# 2026 North Carolina High School Football Report

## Week 2 — August 27, 2026

*Ratings basis: 337 2026 results, seeded with 2025.*

*Home-field advantage: 2.1 points.*


## Week 2 Predictions

220 games scheduled.


### Thursday, August 27

| Matchup | Prediction | Win prob | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carver @ Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad | **Carver** 31-18 | 97% |  |

### Friday, August 28

| Matchup | Prediction | Win prob | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draughn @ Freedom | **Freedom** 37-7 | 97% |  |
| Heritage @ Millbrook | **Millbrook** 33-18 | 97% |  |
| Martin County @ Bertie | **Martin County** 35-14 | 97% |  |
| Goldsboro @ Greene Central | **Greene Central** 45-14 | 97% |  |
| Smoky Mountain @ Andrews | **Smoky Mountain** 29-11 | 97% |  |
| South Wake Christian Athletics @ John Paul II Catholic | **John Paul II Catholic** 38-10 | 97% |  |
| South Garner @ Southern Lee | **South Garner** 36-14 | 97% |  |
| North Gaston @ Stuart W Cramer | **Stuart W Cramer** 35-12 | 97% |  |
| Asheville Christian Academy @ Lakeway Christian Academy | **Lakeway Christian Academy** 30-24 | 97% |  |
| Trinity @ Southwestern Randolph | **Southwestern Randolph** 36-12 | 97% |  |
| Northwood @ Asheboro | **Asheboro** 34-17 | 97% |  |
| Bessemer City @ Huss | **Huss** 29-28 | 97% |  |
| College Prep and Leadership Academy @ Mountain Island Charter | **Mountain Island Charter** 25-17 | 97% |  |
| Ballantyne Ridge @ Marvin Ridge | **Marvin Ridge** 42-23 | 97% |  |
| West Iredell @ North Iredell | **West Iredell** 40-12 | 97% |  |
| East Chapel Hill @ Green Hope | **Green Hope** 28-24 | 97% |  |
| Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy @ Greenville Hurricanes | **Greenville Hurricanes** 26-25 | 97% |  |
| Chatham Central @ Jordan-Matthews | **Jordan-Matthews** 29-24 | 97% |  |
| Beddingfield @ Dixon | **Dixon** 26-14 | 97% |  |
| Central Davidson @ Atkins | **Central Davidson** 31-24 | 97% |  |
| Sallie B Howard @ Trinity Christian | **Trinity Christian** 22-16 | 97% |  |
| Lejeune @ Lakewood | **Lakewood** 27-24 | 97% |  |
| South Stokes @ West Stokes | **West Stokes** 29-27 | 97% |  |
| Northern Nash @ Nash Central | **Northern Nash** 24-18 | 97% |  |
| Surry Central @ North Wilkes | **North Wilkes** 27-12 | 97% |  |
| A L Brown @ Concord | **A L Brown** 33-15 | 97% |  |
| Willow Spring @ Middle Creek | **Middle Creek** 40-19 | 97% |  |
| Mount Tabor @ Lake Norman | **Lake Norman** 32-7 | 97% |  |
| North Moore @ Wake Preparatory Academy | **Wake Preparatory Academy** 33-18 | 97% |  |
| Phillip O Berry Academy of Technology @ Ashbrook | **Ashbrook** 28-23 | 97% |  |
| Robbinsville @ Franklin | **Franklin** 31-10 | 97% |  |
| East Bladen @ West Bladen | **East Bladen** 38-10 | 97% |  |
| Purnell Swett @ New Hanover | **New Hanover** 28-14 | 97% |  |
| Reidsville @ George Washington | **Reidsville** 28-22 | 97% |  |
| Southwest Guilford @ Western Alamance | **Western Alamance** 33-21 | 97% |  |
| Wilkes Central @ McMichael | **Wilkes Central** 34-18 | 97% |  |
| Metrolina Christian Academy @ High Point Christian Academy | **High Point Christian Academy** 32-31 | 97% |  |
| Forest Hills @ Fairmont | **Forest Hills** 34-22 | 97% |  |
| Junius H Rose @ Washington | **Junius H Rose** 24-24 | 97% |  |
| Arendell Parrott Academy @ Lawrence Academy | **Arendell Parrott Academy** 34-23 | 97% |  |
| Cleveland @ Corinth Holders | **Cleveland** 25-25 | 97% |  |
| North Buncombe @ Rosman | **North Buncombe** 39-33 | 97% |  |
| Louisburg Magnet @ Southeast Collegiate Prep Academy | **Louisburg Magnet** 23-20 | 97% |  |
| Independence @ Corvian Community | **Independence** 21-16 | 97% |  |
| Polk County @ Newton-Conover | **Newton-Conover** 33-32 | 97% |  |
| Buford @ Charlotte Christian | **Charlotte Christian** 34-26 | 97% |  |
| Maryland School for the Deaf @ Rocky Mount Academy | **Maryland School for the Deaf** 34-18 | 97% |  |
| Apex Friendship @ Lee County | **Apex Friendship** 30-19 | 97% |  |
| West Cabarrus @ Jay M Robinson | **Jay M Robinson** 31-14 | 97% |  |
| Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy] @ Oceanside Collegiate Academy | **Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy]** 30-27 | 97% |  |
| Wayne Preparatory Academy @ Father Capodanno | **Father Capodanno** 30-28 | 96% |  |
| Croatan @ Topsail | **Croatan** 27-16 | 96% |  |
| Pisgah @ Swain County | **Pisgah** 38-21 | 96% |  |
| Swansboro @ Pamlico County | **Swansboro** 27-24 | 96% |  |
| Eastern Wayne @ Charles B Aycock | **Eastern Wayne** 26-16 | 96% |  |
| Green Level @ Broughton | **Broughton** 32-27 | 96% |  |
| South Brunswick @ North Brunswick | **North Brunswick** 27-16 | 96% |  |
| Pender @ Red Springs | **Pender** 38-10 | 96% |  |
| Clayton @ Southern Nash | **Clayton** 27-23 | 96% |  |
| Eastern Guilford @ Williams | **Williams** 39-14 | 96% |  |
| North Forsyth Magnet @ T Wingate Andrews | **T Wingate Andrews** 35-13 | 96% |  |
| Mount Zion Christian Academy @ Faith Christian | **Faith Christian** 36-21 | 96% |  |
| Hibriten @ South Caldwell | **Hibriten** 25-23 | 96% |  |
| Monroe @ West Charlotte | **West Charlotte** 24-12 | 96% |  |
| Jack Britt @ Hoggard | **Hoggard** 24-19 | 95% |  |
| Albemarle @ Chase | **Chase** 29-22 | 95% |  |
| Charlotte Catholic @ Charlotte Country Day School | **Charlotte Catholic** 25-10 | 95% |  |
| East Columbus Junior-Senior @ Heide Trask | **Heide Trask** 25-13 | 95% |  |
| Cabarrus Stallions @ Hickory Grove Christian | **Hickory Grove Christian** 24-16 | 95% |  |
| Sanderson @ Riverside | **Sanderson** 21-21 | 94% |  |
| Hickory @ Alexander Central | **Hickory** 38-26 | 94% |  |
| Rolesville @ Providence Day | **Providence Day** 41-20 | 94% |  |
| Hertford County @ SouthWest Edgecombe | **SouthWest Edgecombe** 25-25 | 94% |  |
| Bonnie Cone Leadership Academy @ South Davidson Middle and | **South Davidson Middle and** 27-12 | 94% |  |
| North Lincoln @ Lincolnton | **Lincolnton** 19-13 | 94% |  |
| Bradford Preparatory @ Highland Tech | **Bradford Preparatory** 34-28 | 94% |  |
| Cherokee @ Tuscola | **Tuscola** 35-27 | 94% |  |
| Northside @ Jacksonville | **Jacksonville** 34-16 | 94% |  |
| Weddington @ Myers Park | **Weddington** 40-19 | 94% |  |
| South Columbus @ West Columbus | **South Columbus** 31-20 | 94% |  |
| Christ the King @ GRACE Christian | **Christ the King** 31-20 | 94% |  |
| Providence Grove @ Morehead | **Providence Grove** 33-19 | 93% |  |
| Community School of Davidson @ South Mecklenburg | **South Mecklenburg** 22-18 | 93% |  |
| Olympic @ Palisades | **Palisades** 33-21 | 93% |  |
| Saint Stephens @ Bunker Hill | **Saint Stephens** 36-16 | 93% |  |
| Lincoln Charter @ West Lincoln | **West Lincoln** 19-15 | 92% |  |
| Triton @ Hobbton | **Triton** 39-24 | 92% |  |
| Rockingham County @ Magna Vista | **Magna Vista** 29-20 | 92% |  |
| Saint Pauls @ Lumberton | **Saint Pauls** 28-22 | 92% |  |
| Shelby @ Crest | **Crest** 26-22 | 92% |  |
| South Point @ Charlotte Latin | **South Point** 27-25 | 92% |  |
| Rosewood @ North Duplin Jr Sr | **North Duplin Jr Sr** 25-16 | 92% |  |
| J. F. Webb @ Warren County | **Warren County** 29-21 | 92% |  |
| South Granville @ Vance County | **South Granville** 33-16 | 92% |  |
| Elkin @ North Stokes | **Elkin** 24-11 | 91% |  |
| Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi @ Jordan | **Jordan** 29-29 | 91% |  |
| Ledford @ East Davidson | **Ledford** 27-24 | 91% |  |
| Laney @ Garner | **Garner** 30-17 | 91% |  |
| Madison @ East Henderson | **Madison** 31-9 | 90% |  |
| North Raleigh Christian Academy @ Southwest | **North Raleigh Christian Academy** 23-19 | 90% |  |
| Northern @ Carrboro | **Northern** 34-23 | 90% |  |
| Davie County @ West Rowan | **Davie County** 34-18 | 90% |  |
| West Davidson @ Bishop McGuinness | **West Davidson** 17-16 | 89% |  |
| White Oak @ Richlands | **White Oak** 22-21 | 89% |  |
| Langtree Charter Academy @ South Rowan | **South Rowan** 32-30 | 89% |  |
| Leesville Road @ Wake Forest | **Leesville Road** 29-29 | 89% |  |
| Hayesville @ Enka | **Enka** 37-19 | 89% |  |
| E E Smith @ Ashley | **Ashley** 25-18 | 88% |  |
| Jones @ Columbia | **Columbia** 32-18 | 88% |  |
| Webb @ Asheville School (Independent) | **Asheville School (Independent)** 26-26 | 88% |  |
| Page @ Northwest Guilford | **Page** 37-28 | 87% |  |
| Gates County @ Pasquotank County | **Pasquotank County** 25-25 | 87% |  |
| Pungo Christian Academy @ Northeast Academy | **Pungo Christian Academy** 29-20 | 87% |  |
| Mallard Creek @ Maury | **Mallard Creek** 31-26 | 87% |  |
| Union @ Southern Wayne | **Southern Wayne** 32-20 | 86% |  |
| Travelers Rest @ Blue Ridge Early College | **Travelers Rest** 26-24 | 86% |  |
| Athens Drive @ Cary | **Cary** 25-24 | 86% |  |
| West Craven @ Wilson Preparatory Academy | **West Craven** 34-25 | 86% |  |
| Mooresville @ Sun Valley | **Mooresville** 29-26 | 85% |  |
| Oak Grove @ Reagan | **Reagan** 24-18 | 85% |  |
| Richmond @ Scotland | **Richmond** 26-20 | 85% |  |
| Salisbury @ North Rowan | **North Rowan** 32-20 | 85% |  |
| Rocky Mount Preparatory @ Washington County | **Rocky Mount Preparatory** 22-21 | 85% |  |
| Community Christian @ Liberty Christian Academy | **Liberty Christian Academy** 35-21 | 84% | Y |
| Starmount @ East Surry | **Starmount** 26-23 | 84% |  |
| North Davidson @ Lexington | **North Davidson** 29-19 | 84% |  |
| Rocky Mount @ East Wake | **Rocky Mount** 31-26 | 83% |  |
| East Lincoln @ Providence | **East Lincoln** 26-20 | 83% |  |
| R-S Central @ North Henderson | **R-S Central** 33-19 | 83% |  |
| Franklinton @ Bunn | **Franklinton** 27-17 | 83% |  |
| Avery County @ Patton | **Patton** 27-17 | 83% |  |
| South Central @ Farmville Central | **South Central** 28-22 | 82% |  |
| Ardrey Kell @ Porter Ridge | **Ardrey Kell** 38-15 | 82% |  |
| Western Guilford @ Felton Grove | **Felton Grove** 23-21 | 82% |  |
| West Carteret @ East Carteret | **West Carteret** 26-24 | 82% |  |
| Northeastern @ D H Conley | **D H Conley** 34-18 | 82% |  |
| Watauga @ Roberson | **Watauga** 30-30 | 81% |  |
| Walkertown @ Parkland | **Walkertown** 23-19 | 81% |  |
| Halifax Academy @ Southampton Academy | **Southampton Academy** 30-17 | 80% |  |
| Manteo @ Northside | **Northside** 25-20 | 80% |  |
| Eastern Randolph @ Randleman | **Eastern Randolph** 26-18 | 79% |  |
| Westover @ Gray's Creek | **Westover** 25-22 | 79% |  |
| East Mecklenburg @ West Mecklenburg | **West Mecklenburg** 29-20 | 78% |  |
| Seventy-First @ Cape Fear | **Seventy-First** 31-26 | 78% |  |
| Triangle Math and Science Academy @ North East Carolina Prep | **North East Carolina Prep** 25-25 | 78% |  |
| Ambassador Christian School @ Grapevine Faith Christian | **Ambassador Christian School** 23-22 | 78% |  |
| SouthLake Christian Academy @ Ravenscroft | **Ravenscroft** 27-13 | 78% |  |
| Ayden-Grifton @ North Pitt | **North Pitt** 25-19 | 78% |  |
| Seaforth @ Southeast Alamance | **Southeast Alamance** 27-23 | 78% |  |
| North Mecklenburg @ South Iredell | **North Mecklenburg** 35-12 | 77% |  |
| West Brunswick @ Whiteville | **West Brunswick** 33-24 | 77% |  |
| Ben L. Smith @ Southern Guilford | **Ben L. Smith** 28-21 | 77% |  |
| Wheatmore @ Forbush | **Forbush** 20-12 | 77% |  |
| East Duplin @ Princeton | **East Duplin** 26-15 | 76% |  |
| Halifax County @ Person | **Person** 27-23 | 75% |  |
| Glenn @ R J Reynolds | **R J Reynolds** 30-7 | 74% |  |
| Northern Guilford @ East Forsyth | **East Forsyth** 26-12 | 74% |  |
| Hoke County @ South View | **South View** 24-17 | 74% |  |
| Erwin @ Mountain Heritage | **Mountain Heritage** 31-30 | 74% |  |
| Dobyns-Bennett @ Asheville | **Asheville** 36-23 | 74% |  |
| Foard @ East Burke | **Foard** 30-16 | 74% |  |
| Pine Lake Preparatory @ East Rowan | **East Rowan** 26-21 | 74% |  |
| Harding University @ Garinger | **Harding University** 35-15 | 74% |  |
| Currituck County @ Deep Creek | **Currituck County** 26-20 | 74% |  |
| Knightdale @ Enloe | **Enloe** 27-21 | 74% |  |
| Butler @ Statesville | **Butler** 25-24 | 73% |  |
| Harrells Christian Academy @ Wayne Christian | **Harrells Christian Academy** 31-16 | 73% | Y |
| West Forsyth @ Grimsley | **Grimsley** 22-22 | 73% |  |
| Clinton @ Midway | **Midway** 31-27 | 73% |  |
| Maiden @ Reynolds | **Reynolds** 25-12 | 72% |  |
| East Wilkes @ Mount Airy | **Mount Airy** 27-19 | 72% |  |
| Parkwood @ Cuthbertson | **Cuthbertson** 40-22 | 72% |  |
| St. David's @ Wake Christian Academy | **Wake Christian Academy** 29-17 | 71% |  |
| Bartlett Yancey @ American Leadership Academy - Johnston | **American Leadership Academy - Johnston** 32-22 | 70% |  |
| South Stanly @ Piedmont | **Piedmont** 31-28 | 70% |  |
| Tarboro @ Hunt | **Hunt** 32-23 | 70% |  |
| Terry Sanford @ Pine Forest | **Terry Sanford** 37-19 | 69% |  |
| Cox Mill @ Rocky River | **Cox Mill** 29-27 | 69% |  |
| Central Cabarrus @ Northwest Cabarrus | **Northwest Cabarrus** 26-21 | 68% |  |
| Panther Creek @ Hillside | **Hillside** 23-19 | 68% |  |
| Providence Athletic Club @ Cary Christian | **Cary Christian** 29-16 | 68% |  |
| South Lenoir @ North Lenoir | **North Lenoir** 38-17 | 68% |  |
| Mitchell @ McDowell | **Mitchell** 31-22 | 68% |  |
| Western Harnett @ Douglas Byrd | **Western Harnett** 27-19 | 67% |  |
| Chambers @ Hopewell | **Chambers** 31-30 | 67% |  |
| Southeast Guilford @ Ragsdale | **Ragsdale** 28-14 | 66% |  |
| Kinston @ Wallace-Rose Hill | **Wallace-Rose Hill** 25-15 | 66% |  |
| West Stanly @ North Stanly | **North Stanly** 26-22 | 66% |  |
| Holmes @ North Johnston | **Holmes** 23-21 | 66% |  |
| West Johnston @ Smithfield-Selma | **West Johnston** 24-24 | 65% |  |
| Fuquay-Varina @ Apex | **Fuquay-Varina** 31-15 | 64% |  |
| Southside @ North Edgecombe | **Southside** 25-18 | 64% |  |
| Union Pines @ Pinecrest | **Pinecrest** 30-28 | 63% |  |
| Perquimans County @ Northampton County | **Perquimans County** 23-15 | 63% |  |
| Southern Alamance @ Patrick Henry | **Patrick Henry** 26-20 | 63% |  |
| New Bern @ Havelock | **Havelock** 33-23 | 62% |  |
| Greer @ Union County Early College | **Greer** 31-28 | 62% |  |
| Northwest Halifax Collegiate and Technic @ Bear Grass Charter | **Bear Grass Charter** 23-14 | 60% |  |
| Camden County @ First Flight | **First Flight** 20-12 | 60% |  |
| Orange @ Chapel Hill | **Chapel Hill** 27-23 | 59% |  |
| Alleghany @ Grayson County | **Alleghany** 31-28 | 59% |  |
| Northeast Guilford @ Eastern Alamance | **Eastern Alamance** 28-26 | 58% |  |
| Overhills @ Harnett Central | **Harnett Central** 27-26 | 57% |  |
| Burns @ Kings Mountain | **Kings Mountain** 26-22 | 57% |  |
| Cherryville @ Owen | **Owen** 25-24 | 56% |  |
| Roanoke Rapids @ KIPP Pride | **KIPP Pride** 30-21 | 56% |  |
| Anson @ Montgomery Central | **Anson** 28-15 | 56% |  |
| Thomasville @ Cummings | **Cummings** 29-21 | 56% |  |
| Mount Pleasant @ Carson | **Mount Pleasant** 27-26 | 54% |  |
| West Wilkes @ North Surry | **North Surry** 28-27 | 54% |  |
| Forestview @ East Gaston | **Forestview** 35-12 | 53% |  |
| Christ School @ East Rutherford | **East Rutherford** 34-25 | 53% |  |
| South Johnston @ Fike | **Fike** 31-19 | 52% |  |
| Hendersonville @ West Henderson | **West Henderson** 30-21 | 50% |  |

### Saturday, August 29

| Matchup | Prediction | Win prob | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dudley @ Southeast Raleigh | **Southeast Raleigh** 40-10 | 97% |  |
| Covenant Day @ North Wake Saints | **Covenant Day** 23-15 | 97% |  |
| Camden Early College @ Imhotep Charter | **Camden Early College** 28-22 | 95% |  |
| Wakefield @ Holly Springs | **Holly Springs** 23-21 | 83% |  |
| Cardinal Gibbons @ Hough | **Hough** 25-17 | 52% |  |


## Top 25 Overall Power Rankings

| # | School | Class | Record | Rating | Power | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|


## Power Rankings by Classification


### 8A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|

### 7A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|

### 6A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|

### 5A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|

### 4A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|

### 3A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|

### 2A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|

### 1A

| # | School | Rating | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|


## Top 10 Offenses

| # | School | Class | Offense |
|---|---|---|---|


## Top 10 Defenses

| # | School | Class | Defense |
|---|---|---|---|


## Top 10 Toughest Schedules

| # | School | Class | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|


## Classification Strength

*Fitted from cross-classification games, not assumed.*

| Classification | Level |
|---|---|
| 8A | +24.16 |
| 7A | +19.07 |
| NCISAA I | +14.94 |
| 6A | +12.48 |
| 5A | +6.42 |
| 4A | -1.41 |
| NCISAA II | -3.22 |
| 3A | -8.08 |
| NCISAA 8 | -11.54 |
| 2A | -14.53 |
| 8-MAN | -18.80 |
| 1A | -29.16 |

## Season Projection

120 simulated seasons, each playing every remaining game and refitting ratings weekly. Outcomes are sampled rather than awarded to the favourite. The 10th-90th band is the forecast; the mean rating barely moves because nothing new is known yet.


### Projected final power rankings — top 25

| # | School | Class | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th | SOS |
|--:|---|---|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Millbrook | 8A | 9.8-0.2 | 66.5 | 59.6 – 74.2 | 20.8 |
| 2 | Weddington | 7A | 9.6-0.4 | 65.5 | 57.6 – 73.1 | 29.0 |
| 3 | Providence Day | NCISAA I | 9.4-0.6 | 62.3 | 53.1 – 74.0 | 28.0 |
| 4 | Grimsley | 7A | 9.3-0.7 | 58.3 | 48.3 – 66.0 | 21.6 |
| 5 | Cardinal Gibbons | 7A | 8.6-1.4 | 54.2 | 46.0 – 62.5 | 24.3 |
| 6 | West Forsyth | 8A | 8.6-1.4 | 53.2 | 42.9 – 62.9 | 27.8 |
| 7 | Lake Norman | 7A | 9.0-1.0 | 52.9 | 42.3 – 62.7 | 20.9 |
| 8 | Southeast Raleigh | 7A | 8.3-1.7 | 52.7 | 42.3 – 61.5 | 27.0 |
| 9 | Hough | 8A | 8.0-2.0 | 52.3 | 43.5 – 60.4 | 24.7 |
| 10 | Hoggard | 8A | 9.0-1.0 | 50.6 | 41.2 – 60.2 | 23.2 |
| 11 | Jordan | 8A | 9.5-0.5 | 50.0 | 41.2 – 58.1 | 14.8 |
| 12 | Clayton | 7A | 7.8-2.2 | 49.4 | 40.1 – 57.8 | 26.9 |
| 13 | West Charlotte | 8A | 8.0-2.0 | 49.3 | 41.4 – 57.8 | 23.0 |
| 14 | Cleveland | 7A | 8.1-1.9 | 48.2 | 38.5 – 56.4 | 28.8 |
| 15 | Leesville Road | 8A | 7.4-2.6 | 47.6 | 38.1 – 55.6 | 23.8 |
| 16 | Mallard Creek | 8A | 8.1-1.9 | 46.6 | 36.5 – 55.6 | 26.0 |
| 17 | Crest | 5A | 8.4-1.6 | 46.1 | 37.9 – 55.2 | 18.6 |
| 18 | Mooresville | 7A | 6.5-3.5 | 43.0 | 33.3 – 51.0 | 29.9 |
| 19 | Jacksonville | 6A | 8.1-0.9 | 43.0 | 32.0 – 53.7 | 16.8 |
| 20 | Myers Park | 8A | 6.3-3.7 | 42.8 | 33.5 – 52.0 | 28.2 |
| 21 | Independence | 7A | 6.1-3.9 | 42.1 | 33.3 – 50.6 | 28.6 |
| 22 | East Lincoln | 5A | 9.0-1.0 | 41.1 | 32.5 – 50.2 | 11.6 |
| 23 | Middle Creek | 6A | 8.3-1.7 | 40.9 | 31.1 – 49.8 | 20.4 |
| 24 | Rolesville | 8A | 5.7-4.3 | 40.5 | 31.4 – 49.3 | 31.1 |
| 25 | Seventy-First | 6A | 9.0-1.0 | 40.3 | 31.3 – 50.1 | 10.8 |

### Most likely to finish unbeaten

| School | Class | Proj. record | Unbeaten |
|---|---|--:|--:|
| Millbrook | 8A | 9.8-0.2 | 83% |
| Weddington | 7A | 9.6-0.4 | 68% |
| Providence Day | NCISAA I | 9.4-0.6 | 56% |
| Grimsley | 7A | 9.3-0.7 | 54% |
| Cardinal Gibbons | 7A | 8.6-1.4 | 22% |
| West Forsyth | 8A | 8.6-1.4 | 16% |
| Lake Norman | 7A | 9.0-1.0 | 40% |
| Southeast Raleigh | 7A | 8.3-1.7 | 17% |
| Hough | 8A | 8.0-2.0 | 14% |
| Hoggard | 8A | 9.0-1.0 | 38% |
| Jordan | 8A | 9.5-0.5 | 63% |
| Clayton | 7A | 7.8-2.2 | 12% |

### Strength of classification

| Class | Teams | Mean | Fitted level |
|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 8A | 32 | +26.3 | +25.9 |
| 7A | 60 | +20.0 | +19.8 |
| NCISAA I | 10 | +16.9 | +16.1 |
| 6A | 58 | +13.2 | +13.1 |
| 5A | 56 | +7.7 | +6.8 |
| 4A | 57 | -1.8 | -1.7 |
| NCISAA II | 9 | -2.4 | -2.3 |
| NCISAA 8 | 12 | -5.2 | -10.2 |
| 3A | 56 | -8.5 | -8.8 |
| 2A | 46 | -15.7 | -15.5 |
| 8-MAN | 2 | -24.3 | -19.4 |
| 1A | 27 | -32.3 | -31.8 |

### Strength of conference

| Conference | Teams | Mean |
|---|--:|--:|
| Meck Power Six | 5 | +36.4 |
| Greater Neuse River | 7 | +33.3 |
| Southern Carolina | 7 | +28.4 |
| NCISAA Big South | 4 | +28.4 |
| Central Piedmont | 5 | +26.2 |
| CAP | 8 | +25.7 |
| Big Carolina | 6 | +24.8 |
| Triangle Six | 6 | +23.9 |
| North Piedmont | 6 | +21.0 |
| Mid South | 6 | +21.0 |
| Quad City Seven | 7 | +20.5 |
| Big South | 6 | +17.0 |
| Carolina Coast | 4 | +16.2 |
| Western Foothills | 8 | +15.2 |
| Metro | 5 | +15.1 |

### 8A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Millbrook | 9.8-0.2 | 66.5 | 59.6 – 74.2 |
| 2 | West Forsyth | 8.6-1.4 | 53.2 | 42.9 – 62.9 |
| 3 | Hough | 8.0-2.0 | 52.3 | 43.5 – 60.4 |
| 4 | Hoggard | 9.0-1.0 | 50.6 | 41.2 – 60.2 |
| 5 | Jordan | 9.5-0.5 | 50.0 | 41.2 – 58.1 |
| 6 | West Charlotte | 8.0-2.0 | 49.3 | 41.4 – 57.8 |
| 7 | Leesville Road | 7.4-2.6 | 47.6 | 38.1 – 55.6 |
| 8 | Mallard Creek | 8.1-1.9 | 46.6 | 36.5 – 55.6 |
| 9 | Myers Park | 6.3-3.7 | 42.8 | 33.5 – 52.0 |
| 10 | Rolesville | 5.7-4.3 | 40.5 | 31.4 – 49.3 |

### 7A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Weddington | 9.6-0.4 | 65.5 | 57.6 – 73.1 |
| 2 | Grimsley | 9.3-0.7 | 58.3 | 48.3 – 66.0 |
| 3 | Cardinal Gibbons | 8.6-1.4 | 54.2 | 46.0 – 62.5 |
| 4 | Lake Norman | 9.0-1.0 | 52.9 | 42.3 – 62.7 |
| 5 | Southeast Raleigh | 8.3-1.7 | 52.7 | 42.3 – 61.5 |
| 6 | Clayton | 7.8-2.2 | 49.4 | 40.1 – 57.8 |
| 7 | Cleveland | 8.1-1.9 | 48.2 | 38.5 – 56.4 |
| 8 | Mooresville | 6.5-3.5 | 43.0 | 33.3 – 51.0 |
| 9 | Independence | 6.1-3.9 | 42.1 | 33.3 – 50.6 |
| 10 | Reagan | 6.9-3.1 | 39.9 | 31.6 – 48.7 |

### NCISAA I — projected top 9

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Providence Day | 9.4-0.6 | 62.3 | 53.1 – 74.0 |
| 2 | Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy] | 7.3-2.7 | 27.5 | 18.4 – 37.3 |
| 3 | Charlotte Christian | 4.9-4.1 | 24.2 | 17.0 – 33.4 |
| 4 | Charlotte Latin | 4.4-5.6 | 15.6 | 7.9 – 23.6 |
| 5 | Charlotte Country Day School | 3.2-6.8 | 11.6 | 1.1 – 21.3 |
| 6 | North Raleigh Christian Academy | 7.1-2.9 | 9.1 | -0.3 – 19.7 |
| 7 | Christ School | 3.2-5.8 | 2.9 | -8.6 – 12.7 |
| 8 | Metrolina Christian Academy | 3.3-6.7 | -4.1 | -13.5 – 4.1 |
| 9 | Ravenscroft | 3.8-6.2 | -11.6 | -21.9 – -0.4 |

### 6A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Jacksonville | 8.1-0.9 | 43.0 | 32.0 – 53.7 |
| 2 | Middle Creek | 8.3-1.7 | 40.9 | 31.1 – 49.8 |
| 3 | Seventy-First | 9.0-1.0 | 40.3 | 31.3 – 50.1 |
| 4 | Watauga | 9.1-0.9 | 39.9 | 29.9 – 50.6 |
| 5 | Charlotte Catholic | 7.7-2.3 | 38.4 | 28.9 – 47.6 |
| 6 | Williams | 7.4-1.6 | 32.3 | 22.6 – 43.1 |
| 7 | Union Pines | 8.4-1.6 | 32.1 | 22.9 – 39.9 |
| 8 | Southern Alamance | 8.0-2.0 | 30.6 | 21.3 – 38.5 |
| 9 | Northern Nash | 6.5-3.5 | 29.9 | 20.2 – 39.7 |
| 10 | Junius H Rose | 6.7-3.3 | 29.2 | 19.2 – 38.8 |

### 5A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Crest | 8.4-1.6 | 46.1 | 37.9 – 55.2 |
| 2 | East Lincoln | 9.0-1.0 | 41.1 | 32.5 – 50.2 |
| 3 | South Point | 8.6-1.4 | 39.2 | 30.2 – 48.5 |
| 4 | Jay M Robinson | 9.5-0.5 | 37.4 | 26.6 – 47.5 |
| 5 | Hickory | 7.7-2.3 | 36.4 | 27.1 – 45.1 |
| 6 | Croatan | 9.0-1.0 | 34.6 | 25.0 – 46.1 |
| 7 | Hunt | 7.9-2.1 | 31.5 | 21.4 – 40.6 |
| 8 | Oak Grove | 7.5-2.5 | 29.7 | 18.6 – 39.4 |
| 9 | Franklin | 9.0-1.0 | 28.8 | 20.4 – 38.3 |
| 10 | Monroe | 6.2-3.8 | 24.4 | 14.7 – 34.7 |

### 4A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Reidsville | 9.1-0.9 | 38.4 | 29.1 – 47.5 |
| 2 | Eastern Wayne | 7.7-1.3 | 25.0 | 14.1 – 33.6 |
| 3 | Hibriten | 9.2-0.8 | 24.6 | 15.0 – 32.0 |
| 4 | West Craven | 7.0-3.0 | 23.2 | 15.0 – 32.3 |
| 5 | Burns | 6.7-3.3 | 22.2 | 14.7 – 29.2 |
| 6 | Stuart W Cramer | 8.3-1.7 | 21.6 | 11.4 – 30.8 |
| 7 | West Iredell | 6.9-3.1 | 18.5 | 8.4 – 28.2 |
| 8 | Bandys | 6.1-3.9 | 17.8 | 8.8 – 27.3 |
| 9 | SouthWest Edgecombe | 6.3-2.7 | 17.5 | 9.9 – 24.8 |
| 10 | Pisgah | 7.6-2.4 | 16.8 | 8.1 – 26.5 |

### NCISAA II — projected top 9

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | High Point Christian Academy | 8.3-1.7 | 28.2 | 19.1 – 36.7 |
| 2 | Asheville School (Independent) | 5.4-4.6 | 11.1 | 2.3 – 19.6 |
| 3 | Trinity Christian | 6.2-4.8 | 5.4 | -3.1 – 15.6 |
| 4 | Harrells Christian Academy | 6.3-3.7 | 4.7 | -5.8 – 14.8 |
| 5 | Wayne Christian | 6.2-2.8 | -3.6 | -13.4 – 7.0 |
| 6 | Hickory Grove Christian | 5.5-4.5 | -10.6 | -20.0 – -1.5 |
| 7 | Covenant Day | 2.8-7.2 | -14.3 | -24.4 – -3.4 |
| 8 | SouthLake Christian Academy | 2.3-7.7 | -18.8 | -27.1 – -9.4 |
| 9 | GRACE Christian | 4.6-6.4 | -24.0 | -33.7 – -13.7 |

### NCISAA 8 — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | John Paul II Catholic | 8.3-1.7 | 19.2 | 9.9 – 29.4 |
| 2 | Cary Christian | 7.0-2.0 | 16.4 | 7.4 – 27.1 |
| 3 | Arendell Parrott Academy | 7.1-1.9 | 16.3 | 5.1 – 25.3 |
| 4 | Faith Christian | 5.9-2.1 | 12.5 | 4.3 – 19.4 |
| 5 | Wake Christian Academy | 5.1-4.9 | -7.8 | -16.4 – 1.3 |
| 6 | Sandhills Classical Christian | 5.5-1.5 | -8.2 | -16.3 – 0.6 |
| 7 | Liberty Christian Academy | 4.3-2.7 | -9.5 | -19.2 – -0.8 |
| 8 | St. David's | 3.4-5.6 | -13.7 | -25.8 – -4.8 |
| 9 | Pungo Christian Academy | 7.0-2.0 | -15.2 | -24.1 – -6.3 |
| 10 | Lawrence Academy | 4.0-5.0 | -15.8 | -25.7 – -7.1 |

### 3A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Shelby | 7.6-2.4 | 25.7 | 16.5 – 33.7 |
| 2 | Lincolnton | 8.2-1.8 | 21.7 | 13.4 – 29.8 |
| 3 | Eastern Randolph | 6.9-3.1 | 18.0 | 8.3 – 26.6 |
| 4 | James Kenan | 6.6-2.4 | 17.6 | 8.0 – 26.1 |
| 5 | Martin County | 7.7-2.3 | 17.1 | 7.3 – 25.8 |
| 6 | Northeastern | 7.2-2.8 | 17.0 | 7.9 – 25.3 |
| 7 | Walkertown | 8.1-1.9 | 17.0 | 7.6 – 26.2 |
| 8 | Pender | 8.3-1.7 | 16.2 | 8.3 – 25.7 |
| 9 | Mount Airy | 6.0-4.0 | 16.1 | 6.1 – 23.7 |
| 10 | Mountain Heritage | 7.5-2.5 | 13.3 | 3.0 – 23.2 |

### 2A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Tarboro | 8.2-1.8 | 27.0 | 16.2 – 37.2 |
| 2 | Starmount | 8.7-1.4 | 17.2 | 8.8 – 25.9 |
| 3 | Warren County | 9.2-0.8 | 16.9 | 7.9 – 25.4 |
| 4 | Corvian Community | 7.5-2.5 | 14.3 | 4.9 – 22.7 |
| 5 | Holmes | 8.4-1.6 | 13.8 | 4.3 – 23.7 |
| 6 | East Wilkes | 6.2-3.8 | 11.2 | 3.6 – 21.0 |
| 7 | Murphy | 7.0-3.0 | 9.0 | -2.7 – 18.6 |
| 8 | Alleghany | 7.1-2.9 | 7.3 | -1.9 – 15.7 |
| 9 | East Bladen | 8.5-1.5 | 7.1 | -0.9 – 15.4 |
| 10 | Community School of Davidson | 6.3-3.6 | 5.7 | -5.9 – 17.0 |

### 8-MAN — projected top 2

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Community Christian | 3.6-5.4 | -22.0 | -31.0 – -13.2 |
| 2 | Father Capodanno | 2.3-4.7 | -26.5 | -35.3 – -18.0 |

### 1A — projected top 10

| # | School | Proj. record | Rating | 10th–90th |
|--:|---|--:|--:|--:|
| 1 | Rocky Mount | 6.4-4.6 | 16.7 | 7.9 – 28.0 |
| 2 | Wilson Preparatory Academy | 6.2-4.8 | 7.1 | -2.0 – 16.2 |
| 3 | Northside | 8.3-1.7 | -1.6 | -12.0 – 8.6 |
| 4 | Robbinsville | 4.9-5.1 | -3.1 | -12.7 – 6.4 |
| 5 | KIPP Pride | 5.7-4.3 | -9.1 | -19.2 – 0.8 |
| 6 | Blue Ridge Early College | 1.7-6.3 | -17.2 | -24.8 – -10.6 |
| 7 | South Davidson Middle and | 8.3-1.7 | -19.4 | -30.5 – -8.7 |
| 8 | Bear Grass Charter | 6.4-2.6 | -20.8 | -30.2 – -11.6 |
| 9 | Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy | 3.8-6.2 | -24.2 | -32.5 – -15.5 |
| 10 | Washington County | 4.5-5.5 | -26.7 | -35.1 – -17.7 |