
| 3 | Purnell Swett | 7A | 3-2-0 | 74.4 | -6.9 |
| 4 | Terry Sanford | 6A | 1-4-0 | 73.9 | 13.9 |

### Triangle Six

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Cardinal Gibbons | 7A | 3-2-0 | 111.6 | 38.1 |
| 2 | Holly Springs | 7A | 2-3-0 | 79.8 | 14.3 |
| 3 | Sanderson | 7A | 3-2-0 | 79.7 | -3.5 |
| 4 | Cary | 7A | 2-3-0 | 69.7 | 2.2 |

### Western Foothills

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Hickory | 5A | 4-1-0 | 109.9 | 11.8 |
| 2 | East Lincoln | 5A | 5-0-0 | 101.8 | 7.2 |
| 3 | West Iredell | 4A | 5-0-0 | 94.7 | -5.8 |
| 4 | Maiden | 4A | 2-3-0 | 78.0 | 11.0 |
| 5 | Bunker Hill | 4A | 3-2-0 | 74.8 | 4.4 |
| 6 | North Lincoln | 5A | 1-4-0 | 69.0 | 16.3 |

### Western Highlands

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Hendersonville | 3A | 5-0-0 | 87.0 | -0.4 |
| 2 | Mitchell | 2A | 3-2-0 | 73.2 | -2.1 |
| 3 | Owen | 3A | 3-2-0 | 55.9 | -16.1 |
| 4 | Polk County | 3A | 1-4-0 | 53.4 | -9.2 |
| 5 | Avery County | 2A | 3-2-0 | 48.6 | -22.6 |
| 6 | Madison | 3A | 1-4-0 | 41.9 | -15.6 |

### Western Piedmont

| # | School | Class | Record | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | R-S Central | 4A | 4-1-0 | 80.1 | -5.9 |
| 2 | East Burke | 4A | 3-2-0 | 66.8 | -6.0 |
| 3 | Patton | 3A | 0-5-0 | 34.4 | -9.8 |
| 4 | Draughn | 3A | 0-5-0 | 33.9 | 5.5 |


## NCHSAA RPI Standings

*The official NCHSAA RPI standings, as published by the association on September 22, 2026 (nchsaa.org, powered by MaxPreps): 0.4 win percentage, 0.4 opponents' win percentage, 0.2 opponents' opponents'. Records are NCHSAA's, which can differ from ours where the association has ruled on a forfeit.*

### 8A

| # | School | Record | RPI | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Hough | 5-0-0 | 0.87283 | 130.8 | 37.2 |
| 2 | Chambers | 5-0-0 | 0.86667 | 116.1 | 22.7 |
| 3 | Millbrook | 4-0-0 | 0.73563 | 120.1 | 20.7 |
| 4 | Apex Friendship | 5-0-0 | 0.73433 | 98.8 | 4.9 |
| 5 | Green Hope | 4-1-0 | 0.69500 | 90.9 | -1.5 |
| 6 | Palisades | 4-1-0 | 0.69183 | 105.6 | 23.5 |
| 7 | West Forsyth | 4-1-0 | 0.67533 | 114.5 | 29.4 |
| 8 | Hoggard | 3-1-0 | 0.66125 | 112.1 | 27.4 |
| 9 | Broughton | 3-1-0 | 0.64750 | 90.4 | 12.9 |
| 10 | Mallard Creek | 3-2-0 | 0.61356 | 110.7 | 37.0 |
| 11 | West Charlotte | 3-2-0 | 0.60933 | 101.6 | 33.3 |
| 12 | Myers Park | 2-2-0 | 0.59917 | 106.7 | 41.2 |
| 13 | Ardrey Kell | 3-2-0 | 0.59400 | 94.6 | 20.9 |
| 14 | Jordan | 4-1-0 | 0.57350 | 96.7 | 10.1 |
| 15 | Laney | 2-3-0 | 0.55767 | 90.1 | 26.7 |
| 16 | Hoke County | 2-2-0 | 0.55542 | 84.7 | 20.5 |
| 17 | Pinecrest | 2-3-0 | 0.55417 | 98.7 | 28.2 |
| 18 | Panther Creek | 3-2-0 | 0.48917 | 85.0 | 9.6 |
| 19 | Leesville Road | 2-2-0 | 0.47750 | 100.1 | 18.7 |
| 20 | Enloe | 2-2-0 | 0.47583 | 86.0 | 13.1 |
| 21 | Rolesville | 1-2-0 | 0.46528 | 104.2 | 34.7 |
| 22 | East Mecklenburg | 3-2-0 | 0.46133 | 72.7 | 2.9 |
| 23 | Providence | 1-4-0 | 0.43483 | 89.5 | 27.6 |
| 24 | Corinth Holders | 1-3-0 | 0.42347 | 81.5 | 28.7 |
| 25 | Athens Drive | 1-3-0 | 0.41688 | 71.1 | 17.0 |
| 26 | Apex | 2-3-0 | 0.40000 | 83.0 | 5.1 |
| 27 | Willow Spring | 1-3-0 | 0.39271 | 68.0 | 14.3 |
| 28 | South Mecklenburg | 1-4-0 | 0.34850 | 74.3 | 12.4 |
| 29 | Wakefield | 1-3-0 | 0.33875 | 74.7 | 20.8 |
| 30 | Garinger | 2-3-0 | 0.33650 | 49.7 | -6.5 |
| 31 | Green Level | 1-4-0 | 0.33583 | 67.2 | 10.4 |
| 32 | Northwest Guilford | 0-5-0 | 0.24100 | 72.5 | 22.0 |

### 7A

| # | School | Record | RPI | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Weddington | 5-0-0 | 0.79400 | 122.7 | 30.0 |
| 2 | Cleveland | 4-0-0 | 0.78188 | 116.9 | 25.5 |
| 3 | Grimsley | 4-0-0 | 0.77500 | 120.6 | 26.3 |
| 4 | Clayton | 5-0-0 | 0.74350 | 115.6 | 12.4 |
| 5 | Lake Norman | 5-0-0 | 0.73600 | 120.1 | 22.9 |
| 6 | Marvin Ridge | 5-0-0 | 0.72467 | 110.4 | 13.4 |
| 7 | Cape Fear | 5-0-0 | 0.71489 | 94.7 | 1.7 |
| 8 | New Bern | 3-1-0 | 0.69875 | 101.6 | 25.3 |
| 9 | Southeast Raleigh | 4-1-0 | 0.69333 | 114.2 | 24.5 |
| 10 | Davie County | 3-2-0 | 0.67900 | 98.5 | 31.5 |
| 11 | Garner | 3-2-0 | 0.67333 | 108.4 | 33.7 |
| 12 | Reagan | 4-1-0 | 0.67067 | 115.1 | 28.0 |
| 13 | A L Brown | 4-0-0 | 0.66833 | 101.2 | 8.9 |
| 14 | Cardinal Gibbons | 3-2-0 | 0.64783 | 111.6 | 38.1 |
| 15 | Hopewell | 4-1-0 | 0.64000 | 85.1 | 11.2 |
| 16 | D H Conley | 3-1-0 | 0.62500 | 88.9 | 10.7 |
| 17 | Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi | 2-2-0 | 0.60750 | 100.7 | 32.0 |
| 18 | Butler | 3-2-0 | 0.58650 | 94.1 | 25.9 |
| 19 | Wake Forest | 3-2-0 | 0.58500 | 103.7 | 24.8 |
| 20 | New Hanover | 2-3-0 | 0.57917 | 80.6 | 21.6 |
| 21 | East Forsyth | 3-2-0 | 0.56967 | 107.1 | 22.0 |
| 22 | North Brunswick | 3-2-0 | 0.56700 | 82.4 | 8.1 |
| 23 | Page | 4-0-0 | 0.56333 | 107.3 | 2.6 |
| 24 | Topsail | 2-3-0 | 0.55467 | 78.7 | 19.4 |
| 25 | Hickory Ridge | 3-1-0 | 0.55313 | 100.6 | 11.5 |
| 26 | Mooresville | 1-4-0 | 0.52283 | 99.2 | 41.3 |
| 27 | Overhills | 3-2-0 | 0.51967 | 80.7 | 5.3 |
| 28 | Pine Forest | 3-3-0 | 0.51925 | 78.0 | 13.2 |
| 29 | South Central | 3-2-0 | 0.51750 | 88.9 | 10.5 |
| 30 | West Cabarrus | 1-3-0 | 0.50938 | 77.5 | 24.2 |
| 31 | Fuquay-Varina | 2-3-0 | 0.50700 | 83.5 | 20.1 |
| 32 | Purnell Swett | 3-2-0 | 0.50667 | 74.4 | -6.9 |
| 33 | Hillside | 3-2-0 | 0.50537 | 78.3 | 14.4 |
| 34 | Porter Ridge | 2-3-0 | 0.48683 | 83.8 | 21.1 |
| 35 | Jack Britt | 2-3-0 | 0.47853 | 86.7 | 21.6 |
| 36 | Parkland | 3-2-0 | 0.47683 | 66.9 | -9.3 |
| 37 | Ashley | 2-3-0 | 0.47453 | 77.2 | 17.6 |
| 38 | Independence | 1-4-0 | 0.47167 | 85.7 | 25.3 |
| 39 | McDowell | 1-3-0 | 0.46983 | 58.5 | 2.2 |
| 40 | Ballantyne Ridge | 2-3-0 | 0.46817 | 76.0 | 8.4 |
| 41 | South Garner | 3-2-0 | 0.45767 | 91.3 | -0.6 |
| 42 | Sanderson | 3-2-0 | 0.45733 | 79.7 | -3.5 |
| 43 | R J Reynolds | 3-2-0 | 0.45683 | 81.0 | -4.5 |
| 44 | Richmond | 1-3-0 | 0.42813 | 102.3 | 30.5 |
| 45 | Holly Springs | 2-3-0 | 0.42800 | 79.8 | 14.3 |
| 46 | East Wake | 2-3-0 | 0.42083 | 71.4 | 9.1 |
| 47 | South Iredell | 1-4-0 | 0.41333 | 75.6 | 21.1 |
| 48 | North Mecklenburg | 2-3-0 | 0.40933 | 84.1 | 3.7 |
| 49 | Heritage | 1-4-0 | 0.40383 | 79.8 | 23.4 |
| 50 | Southwest Guilford | 0-4-0 | 0.39646 | 62.1 | 18.9 |
| 51 | Riverside | 1-4-0 | 0.38533 | 58.1 | 11.0 |
| 52 | Lumberton | 1-3-0 | 0.38375 | 65.7 | 0.9 |
| 53 | Cuthbertson | 1-4-0 | 0.38183 | 69.7 | 14.1 |
| 54 | Cary | 2-3-0 | 0.33267 | 69.7 | 2.2 |
| 55 | Cox Mill | 1-3-0 | 0.32063 | 72.6 | 8.4 |
| 56 | Chapel Hill | 1-4-0 | 0.30033 | 45.9 | -2.2 |
| 57 | Knightdale | 0-5-0 | 0.26667 | 60.6 | 8.8 |
| 58 | West Mecklenburg | 0-5-0 | 0.26183 | 71.6 | 10.5 |
| 59 | Smithfield-Selma | 0-5-0 | 0.25167 | 56.3 | 6.6 |
| 60 | Rocky River | 0-5-0 | 0.18850 | 53.0 | 2.4 |

### 6A

| # | School | Record | RPI | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Asheboro | 5-0-0 | 0.75667 | 94.3 | 8.9 |
| 2 | Jacksonville | 3-1-0 | 0.73938 | 106.1 | 14.8 |
| 3 | Williams | 3-0-0 | 0.72556 | 92.1 | 5.5 |
| 4 | Junius H Rose | 5-0-0 | 0.72533 | 105.9 | 19.9 |
| 5 | Roberson | 4-1-0 | 0.70950 | 108.1 | 13.6 |
| 6 | Franklinton | 5-0-0 | 0.70750 | 91.1 | -6.7 |
| 7 | Southern Alamance | 4-1-0 | 0.70150 | 95.7 | 17.4 |
| 8 | Scotland | 4-1-0 | 0.67633 | 102.9 | 20.6 |
| 9 | Harnett Central | 3-0-0 | 0.67111 | 83.3 | -0.6 |
| 10 | Kings Mountain | 4-1-0 | 0.65883 | 106.9 | 14.3 |
| 11 | Swansboro | 4-1-0 | 0.65233 | 74.0 | -6.5 |
| 12 | Asheville | 3-1-0 | 0.64792 | 88.3 | 15.3 |
| 13 | Triton | 4-0-0 | 0.64229 | 78.7 | -0.2 |
| 14 | Dudley | 3-2-0 | 0.63200 | 94.9 | 25.7 |
| 15 | Felton Grove | 3-1-0 | 0.62771 | 78.6 | -1.5 |
| 16 | Ashbrook | 2-3-0 | 0.61100 | 99.6 | 25.0 |
| 17 | Glenn | 4-1-0 | 0.60200 | 82.2 | 8.0 |
| 18 | Alexander Central | 4-1-0 | 0.59017 | 85.4 | 6.8 |
| 19 | Union Pines | 3-1-0 | 0.58208 | 96.0 | 13.5 |
| 20 | Northern Nash | 2-2-0 | 0.58042 | 100.0 | 23.6 |
| 21 | Seventy-First | 3-1-0 | 0.57518 | 100.5 | 10.8 |
| 22 | Freedom | 4-1-0 | 0.57067 | 76.5 | -6.2 |
| 23 | Sun Valley | 2-2-0 | 0.55958 | 94.7 | 30.3 |
| 24 | Middle Creek | 2-2-0 | 0.55354 | 105.1 | 21.5 |
| 25 | Statesville | 2-3-0 | 0.49817 | 80.0 | 11.2 |
| 26 | Northern | 2-2-0 | 0.49542 | 51.2 | -10.0 |
| 27 | South Caldwell | 2-3-0 | 0.48950 | 64.9 | 8.4 |
| 28 | South Johnston | 1-2-0 | 0.48667 | 77.1 | 11.2 |
| 29 | Piedmont | 2-3-0 | 0.48617 | 74.1 | 7.5 |
| 30 | Charlotte Catholic | 2-3-0 | 0.48350 | 90.0 | 24.9 |
| 31 | White Oak | 2-2-0 | 0.47083 | 70.5 | 0.0 |
| 32 | Central Cabarrus | 1-3-0 | 0.46813 | 77.6 | 14.8 |
| 33 | Olympic | 2-2-0 | 0.45667 | 80.6 | 16.0 |
| 34 | Westover | 2-3-0 | 0.45390 | 82.2 | 11.0 |
| 35 | Mount Tabor | 1-4-0 | 0.44850 | 91.6 | 35.9 |
| 36 | West Brunswick | 1-4-0 | 0.44067 | 76.5 | 7.3 |
| 37 | Lee County | 0-4-0 | 0.43875 | 67.9 | 18.4 |
| 38 | Ragsdale | 2-3-0 | 0.43100 | 78.5 | 10.5 |
| 39 | Harding University | 1-3-0 | 0.41688 | 68.7 | 15.9 |
| 40 | Eastern Guilford | 1-3-0 | 0.41271 | 66.9 | 15.0 |
| 41 | Gray's Creek | 3-2-0 | 0.40964 | 74.6 | -0.1 |
| 42 | Western Harnett | 3-1-0 | 0.40236 | 58.7 | -27.5 |
| 43 | West Johnston | 1-3-0 | 0.39813 | 68.4 | 19.8 |
| 44 | Watauga | 1-3-0 | 0.39167 | 87.1 | 10.2 |
| 45 | Southeast Guilford | 1-4-0 | 0.38667 | 72.8 | 9.9 |
| 46 | Western Guilford | 2-3-0 | 0.37633 | 62.2 | -2.6 |
| 47 | Saint Stephens | 1-4-0 | 0.37033 | 72.7 | 4.7 |
| 48 | Northern Guilford | 1-4-0 | 0.36667 | 79.3 | 28.8 |
| 49 | Reynolds | 1-4-0 | 0.36600 | 75.8 | 9.6 |
| 50 | Vance County | 0-5-0 | 0.35950 | 58.4 | 17.2 |
| 51 | Phillip O Berry Academy of Technology | 2-2-0 | 0.35000 | 70.7 | 5.4 |
| 52 | South View | 1-4-0 | 0.34637 | 76.9 | 15.1 |
| 53 | Southern Lee | 0-4-0 | 0.32500 | 45.5 | 12.4 |
| 54 | East Chapel Hill | 1-2-0 | 0.31287 | 42.8 | -19.1 |
| 55 | Ben L. Smith | 1-4-0 | 0.30483 | 59.4 | -1.9 |
| 56 | Terry Sanford | 1-4-0 | 0.30448 | 73.9 | 13.9 |
| 57 | North Iredell | 0-5-0 | 0.28500 | 40.1 | 7.8 |
| 58 | E E Smith | 0-5-0 | 0.21484 | 72.3 | 6.4 |

### 5A

| # | School | Record | RPI | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | South Point | 5-0-0 | 0.86867 | 107.7 | 27.1 |
| 2 | Northside | 4-0-0 | 0.80042 | 103.7 | 18.9 |
| 3 | Crest | 3-1-0 | 0.79146 | 105.4 | 31.1 |
| 4 | Hunt | 4-0-0 | 0.76563 | 95.5 | 12.6 |
| 5 | Southeast Alamance | 5-0-0 | 0.74567 | 93.2 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Saint Pauls | 5-0-0 | 0.72467 | 89.4 | -4.2 |
| 7 | Jay M Robinson | 4-0-0 | 0.71604 | 105.4 | 5.7 |
| 8 | Hickory | 4-1-0 | 0.71133 | 109.9 | 11.8 |
| 9 | Enka | 5-0-0 | 0.70650 | 86.7 | -8.5 |
| 10 | West Rowan | 3-1-0 | 0.70021 | 92.8 | 9.6 |
| 11 | Forest Hills | 4-0-0 | 0.69042 | 85.9 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Croatan | 5-0-0 | 0.68517 | 93.2 | -4.4 |
| 13 | Northeast Guilford | 3-1-0 | 0.68063 | 96.0 | 16.6 |
| 14 | East Lincoln | 5-0-0 | 0.67433 | 101.8 | 7.2 |
| 15 | Fike | 5-0-0 | 0.67400 | 104.2 | -1.9 |
| 16 | Oak Grove | 4-1-0 | 0.64883 | 109.4 | 14.6 |
| 17 | North Davidson | 4-1-0 | 0.64367 | 92.3 | 5.7 |
| 18 | Northwest Cabarrus | 3-1-0 | 0.63792 | 80.5 | 12.8 |
| 19 | West Henderson | 2-2-0 | 0.63500 | 76.5 | 10.3 |
| 20 | Franklin | 5-0-0 | 0.63350 | 94.2 | -4.2 |
| 21 | Seaforth | 4-1-0 | 0.62467 | 76.3 | -6.9 |
| 22 | Smoky Mountain | 5-0-0 | 0.61633 | 89.9 | -12.9 |
| 23 | Monroe | 2-2-0 | 0.60729 | 98.6 | 30.9 |
| 24 | Western Alamance | 4-0-0 | 0.59417 | 79.6 | -1.5 |
| 25 | Carson | 3-1-0 | 0.59171 | 74.5 | -2.5 |
| 26 | Charles B Aycock | 2-2-0 | 0.56938 | 74.3 | -3.2 |
| 27 | Montgomery Central | 2-3-0 | 0.54950 | 75.0 | 12.4 |
| 28 | East Rowan | 2-2-0 | 0.54146 | 64.0 | 2.3 |
| 29 | Parkwood | 3-2-0 | 0.54133 | 83.5 | 14.3 |
| 30 | Eastern Alamance | 3-2-0 | 0.53750 | 90.9 | 8.1 |
| 31 | Havelock | 2-3-0 | 0.53550 | 90.6 | 21.6 |
| 32 | Erwin | 3-2-0 | 0.53517 | 83.1 | 7.4 |
| 33 | North Buncombe | 3-1-0 | 0.53458 | 68.1 | -18.3 |
| 34 | Southern Nash | 3-2-0 | 0.53133 | 73.9 | 8.2 |
| 35 | Rocky Mount | 3-2-0 | 0.53067 | 90.2 | 8.5 |
| 36 | South Granville | 3-2-0 | 0.52567 | 69.1 | 3.0 |
| 37 | Rockingham County | 2-3-0 | 0.52200 | 73.3 | 2.1 |
| 38 | Huss | 3-2-0 | 0.49617 | 82.0 | -1.9 |
| 39 | Southern Wayne | 3-2-0 | 0.49500 | 62.9 | -11.9 |
| 40 | West Carteret | 2-2-0 | 0.49125 | 73.7 | 6.4 |
| 41 | Currituck County | 2-2-0 | 0.48264 | 70.5 | 0.4 |
| 42 | North Lincoln | 1-4-0 | 0.45283 | 69.0 | 16.3 |
| 43 | Concord | 1-3-0 | 0.44979 | 64.0 | 7.6 |
| 44 | North Henderson | 0-5-0 | 0.43200 | 65.2 | 16.1 |
| 45 | J. F. Webb | 1-3-0 | 0.40958 | 56.5 | -1.6 |
| 46 | Person | 1-4-0 | 0.38817 | 66.0 | 6.8 |
| 47 | Orange | 1-3-0 | 0.36938 | 66.1 | 1.1 |
| 48 | South Brunswick | 2-3-0 | 0.36667 | 65.2 | -1.8 |
| 49 | Forestview | 0-5-0 | 0.33800 | 60.5 | 11.6 |
| 50 | Dixon | 2-3-0 | 0.33117 | 67.0 | -8.9 |
| 51 | Richlands | 1-4-0 | 0.32817 | 61.7 | 4.3 |
| 52 | North Forsyth Magnet | 1-4-0 | 0.32067 | 50.4 | -0.3 |
| 53 | Douglas Byrd | 0-5-0 | 0.27653 | 40.0 | -1.4 |
| 54 | Atkins | 0-4-0 | 0.25583 | 46.3 | 3.5 |
| 55 | North Gaston | 0-5-0 | 0.24267 | 33.3 | 1.6 |
| 56 | Southern Guilford | 0-4-0 | 0.20896 | 41.4 | 6.8 |
| 57 | Cedar Ridge | 0-3-0 | 0.12917 | 28.1 | -26.6 |

### 4A

| # | School | Record | RPI | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Tuscola | 5-0-0 | 0.72500 | 95.2 | -1.6 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 4-1-0 | 0.70950 | 83.2 | 8.6 |
| 3 | East Duplin | 4-1-0 | 0.69367 | 83.3 | 13.4 |
| 4 | Eastern Wayne | 4-0-0 | 0.67188 | 87.7 | -21.3 |
| 5 | West Iredell | 5-0-0 | 0.66717 | 94.7 | -5.8 |
| 6 | Hibriten | 4-0-0 | 0.66479 | 95.9 | 1.7 |
| 7 | Clinton | 3-2-0 | 0.66267 | 74.4 | 3.8 |
| 8 | Forbush | 3-1-0 | 0.64750 | 54.9 | -13.1 |
| 9 | T Wingate Andrews | 4-1-0 | 0.64300 | 86.5 | 3.0 |
| 10 | South Rowan | 3-1-0 | 0.60813 | 76.7 | -14.1 |
| 11 | Burns | 3-2-0 | 0.60333 | 91.4 | 9.8 |
| 12 | R-S Central | 4-1-0 | 0.59633 | 80.1 | -5.9 |
| 13 | North Surry | 3-2-0 | 0.59483 | 69.2 | -6.3 |
| 14 | West Stanly | 2-2-0 | 0.59271 | 66.1 | -3.2 |
| 15 | SouthWest Edgecombe | 3-1-0 | 0.59250 | 81.7 | 2.2 |
| 16 | Fairmont | 2-2-0 | 0.58521 | 65.9 | 5.1 |
| 17 | Ledford | 3-2-0 | 0.57600 | 74.0 | 6.9 |
| 18 | Pisgah | 3-2-0 | 0.57233 | 81.3 | 5.4 |
| 19 | Roanoke Rapids | 3-1-0 | 0.56708 | 64.6 | -13.6 |
| 20 | Southwestern Randolph | 4-1-0 | 0.56667 | 71.1 | -15.1 |
| 21 | Bandys | 2-2-0 | 0.56083 | 77.7 | 19.0 |
| 22 | West Stokes | 2-2-0 | 0.52979 | 71.7 | 3.2 |
| 23 | East Burke | 3-2-0 | 0.52650 | 66.8 | -6.0 |
| 24 | Lake Norman Charter | 2-2-0 | 0.52067 | 64.3 | 1.9 |
| 25 | West Craven | 3-2-0 | 0.51150 | 93.0 | 9.2 |
| 26 | Stuart W Cramer | 4-0-0 | 0.51083 | 88.9 | -30.5 |
| 27 | Bunker Hill | 3-2-0 | 0.50883 | 74.8 | 4.4 |
| 28 | Morehead | 3-2-0 | 0.50767 | 60.0 | -4.2 |
| 29 | Anson | 3-1-0 | 0.50563 | 73.4 | -15.9 |
| 30 | Reidsville | 2-3-0 | 0.49794 | 89.7 | 14.1 |
| 31 | Foard | 1-3-0 | 0.48625 | 67.0 | 13.6 |
| 32 | Maiden | 2-3-0 | 0.47867 | 78.0 | 11.0 |
| 33 | Newton-Conover | 1-3-0 | 0.46667 | 74.1 | 17.6 |
| 34 | Wilkes Central | 3-1-0 | 0.46313 | 79.3 | -28.5 |
| 35 | Graham | 0-1-0 | 0.46250 | 32.7 | -22.9 |
| 36 | Randleman | 1-4-0 | 0.45833 | 69.8 | 10.2 |
| 37 | Cummings | 1-4-0 | 0.44683 | 60.2 | 3.4 |
| 38 | East Gaston | 2-2-0 | 0.43750 | 58.1 | -1.0 |
| 39 | Lexington | 1-3-0 | 0.43542 | 68.3 | 3.4 |
| 40 | East Henderson | 1-4-0 | 0.43333 | 50.1 | 1.3 |
| 41 | Washington | 0-4-0 | 0.41250 | 63.4 | 15.2 |
| 42 | Bunn | 1-3-0 | 0.40958 | 63.1 | 2.1 |
| 43 | Salisbury | 0-4-0 | 0.40000 | 56.1 | 16.5 |
| 44 | Jordan-Matthews | 2-3-0 | 0.38733 | 35.7 | -23.9 |
| 45 | North Pitt | 1-4-0 | 0.37817 | 64.1 | 10.6 |
| 46 | Central Davidson | 1-4-0 | 0.37033 | 66.0 | 5.6 |
| 47 | Red Springs | 1-4-0 | 0.36100 | 40.4 | 0.4 |
| 48 | North Johnston | 1-4-0 | 0.35933 | 53.8 | -0.8 |
| 49 | Southwest | 1-4-0 | 0.35733 | 61.8 | 3.7 |
| 50 | Nash Central | 0-5-0 | 0.33183 | 62.6 | 17.5 |
| 51 | Lincoln Charter | 0-4-0 | 0.29479 | 42.2 | -1.5 |
| 52 | Brevard | 0-4-0 | 0.29313 | 61.4 | 10.3 |
| 53 | Carrboro | 1-3-0 | 0.28354 | 33.7 | -26.1 |
| 54 | Ashe County | 0-4-0 | 0.27104 | 44.7 | 6.0 |
| 55 | North Lenoir | 0-5-0 | 0.24883 | 47.3 | -0.6 |
| 56 | First Flight | 0-4-0 | 0.24854 | 44.2 | -13.3 |
| 57 | Carver | 1-4-0 | 0.24533 | 44.4 | -11.1 |

### 3A

| # | School | Record | RPI | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | North Stanly | 4-0-0 | 0.79229 | 84.8 | 1.7 |
| 2 | Midway | 5-0-0 | 0.73333 | 80.9 | -0.4 |
| 3 | Hendersonville | 5-0-0 | 0.72367 | 87.0 | -0.4 |
| 4 | Whiteville | 5-0-0 | 0.72267 | 80.0 | -9.3 |
| 5 | Martin County | 4-0-0 | 0.71854 | 83.7 | -5.3 |
| 6 | Shelby | 4-1-0 | 0.67167 | 102.0 | 3.2 |
| 7 | Hertford County | 3-1-0 | 0.67083 | 83.0 | -7.5 |
| 8 | James Kenan | 2-1-0 | 0.66444 | 89.4 | 3.4 |
| 9 | Chase | 4-0-0 | 0.65750 | 71.6 | -19.3 |
| 10 | Lincolnton | 4-1-0 | 0.63983 | 90.6 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Northeastern | 4-1-0 | 0.63067 | 88.2 | -0.3 |
| 12 | Mount Airy | 3-2-0 | 0.60533 | 85.1 | 18.2 |
| 13 | Walkertown | 4-1-0 | 0.60050 | 79.9 | 3.1 |
| 14 | Thomasville | 3-1-0 | 0.59438 | 84.8 | -0.7 |
| 15 | Wake Preparatory Academy | 4-1-0 | 0.59017 | 71.1 | -23.0 |
| 16 | Wallace-Rose Hill | 2-2-0 | 0.57271 | 82.5 | 8.8 |
| 17 | South Columbus | 3-2-0 | 0.56817 | 68.9 | 4.1 |
| 18 | Northwood | 2-3-0 | 0.55850 | 63.7 | 2.0 |
| 19 | Eastern Randolph | 2-3-0 | 0.54650 | 85.0 | 15.5 |
| 20 | Providence Grove | 3-2-0 | 0.53933 | 72.0 | -5.7 |
| 21 | West Davidson | 3-2-0 | 0.53350 | 69.0 | -1.2 |
| 22 | Louisburg Magnet | 2-1-0 | 0.53222 | 60.1 | -18.5 |
| 23 | Kinston | 3-2-0 | 0.51283 | 82.5 | -3.1 |
| 24 | Pasquotank County | 2-2-0 | 0.50479 | 64.8 | -6.7 |
| 25 | Pine Lake Preparatory | 3-1-0 | 0.50458 | 56.9 | -22.8 |
| 26 | Princeton | 2-3-0 | 0.49733 | 77.2 | 0.9 |
| 27 | South Lenoir | 3-2-0 | 0.47283 | 45.2 | -17.8 |
| 28 | Owen | 3-2-0 | 0.47033 | 55.9 | -16.1 |
| 29 | Mountain Heritage | 2-2-0 | 0.46250 | 75.2 | 4.9 |
| 30 | Union Academy | 2-2-0 | 0.45729 | 64.2 | -9.8 |
| 31 | East Davidson | 2-3-0 | 0.44950 | 47.7 | -7.2 |
| 32 | Greene Central | 3-2-0 | 0.44883 | 77.0 | -11.9 |
| 33 | North Wilkes | 2-2-0 | 0.44292 | 61.1 | -13.5 |
| 34 | West Wilkes | 2-2-0 | 0.44229 | 63.2 | -8.6 |
| 35 | Farmville Central | 2-3-0 | 0.42633 | 65.7 | 11.7 |
| 36 | Pender | 2-2-0 | 0.40917 | 75.0 | -13.4 |
| 37 | East Rutherford | 0-4-0 | 0.40875 | 63.9 | 20.4 |
| 38 | West Lincoln | 2-2-0 | 0.40167 | 66.3 | -7.1 |
| 39 | North Moore | 0-5-0 | 0.39983 | 35.4 | 4.7 |
| 40 | East Surry | 1-4-0 | 0.39250 | 69.7 | 5.1 |
| 41 | Wheatmore | 1-4-0 | 0.38583 | 52.7 | -14.7 |
| 42 | Polk County | 1-4-0 | 0.34067 | 53.4 | -9.2 |
| 43 | Ayden-Grifton | 1-4-0 | 0.33517 | 60.5 | 6.4 |
| 44 | Madison | 1-4-0 | 0.33470 | 41.9 | -15.6 |
| 45 | Trinity | 1-4-0 | 0.32917 | 32.3 | -14.3 |
| 46 | Draughn | 0-5-0 | 0.32667 | 33.9 | 5.5 |
| 47 | Goldsboro | 0-5-0 | 0.30883 | 21.4 | 2.9 |
| 48 | Bartlett Yancey | 1-3-0 | 0.30875 | 36.7 | -15.4 |
| 49 | McMichael | 1-3-0 | 0.30444 | 28.7 | -14.4 |
| 50 | Bessemer City | 0-5-0 | 0.29750 | 38.2 | 7.1 |
| 51 | Patton | 0-5-0 | 0.25187 | 34.4 | -9.8 |
| 52 | Heide Trask | 1-4-0 | 0.24100 | 46.1 | -15.9 |
| 53 | Surry Central | 0-5-0 | 0.19283 | 30.0 | -23.0 |
| 54 | West Bladen | 0-5-0 | 0.18383 | 34.5 | -13.1 |
| 55 | Beddingfield | 0-3-0 | 0.17222 | 31.6 | -13.4 |

### 2A

| # | School | Record | RPI | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Starmount | 4-0-0 | 0.77604 | 88.2 | -8.4 |
| 2 | Corvian Community | 3-1-0 | 0.69938 | 86.2 | 18.8 |
| 3 | Alleghany | 4-0-0 | 0.69792 | 75.3 | -13.3 |
| 4 | Tarboro | 4-1-0 | 0.68700 | 95.8 | 19.5 |
| 5 | Christ the King | 4-0-0 | 0.67208 | 77.0 | -14.1 |
| 6 | Cherokee | 3-2-0 | 0.65583 | 60.2 | 3.3 |
| 7 | Manteo | 4-1-0 | 0.64050 | 60.8 | -16.8 |
| 8 | Warren County | 4-0-0 | 0.62792 | 91.7 | -8.4 |
| 9 | Holmes | 3-1-0 | 0.62792 | 86.9 | -0.7 |
| 10 | North Rowan | 3-1-0 | 0.62083 | 76.1 | -0.7 |
| 11 | Southside | 3-2-0 | 0.58167 | 46.6 | -14.0 |
| 12 | North Duplin Jr Sr | 3-1-0 | 0.57833 | 56.5 | -25.6 |
| 13 | Lakewood | 2-3-0 | 0.52467 | 59.3 | -7.6 |
| 14 | Bertie | 1-3-0 | 0.51729 | 40.1 | 3.0 |
| 15 | Cherryville | 3-2-0 | 0.51467 | 61.6 | -10.1 |
| 16 | Mountain Island Charter | 3-1-0 | 0.51458 | 66.6 | -20.4 |
| 17 | East Wilkes | 2-2-0 | 0.51333 | 85.2 | 0.6 |
| 18 | Murphy | 2-2-0 | 0.50750 | 76.8 | 11.9 |
| 19 | Mitchell | 3-2-0 | 0.50633 | 73.2 | -2.1 |
| 20 | East Bladen | 3-2-0 | 0.49867 | 66.3 | -13.5 |
| 21 | Gates County | 2-2-0 | 0.49833 | 63.8 | -10.8 |
| 22 | Community School of Davidson | 2-2-0 | 0.48646 | 79.0 | -0.9 |
| 23 | Rosewood | 3-2-0 | 0.47300 | 62.7 | -16.8 |
| 24 | Elkin | 2-2-0 | 0.46438 | 36.9 | -20.4 |
| 25 | Union | 3-1-0 | 0.45854 | 49.4 | -30.3 |
| 26 | Albemarle | 2-2-0 | 0.45667 | 52.0 | -14.1 |
| 27 | Avery County | 3-2-0 | 0.44167 | 48.6 | -22.6 |
| 28 | Bishop McGuinness | 2-3-0 | 0.43950 | 49.8 | -19.1 |
| 29 | Langtree Charter Academy | 2-2-0 | 0.42271 | 46.5 | -22.9 |
| 30 | Hobbton | 1-4-0 | 0.41150 | 59.9 | -4.4 |
| 31 | Perquimans County | 2-3-0 | 0.41033 | 49.9 | -15.1 |
| 32 | Northwest Halifax Collegiate and Technic | 2-2-0 | 0.40208 | 43.8 | -31.6 |
| 33 | South Stokes | 3-2-0 | 0.40150 | 41.5 | -26.7 |
| 34 | West Columbus | 1-3-0 | 0.38917 | 47.6 | -7.6 |
| 35 | Swain County | 1-4-0 | 0.38133 | 60.0 | 0.0 |
| 36 | East Carteret | 1-4-0 | 0.37507 | 50.1 | -3.7 |
| 37 | Pamlico County | 1-3-0 | 0.37250 | 34.8 | -14.9 |
| 38 | Camden County | 1-3-0 | 0.36042 | 51.7 | -6.2 |
| 39 | South Stanly | 1-3-0 | 0.32646 | 54.8 | -9.4 |
| 40 | Lejeune | 1-3-0 | 0.32458 | 34.6 | -24.9 |
| 41 | Hayesville | 1-3-0 | 0.31067 | 42.4 | -3.9 |
| 42 | American Leadership Academy - Johnston | 1-3-0 | 0.30750 | 43.1 | -20.3 |
| 43 | Highland Tech | 0-5-0 | 0.26933 | 26.0 | -1.1 |
| 44 | Bradford Preparatory | 1-3-0 | 0.25229 | 45.7 | -15.6 |
| 45 | Triangle Math and Science Academy | 0-4-0 | 0.24313 | 11.7 | -25.4 |

### 1A

| # | School | Record | RPI | Power | SOS |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Northside | 5-0-0 | 0.70633 | 75.9 | -12.1 |
| 2 | Chatham Central | 5-0-0 | 0.65767 | 47.1 | -32.1 |
| 3 | Hobgood Charter | 2-2-0 | 0.50458 | 36.9 | -23.9 |
| 4 | North Edgecombe | 3-2-0 | 0.49483 | 45.4 | -23.3 |
| 5 | Columbia | 2-2-0 | 0.48694 | 30.4 | -34.1 |
| 6 | Rocky Mount Preparatory | 3-1-0 | 0.48125 | 53.8 | -35.6 |
| 7 | East Columbus Junior-Senior | 2-3-0 | 0.46583 | 38.7 | -16.1 |
| 8 | Wilson Preparatory Academy | 1-4-0 | 0.42133 | 74.0 | 17.9 |
| 9 | South Davidson Middle and | 3-2-0 | 0.41700 | 50.8 | -27.7 |
| 10 | Rosman | 2-3-0 | 0.41077 | 43.4 | -16.7 |
| 11 | Robbinsville | 1-4-0 | 0.40417 | 75.1 | 6.0 |
| 12 | Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad | 1-4-0 | 0.38383 | 47.2 | -13.3 |
| 13 | North East Carolina Prep | 3-2-0 | 0.37883 | 39.8 | -45.0 |
| 14 | Sallie B Howard | 2-2-0 | 0.36028 | 40.1 | -26.6 |
| 15 | KIPP Pride | 1-4-0 | 0.35417 | 34.9 | -10.2 |
| 16 | Washington County | 1-4-0 | 0.33589 | 44.5 | -25.7 |
| 17 | Southeast Collegiate Prep Academy | 1-4-0 | 0.33317 | 40.2 | -24.9 |
| 18 | Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy | 1-3-0 | 0.30306 | 48.5 | -17.7 |
| 19 | Jones | 0-4-0 | 0.27188 | 8.9 | -27.0 |
| 20 | Bonnie Cone Leadership Academy | 0-4-0 | 0.23708 | 28.8 | -15.6 |
| 21 | Andrews | 0-4-0 | 0.23083 | 33.8 | -3.7 |
| 22 | Bear Grass Charter | 0-5-0 | 0.22867 | 26.7 | -24.4 |
| 23 | North Stokes | 0-5-0 | 0.22733 | 25.2 | -23.8 |
| 24 | College Prep and Leadership Academy | 0-3-0 | 0.19111 | 37.5 | -15.6 |
| 25 | Weldon STEM | 0-3-0 | 0.15917 | 16.6 | -23.3 |

## Season Projection

120 simulated seasons. Results through week 5 are taken as they stand; every week after that is played out in full, with ratings refit after each one. Outcomes are sampled rather than awarded to the favorite, so upsets happen at the rate the model believes they happen. The mean rating comes back close to where the season has already put each team — a simulation learns nothing new about games nobody has played — so the 10th–90th band, not the mean, is the forecast, and it widens the further out the projection runs.


### Projected final power rankings — top 25

| # | School | Class | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Hough | 8A | 9.9-0.1 | 62.8 | 58.2 – 67.0 | 21.8 |
| 2 | Millbrook | 8A | 9.8-0.2 | 57.0 | 51.1 – 62.6 | 22.0 |
| 3 | Weddington | 7A | 9.7-0.3 | 54.4 | 49.9 – 58.9 | 22.1 |
| 4 | Grimsley | 7A | 9.6-0.4 | 53.3 | 46.9 – 59.0 | 17.6 |
| 5 | Providence Day | NCISAA I | 8.8-1.2 | 53.2 | 47.9 – 59.1 | 26.6 |
| 6 | Lake Norman | 7A | 9.7-0.3 | 52.3 | 46.9 – 57.2 | 14.6 |
| 7 | Chambers | 8A | 9.4-0.6 | 51.3 | 44.3 – 58.1 | 22.7 |
| 8 | Cleveland | 7A | 8.7-1.3 | 49.9 | 43.5 – 56.3 | 26.5 |
| 9 | Southeast Raleigh | 7A | 7.9-2.1 | 49.2 | 44.3 – 54.4 | 25.2 |
| 10 | Reagan | 7A | 8.2-1.8 | 48.0 | 41.5 – 54.4 | 22.0 |
| 11 | Clayton | 7A | 8.4-1.6 | 47.2 | 41.4 – 53.0 | 20.6 |
| 12 | West Forsyth | 8A | 8.2-1.8 | 47.1 | 41.2 – 52.4 | 23.7 |
| 13 | Hoggard | 8A | 8.8-1.2 | 46.4 | 39.7 – 52.0 | 18.9 |
| 14 | Cardinal Gibbons | 7A | 7.5-2.5 | 46.3 | 39.7 – 52.6 | 28.5 |
| 15 | Marvin Ridge | 7A | 8.9-1.1 | 43.4 | 36.6 – 50.6 | 16.0 |
| 16 | Scotland | 6A | 8.7-1.3 | 42.9 | 36.2 – 48.7 | 15.1 |
| 17 | Garner | 7A | 6.6-3.4 | 42.8 | 36.8 – 48.6 | 30.0 |
| 18 | Northside | 5A | 9.7-0.3 | 42.8 | 35.1 – 52.2 | 12.3 |
| 19 | Hickory | 5A | 8.7-1.4 | 42.4 | 36.6 – 49.2 | 11.0 |
| 20 | Fike | 5A | 9.5-0.5 | 42.3 | 34.5 – 49.0 | 4.8 |
| 21 | Oak Grove | 5A | 8.7-1.3 | 41.4 | 35.0 – 47.4 | 7.0 |
| 22 | Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi | 7A | 7.0-2.0 | 40.8 | 34.4 – 46.7 | 9.4 |
| 23 | Wake Forest | 7A | 7.7-2.3 | 40.6 | 33.2 – 46.8 | 16.7 |
| 24 | Roberson | 6A | 8.8-1.2 | 40.5 | 33.3 – 47.2 | 9.2 |
| 25 | Junius H Rose | 6A | 8.9-1.1 | 40.3 | 34.3 – 47.8 | 21.9 |

### Most likely to finish unbeaten

| School | Class | Proj. record | Unbeaten |
|---|---|--:|--:|
| Hough | 8A | 9.9-0.1 | 91% |
| Millbrook | 8A | 9.8-0.2 | 83% |
| Weddington | 7A | 9.7-0.3 | 73% |
| Grimsley | 7A | 9.6-0.4 | 65% |
| Lake Norman | 7A | 9.7-0.3 | 72% |
| Chambers | 8A | 9.4-0.6 | 52% |
| Cleveland | 7A | 8.7-1.3 | 27% |
| Clayton | 7A | 8.4-1.6 | 16% |
| Marvin Ridge | 7A | 8.9-1.1 | 19% |
| Northside | 5A | 9.7-0.3 | 80% |
| Fike | 5A | 9.5-0.5 | 53% |
| Junius H Rose | 6A | 8.9-1.1 | 29% |

### Projected state champions

Each association's own procedure, applied to every simulated season.

**NCHSAA** — carried to a final RPI, the field taken from that alone, split east and west by school longitude, seeded on RPI. The higher seed hosts until the state final, which is neutral.

**NCISAA** — eight per classification over three rounds, seeded on rating with a head-to-head result able to overturn it, and the higher seed hosting throughout including the final. Teams under two wins or four games are ineligible.

| Class | Most likely | Next | Then |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | Northside 50% | Wilson Preparatory Academy 35% | Robbinsville 15% |
| 2A | Tarboro 34% | Warren County 28% | Starmount 12% |
| 3A | Shelby 38% | Thomasville 12% | Northeastern 8% |
| 4A | Tuscola 24% | Hibriten 21% | West Craven 18% |
| 5A | Northside 26% | Hickory 18% | Fike 16% |
| 6A | Scotland 22% | Roberson 19% | Jacksonville 12% |
| 7A | Grimsley 24% | Weddington 20% | Cleveland 13% |
| 8A | Hough 42% | Millbrook 33% | Chambers 10% |
| NCISAA 8 | Faith Christian 54% | John Paul II Catholic 38% | Pungo Christian Academy 5% |
| NCISAA I | Providence Day 85% | Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy] 12% | Charlotte Country Day School 1% |
| NCISAA II | High Point Christian Academy 58% | Asheville School (Independent) 22% | Trinity Christian 12% |

### Title odds

| # | School | Class | Proj. record | RPI | Seed | Playoffs | Conference | State |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Providence Day | NCISAA I | 8.8-1.2 | — | 1.1 | 100% | 96% | 85% |
| 2 | High Point Christian Academy | NCISAA II | 8.2-1.8 | — | 1.5 | 100% | 95% | 58% |
| 3 | Faith Christian | NCISAA 8 | 7.3-0.7 | — | 1.5 | 100% | 90% | 54% |
| 4 | Northside | 1A | 9.9-0.1 | 0.6612 | 1.0 | 100% | 98% | 50% |
| 5 | Hough | 8A | 9.9-0.1 | 0.7466 | 1.6 | 100% | 92% | 42% |
| 6 | Shelby | 3A | 8.3-1.7 | 0.6569 | 2.9 | 100% | 68% | 38% |
| 7 | John Paul II Catholic | NCISAA 8 | 8.8-1.2 | — | 1.6 | 100% | 41% | 38% |
| 8 | Wilson Preparatory Academy | 1A | 5.8-5.2 | 0.5430 | 2.1 | 100% | 100% | 35% |
| 9 | Tarboro | 2A | 8.7-1.3 | 0.6592 | 1.5 | 100% | 87% | 34% |
| 10 | Millbrook | 8A | 9.8-0.2 | 0.7059 | 1.2 | 100% | 88% | 33% |
| 11 | Warren County | 2A | 10.0-0.0 | 0.6505 | 1.9 | 100% | 100% | 28% |
| 12 | Northside | 5A | 9.7-0.3 | 0.7199 | 1.7 | 100% | 86% | 26% |
| 13 | Grimsley | 7A | 9.6-0.4 | 0.7201 | 2.2 | 100% | 77% | 24% |
| 14 | Tuscola | 4A | 9.3-0.7 | 0.6858 | 1.6 | 100% | 67% | 24% |
| 15 | Scotland | 6A | 8.7-1.3 | 0.6762 | 3.4 | 100% | 78% | 22% |
| 16 | Asheville School (Independent) | NCISAA II | 5.9-4.1 | — | 1.9 | 100% | 28% | 22% |
| 17 | Hibriten | 4A | 9.6-0.4 | 0.6654 | 2.3 | 100% | 80% | 21% |
| 18 | Weddington | 7A | 9.7-0.3 | 0.7396 | 1.5 | 100% | 79% | 20% |
| 19 | Roberson | 6A | 8.8-1.2 | 0.6952 | 1.6 | 100% | 88% | 19% |
| 20 | West Craven | 4A | 7.3-2.7 | 0.5895 | 5.4 | 100% | 64% | 18% |
| 21 | Hickory | 5A | 8.7-1.4 | 0.6936 | 3.5 | 100% | 82% | 18% |
| 22 | Fike | 5A | 9.5-0.5 | 0.6871 | 3.2 | 100% | 79% | 16% |
| 23 | Robbinsville | 1A | 5.3-4.7 | 0.5264 | 2.7 | 100% | 67% | 15% |
| 24 | Cleveland | 7A | 8.7-1.3 | 0.6929 | 3.1 | 100% | 45% | 13% |
| 25 | Starmount | 2A | 9.0-1.0 | 0.6779 | 1.9 | 100% | 62% | 12% |

59 teams are genuinely on the bubble — playoff odds between 15% and 85%. Nearest the line:

| School | Class | Proj. record | RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|--:|--:|--:|
| Western Guilford | 6A | 2.6-7.4 | 0.3929 | 50% |
| North Johnston | 4A | 2.1-7.9 | 0.3561 | 49% |
| Western Harnett | 6A | 3.8-6.2 | 0.4020 | 52% |
| Madison | 3A | 1.4-8.6 | 0.3291 | 48% |
| Harding University | 6A | 2.8-7.2 | 0.3976 | 53% |
| North Mecklenburg | 7A | 3.1-6.9 | 0.4112 | 54% |
| Dixon | 5A | 3.0-7.0 | 0.4046 | 54% |
| McMichael | 3A | 1.5-8.5 | 0.3317 | 45% |
| Ashe County | 4A | 0.9-9.1 | 0.3540 | 44% |
| Jordan-Matthews | 4A | 2.8-7.2 | 0.3626 | 57% |
| Corinth Holders | 8A | 3.1-6.9 | 0.4348 | 58% |
| Terry Sanford | 6A | 2.4-7.6 | 0.3881 | 42% |

### Strength of classification

| Class | Teams | Mean | Fitted level |
|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 8A | 32 | +22.9 | +22.6 |
| NCISAA I | 10 | +17.4 | +16.5 |
| 7A | 60 | +17.0 | +16.9 |
| 6A | 58 | +9.7 | +9.6 |
| 5A | 57 | +7.7 | +6.9 |
| NCISAA II | 9 | +2.0 | +1.9 |
| 4A | 57 | -3.3 | -3.3 |
| NCISAA 8 | 12 | -7.5 | -12.1 |
| 3A | 56 | -8.5 | -8.7 |
| 2A | 46 | -13.1 | -12.9 |
| 8-MAN | 2 | -23.1 | -18.5 |
| 1A | 25 | -30.1 | -29.0 |

### Strength of conference

| Conference | Teams | Mean |
|---|--:|--:|
| Greater Neuse River | 7 | +29.2 |
| Meck Power Six | 6 | +26.8 |
| Big Carolina | 6 | +24.9 |
| CAP | 8 | +22.7 |
| NCISAA Big South | 4 | +22.3 |
| Central Piedmont | 6 | +21.6 |
| NCISAA Western | 4 | +21.5 |
| Southern Carolina | 7 | +20.7 |
| Mid South | 6 | +19.5 |
| Triangle Six | 6 | +19.4 |
| Carolina Coast | 7 | +17.2 |
| Big East | 7 | +16.6 |
| Quad City Seven | 7 | +15.8 |
| Greater Charlotte | 6 | +15.1 |
| North Piedmont | 6 | +15.0 |

### 8A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Hough | 9.9-0.1 | 62.8 | 58.2 – 67.0 |
| 2 | Millbrook | 9.8-0.2 | 57.0 | 51.1 – 62.6 |
| 3 | Chambers | 9.4-0.6 | 51.3 | 44.3 – 58.1 |
| 4 | West Forsyth | 8.2-1.8 | 47.1 | 41.2 – 52.4 |
| 5 | Hoggard | 8.8-1.2 | 46.4 | 39.7 – 52.0 |
| 6 | Mallard Creek | 6.8-3.2 | 39.9 | 33.7 – 46.1 |
| 7 | Myers Park | 6.9-3.1 | 38.6 | 31.5 – 46.5 |
| 8 | Palisades | 8.6-1.4 | 36.6 | 31.0 – 42.7 |
| 9 | Pinecrest | 6.0-4.0 | 33.2 | 27.3 – 39.0 |
| 10 | Leesville Road | 5.9-4.1 | 33.2 | 24.1 – 41.4 |

### NCISAA I — projected top 9

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Providence Day | 8.8-1.2 | 53.2 | 47.9 – 59.1 |
| 2 | Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy] | 8.0-2.0 | 31.0 | 23.5 – 39.9 |
| 3 | Christ School | 7.0-2.0 | 23.8 | 14.9 – 34.1 |
| 4 | Charlotte Country Day School | 4.0-6.0 | 14.0 | 7.6 – 21.8 |
| 5 | Charlotte Latin | 3.5-6.5 | 12.6 | 6.0 – 18.1 |
| 6 | Charlotte Christian | 3.1-5.9 | 9.2 | 0.2 – 15.7 |
| 7 | North Raleigh Christian Academy | 6.9-3.1 | 8.4 | 1.9 – 15.7 |
| 8 | Metrolina Christian Academy | 4.0-6.0 | 8.2 | 1.7 – 16.3 |
| 9 | Ravenscroft | 2.8-7.2 | -9.6 | -17.0 – -2.6 |

### 7A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Weddington | 9.7-0.3 | 54.4 | 49.9 – 58.9 |
| 2 | Grimsley | 9.6-0.4 | 53.3 | 46.9 – 59.0 |
| 3 | Lake Norman | 9.7-0.3 | 52.3 | 46.9 – 57.2 |
| 4 | Cleveland | 8.7-1.3 | 49.9 | 43.5 – 56.3 |
| 5 | Southeast Raleigh | 7.9-2.1 | 49.2 | 44.3 – 54.4 |
| 6 | Reagan | 8.2-1.8 | 48.0 | 41.5 – 54.4 |
| 7 | Clayton | 8.4-1.6 | 47.2 | 41.4 – 53.0 |
| 8 | Cardinal Gibbons | 7.5-2.5 | 46.3 | 39.7 – 52.6 |
| 9 | Marvin Ridge | 8.9-1.1 | 43.4 | 36.6 – 50.6 |
| 10 | Garner | 6.6-3.4 | 42.8 | 36.8 – 48.6 |

### 6A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Scotland | 8.7-1.3 | 42.9 | 36.2 – 48.7 |
| 2 | Roberson | 8.8-1.2 | 40.5 | 33.3 – 47.2 |
| 3 | Junius H Rose | 8.9-1.1 | 40.3 | 34.3 – 47.8 |
| 4 | Jacksonville | 6.8-2.2 | 40.3 | 35.4 – 46.2 |
| 5 | Middle Creek | 7.1-2.9 | 38.8 | 32.8 – 46.3 |
| 6 | Kings Mountain | 7.5-2.5 | 36.6 | 30.6 – 42.1 |
| 7 | Northern Nash | 6.6-3.4 | 32.8 | 26.6 – 38.5 |
| 8 | Asheboro | 9.3-0.7 | 32.6 | 26.9 – 39.1 |
| 9 | Ashbrook | 5.6-4.4 | 31.7 | 26.0 – 37.0 |
| 10 | Union Pines | 8.4-1.6 | 30.5 | 24.1 – 36.5 |

### 5A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Northside | 9.7-0.3 | 42.8 | 35.1 – 52.2 |
| 2 | Hickory | 8.7-1.4 | 42.4 | 36.6 – 49.2 |
| 3 | Fike | 9.5-0.5 | 42.3 | 34.5 – 49.0 |
| 4 | Oak Grove | 8.7-1.3 | 41.4 | 35.0 – 47.4 |
| 5 | South Point | 9.1-0.9 | 39.2 | 35.0 – 43.4 |
| 6 | Jay M Robinson | 9.5-0.5 | 36.3 | 29.6 – 42.0 |
| 7 | Crest | 7.6-2.4 | 35.5 | 28.5 – 43.3 |
| 8 | Northeast Guilford | 8.5-1.5 | 35.0 | 27.9 – 42.6 |
| 9 | Southeast Alamance | 10.1-0.9 | 30.8 | 23.8 – 36.8 |
| 10 | East Lincoln | 8.8-1.2 | 30.8 | 24.2 – 37.1 |

### NCISAA II — projected top 9

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | High Point Christian Academy | 8.2-1.8 | 26.9 | 17.6 – 34.5 |
| 2 | Asheville School (Independent) | 5.9-4.1 | 18.5 | 12.5 – 23.2 |
| 3 | Trinity Christian | 6.5-4.5 | 12.7 | 6.9 – 18.2 |
| 4 | Harrells Christian Academy | 4.9-4.1 | 9.1 | 1.8 – 15.0 |
| 5 | SouthLake Christian Academy | 5.1-4.9 | -4.4 | -11.6 – 3.0 |
| 6 | Hickory Grove Christian | 7.0-3.0 | -4.6 | -12.8 – 3.3 |
| 7 | Wayne Christian | 5.7-3.3 | -8.0 | -16.6 – -1.0 |
| 8 | Covenant Day | 2.2-7.8 | -9.4 | -16.0 – -1.5 |
| 9 | GRACE Christian | 5.0-6.0 | -23.0 | -29.2 – -16.1 |

### 4A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Tuscola | 9.3-0.7 | 29.1 | 23.9 – 35.1 |
| 2 | Hibriten | 9.6-0.4 | 28.0 | 20.8 – 36.0 |
| 3 | West Craven | 7.3-2.7 | 26.2 | 20.9 – 31.5 |
| 4 | West Iredell | 8.0-2.0 | 23.6 | 17.8 – 29.8 |
| 5 | Burns | 6.8-3.2 | 20.6 | 14.5 – 26.8 |
| 6 | Eastern Wayne | 7.9-1.1 | 20.4 | 13.0 – 27.4 |
| 7 | Reidsville | 6.7-3.3 | 19.3 | 11.2 – 26.7 |
| 8 | T Wingate Andrews | 8.2-1.8 | 19.3 | 12.7 – 26.6 |
| 9 | Stuart W Cramer | 7.8-2.2 | 15.9 | 9.5 – 22.0 |
| 10 | East Duplin | 8.5-1.5 | 15.0 | 9.3 – 20.8 |

### NCISAA 8 — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Faith Christian | 7.3-0.7 | 21.5 | 12.6 – 30.3 |
| 2 | John Paul II Catholic | 8.8-1.2 | 19.4 | 13.7 – 25.8 |
| 3 | Liberty Christian Academy | 5.9-1.1 | 6.7 | -1.9 – 14.9 |
| 4 | Pungo Christian Academy | 8.6-0.4 | 3.6 | -3.2 – 10.3 |
| 5 | Cary Christian | 5.9-3.1 | -0.6 | -8.8 – 6.8 |
| 6 | Sandhills Classical Christian | 4.8-2.2 | -6.8 | -12.8 – -0.1 |
| 7 | Lawrence Academy | 6.9-3.1 | -8.2 | -13.8 – -2.6 |
| 8 | St. David's | 4.9-4.1 | -11.3 | -18.6 – -5.1 |
| 9 | Wake Christian Academy | 3.7-7.3 | -15.7 | -21.3 – -8.7 |
| 10 | Arendell Parrott Academy | 2.6-6.4 | -20.5 | -28.9 – -11.9 |

### 3A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Shelby | 8.3-1.7 | 32.5 | 27.3 – 37.6 |
| 2 | Thomasville | 8.7-1.3 | 22.2 | 14.3 – 30.6 |
| 3 | James Kenan | 6.9-2.1 | 21.3 | 14.3 – 27.0 |
| 4 | Northeastern | 8.1-1.9 | 20.8 | 15.8 – 26.1 |
| 5 | Lincolnton | 7.8-2.2 | 20.4 | 15.1 – 26.4 |
| 6 | Eastern Randolph | 6.7-3.3 | 19.2 | 14.0 – 24.9 |
| 7 | Hendersonville | 9.6-0.4 | 17.5 | 12.4 – 22.8 |
| 8 | North Stanly | 9.5-0.5 | 17.4 | 8.7 – 24.7 |
| 9 | Hertford County | 6.7-3.4 | 17.1 | 9.8 – 25.5 |
| 10 | Martin County | 8.5-2.5 | 15.4 | 8.7 – 20.1 |

### 2A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Warren County | 10.0-0.0 | 30.8 | 24.7 – 37.2 |
| 2 | Tarboro | 8.7-1.3 | 29.2 | 23.1 – 35.7 |
| 3 | Holmes | 8.9-1.1 | 23.0 | 15.1 – 30.6 |
| 4 | Starmount | 9.0-1.0 | 18.8 | 12.3 – 25.2 |
| 5 | Corvian Community | 8.4-1.6 | 18.4 | 12.8 – 23.9 |
| 6 | East Wilkes | 6.5-3.5 | 15.0 | 9.1 – 21.4 |
| 7 | Christ the King | 8.5-1.5 | 10.9 | 3.6 – 20.2 |
| 8 | Community School of Davidson | 6.4-3.6 | 8.7 | 1.9 – 14.8 |
| 9 | North Rowan | 7.9-2.1 | 7.9 | 0.5 – 14.9 |
| 10 | Alleghany | 7.6-2.4 | 6.1 | -0.3 – 11.4 |

### 8-MAN — projected top 2

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Community Christian | 3.4-5.7 | -22.0 | -26.5 – -16.1 |
| 2 | Father Capodanno | 2.1-4.9 | -24.3 | -29.1 – -18.9 |

### 1A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Northside | 9.9-0.1 | 8.9 | 3.2 – 13.7 |
| 2 | Wilson Preparatory Academy | 5.8-5.2 | 6.0 | 1.4 – 10.8 |
| 3 | Robbinsville | 5.3-4.7 | 4.4 | -1.6 – 9.5 |
| 4 | Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad | 4.8-5.2 | -19.3 | -24.8 – -13.2 |
| 5 | Chatham Central | 8.8-1.2 | -19.6 | -26.6 – -12.7 |
| 6 | South Davidson Middle and | 6.4-3.6 | -21.9 | -27.0 – -15.9 |
| 7 | Rosman | 4.0-6.0 | -23.5 | -30.7 – -16.9 |
| 8 | Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy | 2.5-7.5 | -24.7 | -31.7 – -18.0 |
| 9 | North Edgecombe | 4.9-5.1 | -25.0 | -31.4 – -18.8 |
| 10 | Washington County | 3.1-6.8 | -25.1 | -30.4 – -19.8 |