2026 North Carolina High School Football Report

Week 6 — September 24, 2026

Work in progress. This report is in active development. Ratings and projections will change as the system is refined, and some sections are not yet complete.

Ratings basis: 1156 2026 results, seeded with 2025 Home field: +1.4 pts Generated September 22, 2026

Week 6 Projections

150 games. Sorted with the closest matchups first.

Thursday, September 24 — 2 games

Matchup	Projected result	Confidence
Seventy-First at Cape Fear	Seventy-First 26–20	66%
Midway at North Duplin Jr Sr	Midway 42–14	96%

Friday, September 25 — 146 games

Matchup	Projected result	Confidence
Rosman at Hayesvilleconf	Hayesville 22–22	50%
Asheville at Watauga	Asheville 22–22	50%
Patton at Draughnconf	Draughn 22–22	52%
Charles B Aycock at Southern Nashconf	Southern Nash 23–22	52%
Swansboro at West Carteretconf	West Carteret 23–22	53%
Croatan at Havelockconf	Croatan 23–21	55%
Bishop McGuinness at Winston-Salem Preparatory Acadconf	Bishop McGuinness 23–21	55%
Lee County at West Johnstonconf	West Johnston 23–21	55%
North Raleigh Christian Academy at Metrolina Christian Academy	Metrolina Christian Academy 23–21	56%
Triangle Math and Science Academy at Jones	Triangle Math and Science Academy 24–21	56%
Bradford Preparatory at Langtree Charter Academyconf	Langtree Charter Academy 24–21	56%
Gates County at Pasquotank County	Pasquotank County 24–21	57%
Rabun Gap-Nacoochee (GA) at Ambassador Christian School	Rabun Gap-Nacoochee (GA) 24–21	57%
Lexington at Randlemanconf	Randleman 24–21	59%
Bandys at Newton-Conoverconf	Bandys 24–21	59%
Anson at Pender	Pender 24–21	59%
Christ the King at Community School of Davidsonconf	Community School of Davidson 25–21	60%
Jordan at Apex Friendshipconf	Apex Friendship 25–21	61%
Lake View (SC) at Fairmont	Lake View (SC) 25–21	61%
Fike at Northern Nashconf	Fike 25–21	61%
Ben L. Smith at Southwest Guilfordconf	Southwest Guilford 25–21	63%
Central Cabarrus at Olympicconf	Olympic 26–21	64%
East Mecklenburg at Ballantyne Ridgeconf	Ballantyne Ridge 26–20	65%
Topsail at North Brunswickconf	North Brunswick 26–20	66%
Brevard at North Hendersonconf	North Henderson 26–20	66%
Harding University at Cox Millconf	Cox Mill 26–20	67%
Princeton at Wake Preparatory Academy	Princeton 26–20	67%
College Prep and Leadership Academy at South Stokesconf	South Stokes 26–20	67%
East Bladen at Hobbtonconf	East Bladen 27–20	68%
Cuthbertson at Piedmontconf	Piedmont 27–20	68%
Walkertown at Rockingham Countyconf	Walkertown 27–20	68%
Smoky Mountain at Tuscolaconf	Tuscola 27–20	70%
Lake Norman Charter at Pine Lake Preparatoryconf	Lake Norman Charter 27–20	70%
Spartanburg (SC) at Charlotte Latin	Spartanburg (SC) 28–20	71%
Benedictine (GA) at Richmondconf	Richmond 28–20	71%
Green Hope at Apexconf	Green Hope 28–20	72%
Porter Ridge at Charlotte Catholicconf	Charlotte Catholic 28–19	73%
Columbia at Hobgood Charterconf	Hobgood Charter 29–19	74%
Broughton at Corinth Holdersconf	Broughton 29–19	75%
Mallard Creek at West Charlotteconf	Mallard Creek 29–19	75%
Jordan-Matthews at East Chapel Hill	East Chapel Hill 29–19	75%
D H Conley at Western Alamance	D H Conley 29–19	76%
Avery County at Owenconf	Owen 29–19	76%
Union Academy at South Stanlyconf	Union Academy 29–19	76%
North Buncombe at McDowell	North Buncombe 29–19	76%
Elkin at Ashe Countyconf	Ashe County 30–19	77%
North Pitt at North Johnstonconf	North Pitt 30–19	78%
Chase at R-S Centralconf	R-S Central 30–19	79%
Atkins at Forbush	Forbush 30–19	79%
Hopewell at South Mecklenburgconf	Hopewell 30–19	79%
Maiden at Foardconf	Maiden 31–19	80%
Trion (GA) at Northview Academy	no rating for one side	—
Lawrence Academy at Halifax Academy	Lawrence Academy 31–18	81%
Sandhills Classical Christian at Father Capodannoconf	Sandhills Classical Christian 31–18	82%
T Wingate Andrews at Ledfordconf	T Wingate Andrews 32–18	83%
South Rowan at Concordconf	South Rowan 32–18	83%
J. F. Webb at Northwest Halifax Collegiate and Technic	J. F. Webb 32–18	83%
East Columbus Junior-Senior at Unionconf	Union 32–18	83%
Laney at Ashleyconf	Laney 32–18	84%
Shelby at Stuart W Cramerconf	Shelby 32–18	84%
Arendell Parrott Academy at Rocky Mount Academyconf	Arendell Parrott Academy 33–18	84%
Wakefield at Enloeconf	Enloe 33–18	85%
High Point Christian Academy at Trinity Christian	High Point Christian Academy 33–18	85%
GRACE Christian at Mount Zion Christian Academy	Mount Zion Christian Academy 33–18	85%
West Columbus at Lakewoodconf	Lakewood 33–18	85%
Dudley at Pageconf	Page 34–17	86%
Mountain Island Charter at Albemarle	Mountain Island Charter 34–17	87%
Pisgah at Franklinconf	Franklin 34–17	87%
Alleghany at Starmountconf	Starmount 34–17	87%
GRACE Christian at Concord Christian (TN)	Concord Christian (TN) 35–17	88%
Northwest Cabarrus at East Rowanconf	Northwest Cabarrus 35–17	89%
Northern at Orange	Orange 36–16	90%
Wayne Christian at American Leadership Academy - Johnston	Wayne Christian 36–16	90%
Rolesville at Millbrookconf	Millbrook 37–16	91%
Cherokee at Murphyconf	Murphy 37–16	92%
Pamlico County at Camden County	Camden County 38–16	92%
Willow Spring at Panther Creekconf	Panther Creek 38–16	92%
Wayne Preparatory Academy at Northeast Academy	Wayne Preparatory Academy 38–16	92%
Cary Christian at Wake Christian Academyconf	Cary Christian 38–16	93%
Mitchell at Polk Countyconf	Mitchell 38–15	93%
East Gaston at Bessemer Cityconf	East Gaston 38–15	93%
Covenant Day at Harrells Christian Academy	Harrells Christian Academy 38–15	93%
North Wilkes at Wilkes Centralconf	Wilkes Central 39–15	93%
Carson at West Rowanconf	West Rowan 39–15	93%
Hertford County at New Bern	New Bern 39–15	94%
West Stanly at Eastern Randolph	Eastern Randolph 39–15	94%
South Johnston at Union Pinesconf	Union Pines 39–15	94%
Chatham Central at North Stokesconf	Chatham Central 40–15	95%
Chambers at Butlerconf	Chambers 40–15	95%
East Wilkes at West Wilkesconf	East Wilkes 40–15	95%
Hoke County at Middle Creek	Middle Creek 41–15	95%
Hickory Ridge at West Cabarrusconf	Hickory Ridge 41–14	95%
Charlotte Country Day School at Myers Park	Myers Park 41–14	95%
Morehead at Bartlett Yanceyconf	Morehead 41–14	95%
East Rutherford at Forest Hills	Forest Hills 42–14	96%
Harnett Central at Western Harnettconf	Harnett Central 42–14	96%
Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy] at Providence Day	Providence Day 42–14	96%
Burns at West Lincolnconf	Burns 42–14	96%
Charlotte Christian at Ravenscroft	Charlotte Christian 42–14	96%
South Point at Hussconf	South Point 42–14	96%
West Stokes at Northeast Guilford	Northeast Guilford 43–14	96%
West Henderson at East Hendersonconf	West Henderson 43–14	96%
John Paul II Catholic at Liberty Christian Academy	John Paul II Catholic 43–14	96%
Southern Guilford at Central Davidson	Central Davidson 43–14	97%
Warren County at Roanoke Rapids	Warren County 43–14	97%
Southeast Alamance at Personconf	Southeast Alamance 43–14	97%
South Garner at Clevelandconf	Cleveland 43–13	97%
Weddington at Sun Valleyconf	Weddington 44–13	97%
Faith Christian at St. David'sconf	Faith Christian 44–13	97%
Carrboro at Louisburg Magnet	Louisburg Magnet 44–13	97%
Rosewood at James Kenanconf	James Kenan 44–13	97%
Wallace-Rose Hill at Goldsboroconf	Wallace-Rose Hill 56–9	97%
Fuquay-Varina at Southeast Raleighconf	Southeast Raleigh 46–13	97%
Grimsley at Western Guilfordconf	Grimsley 55–9	97%
Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy at North Stanly	North Stanly 48–12	97%
Southwestern Randolph at McMichael	Southwestern Randolph 49–11	97%
North Wake Saints at Felton Grove	Felton Grove 48–11	97%
Crest at Forestviewconf	Crest 50–11	97%
Lumberton at Monroe	Monroe 46–12	97%
Providence at Rocky Riverconf	Providence 47–12	97%
Washington at West Cravenconf	West Craven 45–13	97%
Northside at Richlandsconf	Northside 49–11	97%
Triton at Southern Leeconf	Triton 46–12	97%
Hough at West Mecklenburgconf	Hough 55–9	97%
Thomasville at North Moore	Thomasville 52–10	97%
Rocky Mount Preparatory at Weldon STEM	Rocky Mount Preparatory 47–12	97%
Southern Wayne at Huntconf	Hunt 46–12	97%
Carver at Reidsvilleconf	Reidsville 51–10	97%
Jay M Robinson at Salisburyconf	Jay M Robinson 52–10	97%
Bonnie Cone Leadership Academy at North Rowanconf	North Rowan 52–10	97%
Athens Drive at Leesville Roadconf	Leesville Road 45–13	97%
Bertie at Currituck County	Currituck County 45–13	97%
A L Brown at Phillip O Berry Academy of Technologyconf	A L Brown 45–13	97%
North Gaston at Ashbrookconf	Ashbrook 58–8	97%
Hoggard at West Brunswickconf	Hoggard 47–12	97%
South Wake Christian Athletics at Hickory Grove Christian	Hickory Grove Christian 44–13	97%
Lincoln Charter at Corvian Communityconf	Corvian Community 51–11	97%
Eastern Wayne at North Lenoirconf	Eastern Wayne 49–11	97%
Beddingfield at Bunn	Bunn 46–12	97%
Madison at Mountain Heritageconf	Mountain Heritage 47–12	97%
Robbinsville at Andrewsconf	Robbinsville 49–11	97%
North Lincoln at Hickoryconf	Hickory 49–11	97%
Lincolnton at Highland Techconf	Lincolnton 57–8	97%
Smithfield-Selma at Claytonconf	Clayton 56–8	97%
Hibriten at East Burkeconf	Hibriten 44–13	97%
Bunker Hill at East Lincolnconf	East Lincoln 44–13	97%

Saturday, September 26 — 1 games

Matchup	Projected result	Confidence
Asheville School (Independent) at Christ School	Christ School 28–20	72%

Monday, September 28 — 1 games

Matchup	Projected result	Confidence
Richmond at Rolesville	Rolesville 25–21	60%

Top 25 Power Rankings

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS	MaxPreps	Massey
1	Hough	8A	5-0-0	130.8	37.2	137.9	130.1
2	Weddington	7A	5-0-0	122.7	30.0	128.1	122.0
3	Providence Day	NCISAA I	4-1-0	122.1	35.9	127.7	124.0
4	Lake Norman	7A	5-0-0	120.1	22.9	120.8	112.4
5	Chambers	8A	5-0-0	116.1	22.7	120.7	109.7
6	Clayton	7A	5-0-0	115.6	12.4	102.9	111.9
7	Reagan	7A	4-1-0	115.1	28.0	115.1	110.7
8	West Forsyth	8A	4-1-0	114.5	29.4	114.0	112.7
9	Southeast Raleigh	7A	4-1-0	114.2	24.5	114.0	108.6
10	Cardinal Gibbons	7A	3-2-0	111.6	38.1	114.6	112.5
11	Mallard Creek	8A	3-2-0	110.7	37.0	118.9	115.6
12	Marvin Ridge	7A	5-0-0	110.4	13.4	98.5	101.7
13	Hickory	5A	4-1-0	109.9	11.8	98.2	106.0
14	Oak Grove	5A	4-1-0	109.4	14.6	98.2	104.6
15	Garner	7A	3-2-0	108.4	33.7	107.1	105.8
16	Roberson	6A	4-1-0	108.1	13.6	96.4	102.6
17	South Point	5A	5-0-0	107.7	27.1	113.4	106.2
18	East Forsyth	7A	3-2-0	107.1	22.0	98.8	108.6
19	Kings Mountain	6A	4-1-0	106.9	14.3	101.7	101.6
20	Junius H Rose	6A	5-0-0	105.9	19.9	101.8	100.9
21	Palisades	8A	4-1-0	105.6	23.5	102.6	102.4
22	Fike	5A	5-0-0	104.2	-1.9	91.6	90.7
23	Wake Forest	7A	3-2-0	103.7	24.8	94.1	99.5
24	Scotland	6A	4-1-0	102.9	20.6	99.1	91.1
25	Shelby	3A	4-1-0	102.0	3.2	95.8	99.5

By Classification

8A — top 10

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Hough	5-0-0	130.8	37.2
2	Chambers	5-0-0	116.1	22.7
3	West Forsyth	4-1-0	114.5	29.4
4	Mallard Creek	3-2-0	110.7	37.0
5	Palisades	4-1-0	105.6	23.5
6	West Charlotte	3-2-0	101.6	33.3
7	Apex Friendship	5-0-0	98.8	4.9
8	Pinecrest	2-3-0	98.7	28.2
9	Jordan	4-1-0	96.7	10.1
10	Ardrey Kell	3-2-0	94.6	20.9

7A — top 10

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Weddington	5-0-0	122.7	30.0
2	Lake Norman	5-0-0	120.1	22.9
3	Clayton	5-0-0	115.6	12.4
4	Reagan	4-1-0	115.1	28.0
5	Southeast Raleigh	4-1-0	114.2	24.5
6	Cardinal Gibbons	3-2-0	111.6	38.1
7	Marvin Ridge	5-0-0	110.4	13.4
8	Garner	3-2-0	108.4	33.7
9	East Forsyth	3-2-0	107.1	22.0
10	Wake Forest	3-2-0	103.7	24.8

6A — top 10

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Roberson	4-1-0	108.1	13.6
2	Kings Mountain	4-1-0	106.9	14.3
3	Junius H Rose	5-0-0	105.9	19.9
4	Scotland	4-1-0	102.9	20.6
5	Ashbrook	2-3-0	99.6	25.0
6	Southern Alamance	4-1-0	95.7	17.4
7	Dudley	3-2-0	94.9	25.7
8	Asheboro	5-0-0	94.3	8.9
9	Mount Tabor	1-4-0	91.6	35.9
10	Franklinton	5-0-0	91.1	-6.7

5A — top 10

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Hickory	4-1-0	109.9	11.8
2	Oak Grove	4-1-0	109.4	14.6
3	South Point	5-0-0	107.7	27.1
4	Fike	5-0-0	104.2	-1.9
5	East Lincoln	5-0-0	101.8	7.2
6	Hunt	5-0-0	95.5	12.6
7	Southeast Alamance	5-0-0	93.2	3.1
8	Croatan	5-0-0	93.2	-4.4
9	North Davidson	4-1-0	92.3	5.7
10	Eastern Alamance	3-2-0	90.9	8.1

4A — top 10

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Tuscola	5-0-0	95.2	-1.6
2	West Iredell	5-0-0	94.7	-5.8
3	West Craven	3-2-0	93.0	9.2
4	Burns	3-2-0	91.4	9.8
5	Reidsville	2-3-0	89.7	14.1
6	T Wingate Andrews	4-1-0	86.5	3.0
7	East Duplin	4-1-0	83.3	13.4
8	Mount Pleasant	4-1-0	83.2	8.6
9	Pisgah	3-2-0	81.3	5.4
10	R-S Central	4-1-0	80.1	-5.9

3A — top 10

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Shelby	4-1-0	102.0	3.2
2	Lincolnton	4-1-0	90.6	1.6
3	Northeastern	4-1-0	88.2	-0.3
4	Hendersonville	5-0-0	87.0	-0.4
5	Mount Airy	3-2-0	85.1	18.2
6	Eastern Randolph	2-3-0	85.0	15.5
7	Martin County	4-1-0	83.7	-5.3
8	Kinston	3-2-0	82.5	-3.1
9	Midway	5-0-0	80.9	-0.4
10	Whiteville	5-0-0	80.0	-9.3

2A — top 10

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Mitchell	3-2-0	73.2	-2.1
2	East Bladen	3-2-0	66.3	-13.5
3	Rosewood	3-2-0	62.7	-16.8
4	Cherryville	3-2-0	61.6	-10.1
5	Manteo	4-1-0	60.8	-16.8
6	Cherokee	3-2-0	60.2	3.3
7	Hobbton	1-4-0	59.9	-4.4
8	Lakewood	2-3-0	59.3	-7.6
9	East Carteret	1-4-0	50.1	-3.7
10	Perquimans County	2-3-0	49.9	-15.1

1A — top 10

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Northside	5-0-0	75.9	-12.1
2	Robbinsville	1-4-0	75.1	6.0
3	Wilson Preparatory Academy	1-4-0	74.0	17.9
4	South Davidson Middle and	3-2-0	50.8	-27.7
5	Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad	1-4-0	47.2	-13.3
6	Chatham Central	5-0-0	47.1	-32.1
7	North Edgecombe	3-2-0	45.4	-23.3
8	Washington County	1-4-0	44.5	-25.7
9	Rosman	2-3-0	43.4	-16.7
10	North East Carolina Prep	3-2-0	39.8	-45.0

NCCSA — top 1

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Community Christian	2-3-0	33.2	-32.0

NCISAA — top 8

	School	Record	Power	SOS
1	Providence Day	4-1-0	122.1	35.9
2	Asheville School (Independent)	3-2-0	89.3	11.3
3	Charlotte Latin	2-3-0	84.8	21.0
4	Trinity Christian	3-2-0	82.1	3.6
5	Metrolina Christian Academy	2-3-0	77.0	5.0
6	SouthLake Christian Academy	3-2-0	64.7	-14.3
7	Pungo Christian Academy	5-0-0	55.4	-48.2
8	Wake Christian Academy	1-4-0	43.2	-17.3

Leaders

Scoring tables are as played. Adjusted tables account for the opponent, so ten points conceded to a strong offense outranks a shutout of a weak one — the two disagree on purpose.

Scoring offenses

	School	Class	PPG
1	Fike	5A	56.0
2	Marvin Ridge	7A	49.6
3	Hickory	5A	49.4
4	Shelby	3A	48.8
5	Pungo Christian Academy	NCISAA 8	48.8
6	Southeast Alamance	5A	47.2
7	Chambers	8A	46.6
8	Roberson	6A	46.2
9	Princeton	3A	46.2
10	Tuscola	4A	45.8

Offenses, adjusted

	School	Class	Adj
1	Chambers	8A	+21.6
2	Fike	5A	+19.5
3	Hickory	5A	+19.5
4	Lake Norman	7A	+19.0
5	Roberson	6A	+18.0
6	Princeton	3A	+17.9
7	Southeast Alamance	5A	+16.6
8	Shelby	3A	+16.5
9	Tuscola	4A	+16.4
10	Lincolnton	3A	+16.1

Scoring defenses

	School	Class	PA/G
1	Glenn	6A	4.2
2	Smoky Mountain	5A	6.4
3	West Iredell	4A	6.6
4	Hough	8A	6.6
5	Saint Pauls	5A	6.6
6	Apex Friendship	8A	6.8
7	Pungo Christian Academy	NCISAA 8	6.8
8	Lake Norman	7A	7.6
9	Asheboro	6A	7.8
10	Franklinton	6A	8.2

Defenses, adjusted

	School	Class	Adj
1	Hough	8A	-18.7
2	Providence Day	NCISAA I	-16.4
3	Reagan	7A	-15.7
4	Asheboro	6A	-15.4
5	Oak Grove	5A	-15.1
6	Kings Mountain	6A	-14.9
7	Glenn	6A	-14.7
8	Apex Friendship	8A	-14.2
9	Junius H Rose	6A	-13.9
10	Clayton	7A	-13.9

Toughest schedules

	School	Class	SOS
1	Mooresville	7A	41.3
2	Cardinal Gibbons	7A	38.1
3	Hough	8A	37.2
4	Mallard Creek	8A	37.0
5	Mount Tabor	6A	35.9
6	Providence Day	NCISAA I	35.9
7	Garner	7A	33.7
8	West Charlotte	8A	33.3
9	Davie County	7A	31.5
10	Weddington	7A	30.0

Classification Strength

Fitted from games between classifications, not assumed.

Class	Level
8A	+21.6
NCISAA I	+17.0
7A	+16.6
6A	+9.8
5A	+7.2
NCISAA II	+1.1
4A	-2.2
3A	-7.5
2A	-12.1
NCISAA 8	-23.2
1A	-28.7
8-MAN	-29.9

Conference Power Rankings

Every team, strongest first.

Albemarle AAC — 2 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Manteo	2A	4-1-0	60.8	-16.8
2	Perquimans County	2A	2-3-0	49.9	-15.1

Atlantic — 1 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Bear Grass Charter	1A	0-5-0	26.7	-24.4

Big Carolina — 2 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Junius H Rose	6A	5-0-0	105.9	19.9
2	South Central	7A	3-2-0	88.9	10.5

Big East — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Fike	5A	5-0-0	104.2	-1.9
2	Hunt	5A	5-0-0	95.5	12.6
3	Rocky Mount	5A	3-2-0	90.2	8.5
4	Southern Nash	5A	3-2-0	73.9	8.2
5	Southern Wayne	5A	3-2-0	62.9	-11.9

Big Seven — 2 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Seaforth	5A	4-1-0	76.3	-6.9
2	South Granville	5A	3-2-0	69.1	3.0

Big South — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	South Point	5A	5-0-0	107.7	27.1
2	Kings Mountain	6A	4-1-0	106.9	14.3
3	Ashbrook	6A	2-3-0	99.6	25.0
4	Huss	5A	3-2-0	82.0	-1.9
5	Forestview	5A	0-5-0	60.5	11.6
6	North Gaston	5A	0-5-0	33.3	1.6

Carolina — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	East Bladen	2A	3-2-0	66.3	-13.5
2	Hobbton	2A	1-4-0	59.9	-4.4
3	Lakewood	2A	2-3-0	59.3	-7.6
4	East Columbus Junior-Senior	1A	2-3-0	38.7	-16.1

Carolina Coast — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Laney	8A	2-3-0	90.1	26.7
2	North Brunswick	7A	3-2-0	82.4	8.1
3	New Hanover	7A	2-3-0	80.6	21.6
4	Topsail	7A	2-3-0	78.7	19.4
5	Ashley	7A	2-3-0	77.2	17.6
6	West Brunswick	6A	1-4-0	76.5	7.3

Central Carolina — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Providence Grove	3A	3-2-0	72.0	-5.7
2	Wheatmore	3A	1-4-0	52.7	-14.7
3	East Davidson	3A	2-3-0	47.7	-7.2
4	Trinity	3A	1-4-0	32.3	-14.3

Central Piedmont — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Reagan	7A	4-1-0	115.1	28.0
2	West Forsyth	8A	4-1-0	114.5	29.4
3	East Forsyth	7A	3-2-0	107.1	22.0
4	R J Reynolds	7A	3-2-0	81.0	-4.5
5	Northwest Guilford	8A	0-5-0	72.5	22.0
6	Parkland	7A	3-2-0	66.9	-9.3

Christian Independent — 1 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Community Christian	8-MAN	2-3-0	33.2	-32.0

Coastal — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Croatan	5A	5-0-0	93.2	-4.4
2	Havelock	5A	2-3-0	90.6	21.6
3	Swansboro	6A	4-1-0	74.0	-6.5
4	Dixon	5A	2-3-0	67.0	-8.9
5	Richlands	5A	1-4-0	61.7	4.3

Coastal Plains — 3 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Northside	1A	5-0-0	75.9	-12.1
2	East Carteret	2A	1-4-0	50.1	-3.7
3	Southside	2A	3-2-0	46.6	-14.0

East Central — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	East Duplin	4A	4-1-0	83.3	13.4
2	Clinton	4A	3-2-0	74.4	3.8
3	Southwest	4A	1-4-0	61.8	3.7
4	Heide Trask	3A	1-4-0	46.1	-15.9
5	South Lenoir	3A	3-2-0	45.2	-17.8

Eastern Carolina — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Wilson Preparatory Academy	1A	1-4-0	74.0	17.9
2	North Edgecombe	1A	3-2-0	45.4	-23.3
3	Washington County	1A	1-4-0	44.5	-25.7
4	North East Carolina Prep	1A	3-2-0	39.8	-45.0

Eastern Plains — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Kinston	3A	3-2-0	82.5	-3.1
2	Greene Central	3A	3-2-0	77.0	-11.9
3	Farmville Central	3A	2-3-0	65.7	11.7
4	Ayden-Grifton	3A	1-4-0	60.5	6.4

Eastern Sandhills — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Saint Pauls	5A	5-0-0	89.4	-4.2
2	Westover	6A	2-3-0	82.2	11.0
3	South View	6A	1-4-0	76.9	15.1
4	E E Smith	6A	0-5-0	72.3	6.4
5	Douglas Byrd	5A	0-5-0	40.0	-1.4

Four Rivers — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Eastern Randolph	3A	2-3-0	85.0	15.5
2	Southwestern Randolph	4A	4-1-0	71.1	-15.1
3	Northwood	3A	2-3-0	63.7	2.0
4	Jordan-Matthews	4A	2-3-0	35.7	-23.9

Greater Charlotte — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Hough	8A	5-0-0	130.8	37.2
2	Hopewell	7A	4-1-0	85.1	11.2
3	South Mecklenburg	8A	1-4-0	74.3	12.4
4	West Mecklenburg	7A	0-5-0	71.6	10.5
5	Garinger	8A	2-3-0	49.7	-6.5

Greater Neuse River — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Clayton	7A	5-0-0	115.6	12.4
2	Southeast Raleigh	7A	4-1-0	114.2	24.5
3	Garner	7A	3-2-0	108.4	33.7
4	South Garner	7A	3-2-0	91.3	-0.6
5	Fuquay-Varina	7A	2-3-0	83.5	20.1
6	Smithfield-Selma	7A	0-5-0	56.3	6.6

Greater Triad — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	South Davidson Middle and	1A	3-2-0	50.8	-27.7
2	Bishop McGuinness	2A	2-3-0	49.8	-19.1
3	Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad	1A	1-4-0	47.2	-13.3
4	Chatham Central	1A	5-0-0	47.1	-32.1
5	South Stokes	2A	3-2-0	41.5	-26.7
6	North Stokes	1A	0-5-0	25.2	-23.8

Meck Power Six — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Chambers	8A	5-0-0	116.1	22.7
2	Mallard Creek	8A	3-2-0	110.7	37.0
3	West Charlotte	8A	3-2-0	101.6	33.3
4	Butler	7A	3-2-0	94.1	25.9
5	Independence	7A	1-4-0	85.7	25.3
6	North Mecklenburg	7A	2-3-0	84.1	3.7

Metro — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Dudley	6A	3-2-0	94.9	25.7
2	Ragsdale	6A	2-3-0	78.5	10.5
3	Western Guilford	6A	2-3-0	62.2	-2.6
4	Ben L. Smith	6A	1-4-0	59.4	-1.9

Mid Carolina — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Southern Alamance	6A	4-1-0	95.7	17.4
2	Southeast Alamance	5A	5-0-0	93.2	3.1
3	Eastern Alamance	5A	3-2-0	90.9	8.1
4	Person	5A	1-4-0	66.0	6.8
5	Cummings	4A	1-4-0	60.2	3.4

Mid South — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Pinecrest	8A	2-3-0	98.7	28.2
2	Jack Britt	7A	2-3-0	86.7	21.6
3	Overhills	7A	3-2-0	80.7	5.3
4	Pine Forest	7A	3-2-0	78.0	13.2

Mid State — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Reidsville	4A	2-3-0	89.7	14.1
2	Walkertown	3A	4-1-0	79.9	3.1
3	Rockingham County	5A	2-3-0	73.3	2.1
4	Morehead	4A	3-2-0	60.0	-4.2
5	Carver	4A	1-5-0	44.4	-11.1

Mountain — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Roberson	6A	4-1-0	108.1	13.6
2	Enka	5A	5-0-0	86.7	-8.5
3	Erwin	5A	3-2-0	83.1	7.4
4	Reynolds	6A	1-4-0	75.8	9.6

Mountain Eight — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Tuscola	4A	5-0-0	95.2	-1.6
2	Smoky Mountain	5A	5-0-0	89.9	-12.9
3	Pisgah	4A	3-2-0	81.3	5.4
4	North Henderson	5A	0-5-0	65.2	16.1
5	East Henderson	4A	1-4-0	50.1	1.3

NCISAA 8 Man Freelance — 2 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Pungo Christian Academy	NCISAA 8	5-0-0	55.4	-48.2
2	Wake Christian Academy	NCISAA 8	1-4-0	43.2	-17.3

NCISAA Big 6 — 2 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Asheville School (Independent)	NCISAA II	3-2-0	89.3	11.3
2	SouthLake Christian Academy	NCISAA II	3-2-0	64.7	-14.3

NCISAA Big East — 1 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Trinity Christian	NCISAA II	3-2-0	82.1	3.6

NCISAA Big South — 2 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Providence Day	NCISAA I	4-1-0	122.1	35.9
2	Charlotte Latin	NCISAA I	2-3-0	84.8	21.0

NCISAA Western — 1 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Metrolina Christian Academy	NCISAA I	2-3-0	77.0	5.0

North Piedmont — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Lake Norman	7A	5-0-0	120.1	22.9
2	Mooresville	7A	1-4-0	99.2	41.3
3	Davie County	7A	3-2-0	98.5	31.5
4	Statesville	6A	2-3-0	80.0	11.2
5	South Iredell	7A	1-4-0	75.6	21.1
6	North Iredell	6A	0-5-0	40.1	7.8

Northeastern Coastal — 2 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Northeastern	3A	4-1-0	88.2	-0.3
2	Martin County	3A	4-1-0	83.7	-5.3

Northern Six — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Wake Forest	7A	3-2-0	103.7	24.8
2	Franklinton	6A	5-0-0	91.1	-6.7
3	Heritage	7A	1-4-0	79.8	23.4
4	East Wake	7A	2-3-0	71.4	9.1
5	Knightdale	7A	0-5-0	60.6	8.8
6	Vance County	6A	0-5-0	58.4	17.2

Northwest — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Mount Airy	3A	3-2-0	85.1	18.2
2	East Surry	3A	1-4-0	69.7	5.1
3	North Surry	4A	3-2-0	69.2	-6.3
4	Surry Central	3A	0-5-0	30.0	-23.0

Northwestern — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Alexander Central	6A	4-1-0	85.4	6.8
2	Freedom	6A	4-1-0	76.5	-6.2
3	Saint Stephens	6A	1-4-0	72.7	4.7
4	South Caldwell	6A	2-3-0	64.9	8.4

PAC Seven — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	T Wingate Andrews	4A	4-1-0	86.5	3.0
2	Montgomery Central	5A	2-3-0	75.0	12.4
3	Ledford	4A	3-2-0	74.0	6.9
4	Randleman	4A	1-4-0	69.8	10.2
5	Central Davidson	4A	1-4-0	66.0	5.6

Piedmont Triad — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Oak Grove	5A	4-1-0	109.4	14.6
2	North Davidson	5A	4-1-0	92.3	5.7
3	Mount Tabor	6A	1-4-0	91.6	35.9
4	Glenn	6A	4-1-0	82.2	8.0
5	North Forsyth Magnet	5A	1-4-0	50.4	-0.3

Quad City Seven — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Apex Friendship	8A	5-0-0	98.8	4.9
2	Jordan	8A	4-1-0	96.7	10.1
3	Green Hope	8A	4-1-0	90.9	-1.5
4	Panther Creek	8A	3-2-0	85.0	9.6
5	Apex	8A	2-3-0	83.0	5.1
6	Green Level	8A	1-4-0	67.2	10.4

Quad County — 2 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Wake Preparatory Academy	3A	4-1-0	71.1	-23.0
2	Nash Central	4A	0-5-0	62.6	17.5

Roanoke River — 1 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	KIPP Pride	1A	1-4-0	34.9	-10.2

Rocky River — 2 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Parkwood	5A	3-2-0	83.5	14.3
2	Mount Pleasant	4A	4-1-0	83.2	8.6

Smoky Mountain — 3 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Robbinsville	1A	1-4-0	75.1	6.0
2	Cherokee	2A	3-2-0	60.2	3.3
3	Rosman	1A	2-3-0	43.4	-16.7

Southeastern — 5 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Whiteville	3A	5-0-0	80.0	-9.3
2	South Columbus	3A	3-2-0	68.9	4.1
3	South Brunswick	5A	2-3-0	65.2	-1.8
4	Red Springs	4A	1-4-0	40.4	0.4
5	West Bladen	3A	0-5-0	34.5	-13.1

Southern Carolina — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Weddington	7A	5-0-0	122.7	30.0
2	Marvin Ridge	7A	5-0-0	110.4	13.4
3	Charlotte Catholic	6A	2-3-0	90.0	24.9
4	Porter Ridge	7A	2-3-0	83.8	21.1
5	Piedmont	6A	2-3-0	74.1	7.5
6	Cuthbertson	7A	1-4-0	69.7	14.1

Southern Piedmont — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Shelby	3A	4-1-0	102.0	3.2
2	Burns	4A	3-2-0	91.4	9.8
3	Lincolnton	3A	4-1-0	90.6	1.6
4	Cherryville	2A	3-2-0	61.6	-10.1
5	Bessemer City	3A	0-5-0	38.2	7.1
6	Highland Tech	2A	0-5-0	26.0	-1.1

Southwestern — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Palisades	8A	4-1-0	105.6	23.5
2	Ardrey Kell	8A	3-2-0	94.6	20.9
3	Providence	8A	1-4-0	89.5	27.6
4	Ballantyne Ridge	7A	2-3-0	76.0	8.4
5	East Mecklenburg	8A	3-2-0	72.7	2.9
6	Rocky River	7A	0-5-0	53.0	2.4

Swine Valley — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Midway	3A	5-0-0	80.9	-0.4
2	Princeton	3A	2-3-0	77.2	0.9
3	Rosewood	2A	3-2-0	62.7	-16.8
4	Goldsboro	3A	0-5-0	21.4	2.9

TAAC Six — 3 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Asheboro	6A	5-0-0	94.3	8.9
2	Northern Guilford	6A	1-4-0	79.3	28.8
3	Southeast Guilford	6A	1-4-0	72.8	9.9

Three Rivers — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	West Craven	4A	3-2-0	93.0	9.2
2	North Pitt	4A	1-4-0	64.1	10.6
3	North Johnston	4A	1-4-0	53.8	-0.8
4	North Lenoir	4A	0-5-0	47.3	-0.6

Tobacco Road — 3 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Hillside	7A	3-2-0	78.3	14.4
2	Riverside	7A	1-4-0	58.1	11.0
3	Chapel Hill	7A	1-4-0	45.9	-2.2

Tri County — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Scotland	6A	4-1-0	102.9	20.6
2	Gray's Creek	6A	3-2-0	74.6	-0.1
3	Purnell Swett	7A	3-2-0	74.4	-6.9
4	Terry Sanford	6A	1-4-0	73.9	13.9

Triangle Six — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Cardinal Gibbons	7A	3-2-0	111.6	38.1
2	Holly Springs	7A	2-3-0	79.8	14.3
3	Sanderson	7A	3-2-0	79.7	-3.5
4	Cary	7A	2-3-0	69.7	2.2

Western Foothills — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Hickory	5A	4-1-0	109.9	11.8
2	East Lincoln	5A	5-0-0	101.8	7.2
3	West Iredell	4A	5-0-0	94.7	-5.8
4	Maiden	4A	2-3-0	78.0	11.0
5	Bunker Hill	4A	3-2-0	74.8	4.4
6	North Lincoln	5A	1-4-0	69.0	16.3

Western Highlands — 6 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	Hendersonville	3A	5-0-0	87.0	-0.4
2	Mitchell	2A	3-2-0	73.2	-2.1
3	Owen	3A	3-2-0	55.9	-16.1
4	Polk County	3A	1-4-0	53.4	-9.2
5	Avery County	2A	3-2-0	48.6	-22.6
6	Madison	3A	1-4-0	41.9	-15.6

Western Piedmont — 4 teams

	School	Class	Record	Power	SOS
1	R-S Central	4A	4-1-0	80.1	-5.9
2	East Burke	4A	3-2-0	66.8	-6.0
3	Patton	3A	0-5-0	34.4	-9.8
4	Draughn	3A	0-5-0	33.9	5.5

NCHSAA RPI Standings

The official NCHSAA RPI standings, as published by the association on September 22, 2026 (nchsaa.org, powered by MaxPreps): 0.4 win percentage, 0.4 opponents' win percentage, 0.2 opponents' opponents'. Records are NCHSAA's, which can differ from ours where the association has ruled on a forfeit.

8A — 32 teams

	School	Record	RPI	Power	SOS
1	Hough	5-0-0	0.87283	130.8	37.2
2	Chambers	5-0-0	0.86667	116.1	22.7
3	Millbrook	4-0-0	0.73563	120.1	20.7
4	Apex Friendship	5-0-0	0.73433	98.8	4.9
5	Green Hope	4-1-0	0.69500	90.9	-1.5
6	Palisades	4-1-0	0.69183	105.6	23.5
7	West Forsyth	4-1-0	0.67533	114.5	29.4
8	Hoggard	3-1-0	0.66125	112.1	27.4
9	Broughton	3-1-0	0.64750	90.4	12.9
10	Mallard Creek	3-2-0	0.61356	110.7	37.0
11	West Charlotte	3-2-0	0.60933	101.6	33.3
12	Myers Park	2-2-0	0.59917	106.7	41.2
13	Ardrey Kell	3-2-0	0.59400	94.6	20.9
14	Jordan	4-1-0	0.57350	96.7	10.1
15	Laney	2-3-0	0.55767	90.1	26.7
16	Hoke County	2-2-0	0.55542	84.7	20.5
17	Pinecrest	2-3-0	0.55417	98.7	28.2
18	Panther Creek	3-2-0	0.48917	85.0	9.6
19	Leesville Road	2-2-0	0.47750	100.1	18.7
20	Enloe	2-2-0	0.47583	86.0	13.1
21	Rolesville	1-2-0	0.46528	104.2	34.7
22	East Mecklenburg	3-2-0	0.46133	72.7	2.9
23	Providence	1-4-0	0.43483	89.5	27.6
24	Corinth Holders	1-3-0	0.42347	81.5	28.7
25	Athens Drive	1-3-0	0.41688	71.1	17.0
26	Apex	2-3-0	0.40000	83.0	5.1
27	Willow Spring	1-3-0	0.39271	68.0	14.3
28	South Mecklenburg	1-4-0	0.34850	74.3	12.4
29	Wakefield	1-3-0	0.33875	74.7	20.8
30	Garinger	2-3-0	0.33650	49.7	-6.5
31	Green Level	1-4-0	0.33583	67.2	10.4
32	Northwest Guilford	0-5-0	0.24100	72.5	22.0

7A — 60 teams

	School	Record	RPI	Power	SOS
1	Weddington	5-0-0	0.79400	122.7	30.0
2	Cleveland	4-0-0	0.78188	116.9	25.5
3	Grimsley	4-0-0	0.77500	120.6	26.3
4	Clayton	5-0-0	0.74350	115.6	12.4
5	Lake Norman	5-0-0	0.73600	120.1	22.9
6	Marvin Ridge	5-0-0	0.72467	110.4	13.4
7	Cape Fear	5-0-0	0.71489	94.7	1.7
8	New Bern	3-1-0	0.69875	101.6	25.3
9	Southeast Raleigh	4-1-0	0.69333	114.2	24.5
10	Davie County	3-2-0	0.67900	98.5	31.5
11	Garner	3-2-0	0.67333	108.4	33.7
12	Reagan	4-1-0	0.67067	115.1	28.0
13	A L Brown	4-0-0	0.66833	101.2	8.9
14	Cardinal Gibbons	3-2-0	0.64783	111.6	38.1
15	Hopewell	4-1-0	0.64000	85.1	11.2
16	D H Conley	3-1-0	0.62500	88.9	10.7
17	Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi	2-2-0	0.60750	100.7	32.0
18	Butler	3-2-0	0.58650	94.1	25.9
19	Wake Forest	3-2-0	0.58500	103.7	24.8
20	New Hanover	2-3-0	0.57917	80.6	21.6
21	East Forsyth	3-2-0	0.56967	107.1	22.0
22	North Brunswick	3-2-0	0.56700	82.4	8.1
23	Page	4-0-0	0.56333	107.3	2.6
24	Topsail	2-3-0	0.55467	78.7	19.4
25	Hickory Ridge	3-1-0	0.55313	100.6	11.5
26	Mooresville	1-4-0	0.52283	99.2	41.3
27	Overhills	3-2-0	0.51967	80.7	5.3
28	Pine Forest	3-3-0	0.51925	78.0	13.2
29	South Central	3-2-0	0.51750	88.9	10.5
30	West Cabarrus	1-3-0	0.50938	77.5	24.2
31	Fuquay-Varina	2-3-0	0.50700	83.5	20.1
32	Purnell Swett	3-2-0	0.50667	74.4	-6.9
33	Hillside	3-2-0	0.50537	78.3	14.4
34	Porter Ridge	2-3-0	0.48683	83.8	21.1
35	Jack Britt	2-3-0	0.47853	86.7	21.6
36	Parkland	3-2-0	0.47683	66.9	-9.3
37	Ashley	2-3-0	0.47453	77.2	17.6
38	Independence	1-4-0	0.47167	85.7	25.3
39	McDowell	1-3-0	0.46983	58.5	2.2
40	Ballantyne Ridge	2-3-0	0.46817	76.0	8.4
41	South Garner	3-2-0	0.45767	91.3	-0.6
42	Sanderson	3-2-0	0.45733	79.7	-3.5
43	R J Reynolds	3-2-0	0.45683	81.0	-4.5
44	Richmond	1-3-0	0.42813	102.3	30.5
45	Holly Springs	2-3-0	0.42800	79.8	14.3
46	East Wake	2-3-0	0.42083	71.4	9.1
47	South Iredell	1-4-0	0.41333	75.6	21.1
48	North Mecklenburg	2-3-0	0.40933	84.1	3.7
49	Heritage	1-4-0	0.40383	79.8	23.4
50	Southwest Guilford	0-4-0	0.39646	62.1	18.9
51	Riverside	1-4-0	0.38533	58.1	11.0
52	Lumberton	1-3-0	0.38375	65.7	0.9
53	Cuthbertson	1-4-0	0.38183	69.7	14.1
54	Cary	2-3-0	0.33267	69.7	2.2
55	Cox Mill	1-3-0	0.32063	72.6	8.4
56	Chapel Hill	1-4-0	0.30033	45.9	-2.2
57	Knightdale	0-5-0	0.26667	60.6	8.8
58	West Mecklenburg	0-5-0	0.26183	71.6	10.5
59	Smithfield-Selma	0-5-0	0.25167	56.3	6.6
60	Rocky River	0-5-0	0.18850	53.0	2.4

6A — 58 teams

	School	Record	RPI	Power	SOS
1	Asheboro	5-0-0	0.75667	94.3	8.9
2	Jacksonville	3-1-0	0.73938	106.1	14.8
3	Williams	3-0-0	0.72556	92.1	5.5
4	Junius H Rose	5-0-0	0.72533	105.9	19.9
5	Roberson	4-1-0	0.70950	108.1	13.6
6	Franklinton	5-0-0	0.70750	91.1	-6.7
7	Southern Alamance	4-1-0	0.70150	95.7	17.4
8	Scotland	4-1-0	0.67633	102.9	20.6
9	Harnett Central	3-0-0	0.67111	83.3	-0.6
10	Kings Mountain	4-1-0	0.65883	106.9	14.3
11	Swansboro	4-1-0	0.65233	74.0	-6.5
12	Asheville	3-1-0	0.64792	88.3	15.3
13	Triton	4-0-0	0.64229	78.7	-0.2
14	Dudley	3-2-0	0.63200	94.9	25.7
15	Felton Grove	3-1-0	0.62771	78.6	-1.5
16	Ashbrook	2-3-0	0.61100	99.6	25.0
17	Glenn	4-1-0	0.60200	82.2	8.0
18	Alexander Central	4-1-0	0.59017	85.4	6.8
19	Union Pines	3-1-0	0.58208	96.0	13.5
20	Northern Nash	2-2-0	0.58042	100.0	23.6
21	Seventy-First	3-1-0	0.57518	100.5	10.8
22	Freedom	4-1-0	0.57067	76.5	-6.2
23	Sun Valley	2-2-0	0.55958	94.7	30.3
24	Middle Creek	2-2-0	0.55354	105.1	21.5
25	Statesville	2-3-0	0.49817	80.0	11.2
26	Northern	2-2-0	0.49542	51.2	-10.0
27	South Caldwell	2-3-0	0.48950	64.9	8.4
28	South Johnston	1-2-0	0.48667	77.1	11.2
29	Piedmont	2-3-0	0.48617	74.1	7.5
30	Charlotte Catholic	2-3-0	0.48350	90.0	24.9
31	White Oak	2-2-0	0.47083	70.5	0.0
32	Central Cabarrus	1-3-0	0.46813	77.6	14.8
33	Olympic	2-2-0	0.45667	80.6	16.0
34	Westover	2-3-0	0.45390	82.2	11.0
35	Mount Tabor	1-4-0	0.44850	91.6	35.9
36	West Brunswick	1-4-0	0.44067	76.5	7.3
37	Lee County	0-4-0	0.43875	67.9	18.4
38	Ragsdale	2-3-0	0.43100	78.5	10.5
39	Harding University	1-3-0	0.41688	68.7	15.9
40	Eastern Guilford	1-3-0	0.41271	66.9	15.0
41	Gray's Creek	3-2-0	0.40964	74.6	-0.1
42	Western Harnett	3-1-0	0.40236	58.7	-27.5
43	West Johnston	1-3-0	0.39813	68.4	19.8
44	Watauga	1-3-0	0.39167	87.1	10.2
45	Southeast Guilford	1-4-0	0.38667	72.8	9.9
46	Western Guilford	2-3-0	0.37633	62.2	-2.6
47	Saint Stephens	1-4-0	0.37033	72.7	4.7
48	Northern Guilford	1-4-0	0.36667	79.3	28.8
49	Reynolds	1-4-0	0.36600	75.8	9.6
50	Vance County	0-5-0	0.35950	58.4	17.2
51	Phillip O Berry Academy of Technology	2-2-0	0.35000	70.7	5.4
52	South View	1-4-0	0.34637	76.9	15.1
53	Southern Lee	0-4-0	0.32500	45.5	12.4
54	East Chapel Hill	1-2-0	0.31287	42.8	-19.1
55	Ben L. Smith	1-4-0	0.30483	59.4	-1.9
56	Terry Sanford	1-4-0	0.30448	73.9	13.9
57	North Iredell	0-5-0	0.28500	40.1	7.8
58	E E Smith	0-5-0	0.21484	72.3	6.4

5A — 57 teams

	School	Record	RPI	Power	SOS
1	South Point	5-0-0	0.86867	107.7	27.1
2	Northside	4-0-0	0.80042	103.7	18.9
3	Crest	3-1-0	0.79146	105.4	31.1
4	Hunt	4-0-0	0.76563	95.5	12.6
5	Southeast Alamance	5-0-0	0.74567	93.2	3.1
6	Saint Pauls	5-0-0	0.72467	89.4	-4.2
7	Jay M Robinson	4-0-0	0.71604	105.4	5.7
8	Hickory	4-1-0	0.71133	109.9	11.8
9	Enka	5-0-0	0.70650	86.7	-8.5
10	West Rowan	3-1-0	0.70021	92.8	9.6
11	Forest Hills	4-0-0	0.69042	85.9	-0.9
12	Croatan	5-0-0	0.68517	93.2	-4.4
13	Northeast Guilford	3-1-0	0.68063	96.0	16.6
14	East Lincoln	5-0-0	0.67433	101.8	7.2
15	Fike	5-0-0	0.67400	104.2	-1.9
16	Oak Grove	4-1-0	0.64883	109.4	14.6
17	North Davidson	4-1-0	0.64367	92.3	5.7
18	Northwest Cabarrus	3-1-0	0.63792	80.5	12.8
19	West Henderson	2-2-0	0.63500	76.5	10.3
20	Franklin	5-0-0	0.63350	94.2	-4.2
21	Seaforth	4-1-0	0.62467	76.3	-6.9
22	Smoky Mountain	5-0-0	0.61633	89.9	-12.9
23	Monroe	2-2-0	0.60729	98.6	30.9
24	Western Alamance	4-0-0	0.59417	79.6	-1.5
25	Carson	3-1-0	0.59171	74.5	-2.5
26	Charles B Aycock	2-2-0	0.56938	74.3	-3.2
27	Montgomery Central	2-3-0	0.54950	75.0	12.4
28	East Rowan	2-2-0	0.54146	64.0	2.3
29	Parkwood	3-2-0	0.54133	83.5	14.3
30	Eastern Alamance	3-2-0	0.53750	90.9	8.1
31	Havelock	2-3-0	0.53550	90.6	21.6
32	Erwin	3-2-0	0.53517	83.1	7.4
33	North Buncombe	3-1-0	0.53458	68.1	-18.3
34	Southern Nash	3-2-0	0.53133	73.9	8.2
35	Rocky Mount	3-2-0	0.53067	90.2	8.5
36	South Granville	3-2-0	0.52567	69.1	3.0
37	Rockingham County	2-3-0	0.52200	73.3	2.1
38	Huss	3-2-0	0.49617	82.0	-1.9
39	Southern Wayne	3-2-0	0.49500	62.9	-11.9
40	West Carteret	2-2-0	0.49125	73.7	6.4
41	Currituck County	2-2-0	0.48264	70.5	0.4
42	North Lincoln	1-4-0	0.45283	69.0	16.3
43	Concord	1-3-0	0.44979	64.0	7.6
44	North Henderson	0-5-0	0.43200	65.2	16.1
45	J. F. Webb	1-3-0	0.40958	56.5	-1.6
46	Person	1-4-0	0.38817	66.0	6.8
47	Orange	1-3-0	0.36938	66.1	1.1
48	South Brunswick	2-3-0	0.36667	65.2	-1.8
49	Forestview	0-5-0	0.33800	60.5	11.6
50	Dixon	2-3-0	0.33117	67.0	-8.9
51	Richlands	1-4-0	0.32817	61.7	4.3
52	North Forsyth Magnet	1-4-0	0.32067	50.4	-0.3
53	Douglas Byrd	0-5-0	0.27653	40.0	-1.4
54	Atkins	0-4-0	0.25583	46.3	3.5
55	North Gaston	0-5-0	0.24267	33.3	1.6
56	Southern Guilford	0-4-0	0.20896	41.4	6.8
57	Cedar Ridge	0-3-0	0.12917	28.1	-26.6

4A — 57 teams

	School	Record	RPI	Power	SOS
1	Tuscola	5-0-0	0.72500	95.2	-1.6
2	Mount Pleasant	4-1-0	0.70950	83.2	8.6
3	East Duplin	4-1-0	0.69367	83.3	13.4
4	Eastern Wayne	4-0-0	0.67188	87.7	-21.3
5	West Iredell	5-0-0	0.66717	94.7	-5.8
6	Hibriten	4-0-0	0.66479	95.9	1.7
7	Clinton	3-2-0	0.66267	74.4	3.8
8	Forbush	3-1-0	0.64750	54.9	-13.1
9	T Wingate Andrews	4-1-0	0.64300	86.5	3.0
10	South Rowan	3-1-0	0.60813	76.7	-14.1
11	Burns	3-2-0	0.60333	91.4	9.8
12	R-S Central	4-1-0	0.59633	80.1	-5.9
13	North Surry	3-2-0	0.59483	69.2	-6.3
14	West Stanly	2-2-0	0.59271	66.1	-3.2
15	SouthWest Edgecombe	3-1-0	0.59250	81.7	2.2
16	Fairmont	2-2-0	0.58521	65.9	5.1
17	Ledford	3-2-0	0.57600	74.0	6.9
18	Pisgah	3-2-0	0.57233	81.3	5.4
19	Roanoke Rapids	3-1-0	0.56708	64.6	-13.6
20	Southwestern Randolph	4-1-0	0.56667	71.1	-15.1
21	Bandys	2-2-0	0.56083	77.7	19.0
22	West Stokes	2-2-0	0.52979	71.7	3.2
23	East Burke	3-2-0	0.52650	66.8	-6.0
24	Lake Norman Charter	2-2-0	0.52067	64.3	1.9
25	West Craven	3-2-0	0.51150	93.0	9.2
26	Stuart W Cramer	4-0-0	0.51083	88.9	-30.5
27	Bunker Hill	3-2-0	0.50883	74.8	4.4
28	Morehead	3-2-0	0.50767	60.0	-4.2
29	Anson	3-1-0	0.50563	73.4	-15.9
30	Reidsville	2-3-0	0.49794	89.7	14.1
31	Foard	1-3-0	0.48625	67.0	13.6
32	Maiden	2-3-0	0.47867	78.0	11.0
33	Newton-Conover	1-3-0	0.46667	74.1	17.6
34	Wilkes Central	3-1-0	0.46313	79.3	-28.5
35	Graham	0-1-0	0.46250	32.7	-22.9
36	Randleman	1-4-0	0.45833	69.8	10.2
37	Cummings	1-4-0	0.44683	60.2	3.4
38	East Gaston	2-2-0	0.43750	58.1	-1.0
39	Lexington	1-3-0	0.43542	68.3	3.4
40	East Henderson	1-4-0	0.43333	50.1	1.3
41	Washington	0-4-0	0.41250	63.4	15.2
42	Bunn	1-3-0	0.40958	63.1	2.1
43	Salisbury	0-4-0	0.40000	56.1	16.5
44	Jordan-Matthews	2-3-0	0.38733	35.7	-23.9
45	North Pitt	1-4-0	0.37817	64.1	10.6
46	Central Davidson	1-4-0	0.37033	66.0	5.6
47	Red Springs	1-4-0	0.36100	40.4	0.4
48	North Johnston	1-4-0	0.35933	53.8	-0.8
49	Southwest	1-4-0	0.35733	61.8	3.7
50	Nash Central	0-5-0	0.33183	62.6	17.5
51	Lincoln Charter	0-4-0	0.29479	42.2	-1.5
52	Brevard	0-4-0	0.29313	61.4	10.3
53	Carrboro	1-3-0	0.28354	33.7	-26.1
54	Ashe County	0-4-0	0.27104	44.7	6.0
55	North Lenoir	0-5-0	0.24883	47.3	-0.6
56	First Flight	0-4-0	0.24854	44.2	-13.3
57	Carver	1-4-0	0.24533	44.4	-11.1

3A — 55 teams

	School	Record	RPI	Power	SOS
1	North Stanly	4-0-0	0.79229	84.8	1.7
2	Midway	5-0-0	0.73333	80.9	-0.4
3	Hendersonville	5-0-0	0.72367	87.0	-0.4
4	Whiteville	5-0-0	0.72267	80.0	-9.3
5	Martin County	4-0-0	0.71854	83.7	-5.3
6	Shelby	4-1-0	0.67167	102.0	3.2
7	Hertford County	3-1-0	0.67083	83.0	-7.5
8	James Kenan	2-1-0	0.66444	89.4	3.4
9	Chase	4-0-0	0.65750	71.6	-19.3
10	Lincolnton	4-1-0	0.63983	90.6	1.6
11	Northeastern	4-1-0	0.63067	88.2	-0.3
12	Mount Airy	3-2-0	0.60533	85.1	18.2
13	Walkertown	4-1-0	0.60050	79.9	3.1
14	Thomasville	3-1-0	0.59438	84.8	-0.7
15	Wake Preparatory Academy	4-1-0	0.59017	71.1	-23.0
16	Wallace-Rose Hill	2-2-0	0.57271	82.5	8.8
17	South Columbus	3-2-0	0.56817	68.9	4.1
18	Northwood	2-3-0	0.55850	63.7	2.0
19	Eastern Randolph	2-3-0	0.54650	85.0	15.5
20	Providence Grove	3-2-0	0.53933	72.0	-5.7
21	West Davidson	3-2-0	0.53350	69.0	-1.2
22	Louisburg Magnet	2-1-0	0.53222	60.1	-18.5
23	Kinston	3-2-0	0.51283	82.5	-3.1
24	Pasquotank County	2-2-0	0.50479	64.8	-6.7
25	Pine Lake Preparatory	3-1-0	0.50458	56.9	-22.8
26	Princeton	2-3-0	0.49733	77.2	0.9
27	South Lenoir	3-2-0	0.47283	45.2	-17.8
28	Owen	3-2-0	0.47033	55.9	-16.1
29	Mountain Heritage	2-2-0	0.46250	75.2	4.9
30	Union Academy	2-2-0	0.45729	64.2	-9.8
31	East Davidson	2-3-0	0.44950	47.7	-7.2
32	Greene Central	3-2-0	0.44883	77.0	-11.9
33	North Wilkes	2-2-0	0.44292	61.1	-13.5
34	West Wilkes	2-2-0	0.44229	63.2	-8.6
35	Farmville Central	2-3-0	0.42633	65.7	11.7
36	Pender	2-2-0	0.40917	75.0	-13.4
37	East Rutherford	0-4-0	0.40875	63.9	20.4
38	West Lincoln	2-2-0	0.40167	66.3	-7.1
39	North Moore	0-5-0	0.39983	35.4	4.7
40	East Surry	1-4-0	0.39250	69.7	5.1
41	Wheatmore	1-4-0	0.38583	52.7	-14.7
42	Polk County	1-4-0	0.34067	53.4	-9.2
43	Ayden-Grifton	1-4-0	0.33517	60.5	6.4
44	Madison	1-4-0	0.33470	41.9	-15.6
45	Trinity	1-4-0	0.32917	32.3	-14.3
46	Draughn	0-5-0	0.32667	33.9	5.5
47	Goldsboro	0-5-0	0.30883	21.4	2.9
48	Bartlett Yancey	1-3-0	0.30875	36.7	-15.4
49	McMichael	1-3-0	0.30444	28.7	-14.4
50	Bessemer City	0-5-0	0.29750	38.2	7.1
51	Patton	0-5-0	0.25187	34.4	-9.8
52	Heide Trask	1-4-0	0.24100	46.1	-15.9
53	Surry Central	0-5-0	0.19283	30.0	-23.0
54	West Bladen	0-5-0	0.18383	34.5	-13.1
55	Beddingfield	0-3-0	0.17222	31.6	-13.4

2A — 45 teams

	School	Record	RPI	Power	SOS
1	Starmount	4-0-0	0.77604	88.2	-8.4
2	Corvian Community	3-1-0	0.69938	86.2	18.8
3	Alleghany	4-0-0	0.69792	75.3	-13.3
4	Tarboro	4-1-0	0.68700	95.8	19.5
5	Christ the King	4-0-0	0.67208	77.0	-14.1
6	Cherokee	3-2-0	0.65583	60.2	3.3
7	Manteo	4-1-0	0.64050	60.8	-16.8
8	Warren County	4-0-0	0.62792	91.7	-8.4
9	Holmes	3-1-0	0.62792	86.9	-0.7
10	North Rowan	3-1-0	0.62083	76.1	-0.7
11	Southside	3-2-0	0.58167	46.6	-14.0
12	North Duplin Jr Sr	3-1-0	0.57833	56.5	-25.6
13	Lakewood	2-3-0	0.52467	59.3	-7.6
14	Bertie	1-3-0	0.51729	40.1	3.0
15	Cherryville	3-2-0	0.51467	61.6	-10.1
16	Mountain Island Charter	3-1-0	0.51458	66.6	-20.4
17	East Wilkes	2-2-0	0.51333	85.2	0.6
18	Murphy	2-2-0	0.50750	76.8	11.9
19	Mitchell	3-2-0	0.50633	73.2	-2.1
20	East Bladen	3-2-0	0.49867	66.3	-13.5
21	Gates County	2-2-0	0.49833	63.8	-10.8
22	Community School of Davidson	2-2-0	0.48646	79.0	-0.9
23	Rosewood	3-2-0	0.47300	62.7	-16.8
24	Elkin	2-2-0	0.46438	36.9	-20.4
25	Union	3-1-0	0.45854	49.4	-30.3
26	Albemarle	2-2-0	0.45667	52.0	-14.1
27	Avery County	3-2-0	0.44167	48.6	-22.6
28	Bishop McGuinness	2-3-0	0.43950	49.8	-19.1
29	Langtree Charter Academy	2-2-0	0.42271	46.5	-22.9
30	Hobbton	1-4-0	0.41150	59.9	-4.4
31	Perquimans County	2-3-0	0.41033	49.9	-15.1
32	Northwest Halifax Collegiate and Technic	2-2-0	0.40208	43.8	-31.6
33	South Stokes	3-2-0	0.40150	41.5	-26.7
34	West Columbus	1-3-0	0.38917	47.6	-7.6
35	Swain County	1-4-0	0.38133	60.0	0.0
36	East Carteret	1-4-0	0.37507	50.1	-3.7
37	Pamlico County	1-3-0	0.37250	34.8	-14.9
38	Camden County	1-3-0	0.36042	51.7	-6.2
39	South Stanly	1-3-0	0.32646	54.8	-9.4
40	Lejeune	1-3-0	0.32458	34.6	-24.9
41	Hayesville	1-3-0	0.31067	42.4	-3.9
42	American Leadership Academy - Johnston	1-3-0	0.30750	43.1	-20.3
43	Highland Tech	0-5-0	0.26933	26.0	-1.1
44	Bradford Preparatory	1-3-0	0.25229	45.7	-15.6
45	Triangle Math and Science Academy	0-4-0	0.24313	11.7	-25.4

1A — 25 teams

	School	Record	RPI	Power	SOS
1	Northside	5-0-0	0.70633	75.9	-12.1
2	Chatham Central	5-0-0	0.65767	47.1	-32.1
3	Hobgood Charter	2-2-0	0.50458	36.9	-23.9
4	North Edgecombe	3-2-0	0.49483	45.4	-23.3
5	Columbia	2-2-0	0.48694	30.4	-34.1
6	Rocky Mount Preparatory	3-1-0	0.48125	53.8	-35.6
7	East Columbus Junior-Senior	2-3-0	0.46583	38.7	-16.1
8	Wilson Preparatory Academy	1-4-0	0.42133	74.0	17.9
9	South Davidson Middle and	3-2-0	0.41700	50.8	-27.7
10	Rosman	2-3-0	0.41077	43.4	-16.7
11	Robbinsville	1-4-0	0.40417	75.1	6.0
12	Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad	1-4-0	0.38383	47.2	-13.3
13	North East Carolina Prep	3-2-0	0.37883	39.8	-45.0
14	Sallie B Howard	2-2-0	0.36028	40.1	-26.6
15	KIPP Pride	1-4-0	0.35417	34.9	-10.2
16	Washington County	1-4-0	0.33589	44.5	-25.7
17	Southeast Collegiate Prep Academy	1-4-0	0.33317	40.2	-24.9
18	Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy	1-3-0	0.30306	48.5	-17.7
19	Jones	0-4-0	0.27188	8.9	-27.0
20	Bonnie Cone Leadership Academy	0-4-0	0.23708	28.8	-15.6
21	Andrews	0-4-0	0.23083	33.8	-3.7
22	Bear Grass Charter	0-5-0	0.22867	26.7	-24.4
23	North Stokes	0-5-0	0.22733	25.2	-23.8
24	College Prep and Leadership Academy	0-3-0	0.19111	37.5	-15.6
25	Weldon STEM	0-3-0	0.15917	16.6	-23.3

Season Projection

120 simulated seasons. Results through week 5 are taken as they stand; every week after that is played out in full, with ratings refit after each one. Outcomes are sampled rather than awarded to the favorite, so upsets happen at the rate the model believes they happen. The mean rating comes back close to where the season has already put each team — a simulation learns nothing new about games nobody has played — so the 10th–90th band, not the mean, is the forecast, and it widens the further out the projection runs.

Projected final power rankings — top 25

	School	Class	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Hough	8A	9.9-0.1	62.8	58.2 – 67.0	21.8	91%
2	Millbrook	8A	9.8-0.2	57.0	51.1 – 62.6	22.0	83%
3	Weddington	7A	9.7-0.3	54.4	49.9 – 58.9	22.1	73%
4	Grimsley	7A	9.6-0.4	53.3	46.9 – 59.0	17.6	65%
5	Providence Day	NCISAA I	8.8-1.2	53.2	47.9 – 59.1	26.6	—
6	Lake Norman	7A	9.7-0.3	52.3	46.9 – 57.2	14.6	72%
7	Chambers	8A	9.4-0.6	51.3	44.3 – 58.1	22.7	52%
8	Cleveland	7A	8.7-1.3	49.9	43.5 – 56.3	26.5	27%
9	Southeast Raleigh	7A	7.9-2.1	49.2	44.3 – 54.4	25.2	—
10	Reagan	7A	8.2-1.8	48.0	41.5 – 54.4	22.0	—
11	Clayton	7A	8.4-1.6	47.2	41.4 – 53.0	20.6	16%
12	West Forsyth	8A	8.2-1.8	47.1	41.2 – 52.4	23.7	—
13	Hoggard	8A	8.8-1.2	46.4	39.7 – 52.0	18.9	—
14	Cardinal Gibbons	7A	7.5-2.5	46.3	39.7 – 52.6	28.5	—
15	Marvin Ridge	7A	8.9-1.1	43.4	36.6 – 50.6	16.0	19%
16	Scotland	6A	8.7-1.3	42.9	36.2 – 48.7	15.1	—
17	Garner	7A	6.6-3.4	42.8	36.8 – 48.6	30.0	—
18	Northside	5A	9.7-0.3	42.8	35.1 – 52.2	12.3	80%
19	Hickory	5A	8.7-1.4	42.4	36.6 – 49.2	11.0	—
20	Fike	5A	9.5-0.5	42.3	34.5 – 49.0	4.8	53%
21	Oak Grove	5A	8.7-1.3	41.4	35.0 – 47.4	7.0	—
22	Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi	7A	7.0-2.0	40.8	34.4 – 46.7	9.4	—
23	Wake Forest	7A	7.7-2.3	40.6	33.2 – 46.8	16.7	—
24	Roberson	6A	8.8-1.2	40.5	33.3 – 47.2	9.2	—
25	Junius H Rose	6A	8.9-1.1	40.3	34.3 – 47.8	21.9	29%

By classification

8A — projected top 10

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Hough	9.9-0.1	62.8	58.2 – 67.0	21.8	91%
2	Millbrook	9.8-0.2	57.0	51.1 – 62.6	22.0	83%
3	Chambers	9.4-0.6	51.3	44.3 – 58.1	22.7	52%
4	West Forsyth	8.2-1.8	47.1	41.2 – 52.4	23.7	—
5	Hoggard	8.8-1.2	46.4	39.7 – 52.0	18.9	—
6	Mallard Creek	6.8-3.2	39.9	33.7 – 46.1	30.0	—
7	Myers Park	6.9-3.1	38.6	31.5 – 46.5	23.4	—
8	Palisades	8.6-1.4	36.6	31.0 – 42.7	14.1	—
9	Pinecrest	6.0-4.0	33.2	27.3 – 39.0	24.7	—
10	Leesville Road	5.9-4.1	33.2	24.1 – 41.4	23.0	—

NCISAA I — projected top 9

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Providence Day	8.8-1.2	53.2	47.9 – 59.1	26.6	—
2	Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy]	8.0-2.0	31.0	23.5 – 39.9	18.6	2%
3	Christ School	7.0-2.0	23.8	14.9 – 34.1	10.9	10%
4	Charlotte Country Day School	4.0-6.0	14.0	7.6 – 21.8	21.0	—
5	Charlotte Latin	3.5-6.5	12.6	6.0 – 18.1	23.4	—
6	Charlotte Christian	3.1-5.9	9.2	0.2 – 15.7	17.2	—
7	North Raleigh Christian Academy	6.9-3.1	8.4	1.9 – 15.7	1.3	—
8	Metrolina Christian Academy	4.0-6.0	8.2	1.7 – 16.3	10.4	—
9	Ravenscroft	2.8-7.2	-9.6	-17.0 – -2.6	1.5	—

7A — projected top 10

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Weddington	9.7-0.3	54.4	49.9 – 58.9	22.1	73%
2	Grimsley	9.6-0.4	53.3	46.9 – 59.0	17.6	65%
3	Lake Norman	9.7-0.3	52.3	46.9 – 57.2	14.6	72%
4	Cleveland	8.7-1.3	49.9	43.5 – 56.3	26.5	27%
5	Southeast Raleigh	7.9-2.1	49.2	44.3 – 54.4	25.2	—
6	Reagan	8.2-1.8	48.0	41.5 – 54.4	22.0	—
7	Clayton	8.4-1.6	47.2	41.4 – 53.0	20.6	16%
8	Cardinal Gibbons	7.5-2.5	46.3	39.7 – 52.6	28.5	—
9	Marvin Ridge	8.9-1.1	43.4	36.6 – 50.6	16.0	19%
10	Garner	6.6-3.4	42.8	36.8 – 48.6	30.0	—

6A — projected top 10

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Scotland	8.7-1.3	42.9	36.2 – 48.7	15.1	—
2	Roberson	8.8-1.2	40.5	33.3 – 47.2	9.2	—
3	Junius H Rose	8.9-1.1	40.3	34.3 – 47.8	21.9	29%
4	Jacksonville	6.8-2.2	40.3	35.4 – 46.2	20.1	—
5	Middle Creek	7.1-2.9	38.8	32.8 – 46.3	18.1	—
6	Kings Mountain	7.5-2.5	36.6	30.6 – 42.1	12.9	—
7	Northern Nash	6.6-3.4	32.8	26.6 – 38.5	18.8	—
8	Asheboro	9.3-0.7	32.6	26.9 – 39.1	6.7	38%
9	Ashbrook	5.6-4.4	31.7	26.0 – 37.0	14.8	—
10	Union Pines	8.4-1.6	30.5	24.1 – 36.5	5.4	—

5A — projected top 10

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Northside	9.7-0.3	42.8	35.1 – 52.2	12.3	80%
2	Hickory	8.7-1.4	42.4	36.6 – 49.2	11.0	—
3	Fike	9.5-0.5	42.3	34.5 – 49.0	4.8	53%
4	Oak Grove	8.7-1.3	41.4	35.0 – 47.4	7.0	—
5	South Point	9.1-0.9	39.2	35.0 – 43.4	16.0	32%
6	Jay M Robinson	9.5-0.5	36.3	29.6 – 42.0	2.3	64%
7	Crest	7.6-2.4	35.5	28.5 – 43.3	17.9	—
8	Northeast Guilford	8.5-1.5	35.0	27.9 – 42.6	8.5	—
9	Southeast Alamance	10.1-0.9	30.8	23.8 – 36.8	4.5	38%
10	East Lincoln	8.8-1.2	30.8	24.2 – 37.1	9.0	12%

NCISAA II — projected top 9

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	High Point Christian Academy	8.2-1.8	26.9	17.6 – 34.5	2.9	—
2	Asheville School (Independent)	5.9-4.1	18.5	12.5 – 23.2	11.1	—
3	Trinity Christian	6.5-4.5	12.7	6.9 – 18.2	6.1	—
4	Harrells Christian Academy	4.9-4.1	9.1	1.8 – 15.0	3.0	—
5	SouthLake Christian Academy	5.1-4.9	-4.4	-11.6 – 3.0	-6.7	—
6	Hickory Grove Christian	7.0-3.0	-4.6	-12.8 – 3.3	-14.5	1%
7	Wayne Christian	5.7-3.3	-8.0	-16.6 – -1.0	-18.0	—
8	Covenant Day	2.2-7.8	-9.4	-16.0 – -1.5	4.9	—
9	GRACE Christian	5.0-6.0	-23.0	-29.2 – -16.1	-17.5	—

4A — projected top 10

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Tuscola	9.3-0.7	29.1	23.9 – 35.1	-0.9	51%
2	Hibriten	9.6-0.4	28.0	20.8 – 36.0	-8.4	71%
3	West Craven	7.3-2.7	26.2	20.9 – 31.5	3.4	—
4	West Iredell	8.0-2.0	23.6	17.8 – 29.8	3.3	4%
5	Burns	6.8-3.2	20.6	14.5 – 26.8	2.1	—
6	Eastern Wayne	7.9-1.1	20.4	13.0 – 27.4	-10.2	26%
7	Reidsville	6.7-3.3	19.3	11.2 – 26.7	-4.6	—
8	T Wingate Andrews	8.2-1.8	19.3	12.7 – 26.6	1.4	—
9	Stuart W Cramer	7.8-2.2	15.9	9.5 – 22.0	-10.8	3%
10	East Duplin	8.5-1.5	15.0	9.3 – 20.8	1.7	—

NCISAA 8 — projected top 10

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Faith Christian	7.3-0.7	21.5	12.6 – 30.3	-9.7	47%
2	John Paul II Catholic	8.8-1.2	19.4	13.7 – 25.8	-8.9	31%
3	Liberty Christian Academy	5.9-1.1	6.7	-1.9 – 14.9	-13.9	17%
4	Pungo Christian Academy	8.6-0.4	3.6	-3.2 – 10.3	-31.7	68%
5	Cary Christian	5.9-3.1	-0.6	-8.8 – 6.8	-9.6	—
6	Sandhills Classical Christian	4.8-2.2	-6.8	-12.8 – -0.1	-16.3	—
7	Lawrence Academy	6.9-3.1	-8.2	-13.8 – -2.6	-17.2	—
8	St. David's	4.9-4.1	-11.3	-18.6 – -5.1	-8.4	—
9	Wake Christian Academy	3.7-7.3	-15.7	-21.3 – -8.7	-8.5	—
10	Arendell Parrott Academy	2.6-6.4	-20.5	-28.9 – -11.9	-4.1	—

3A — projected top 10

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Shelby	8.3-1.7	32.5	27.3 – 37.6	0.9	—
2	Thomasville	8.7-1.3	22.2	14.3 – 30.6	-12.1	—
3	James Kenan	6.9-2.1	21.3	14.3 – 27.0	-1.9	—
4	Northeastern	8.1-1.9	20.8	15.8 – 26.1	0.6	—
5	Lincolnton	7.8-2.2	20.4	15.1 – 26.4	-5.4	—
6	Eastern Randolph	6.7-3.3	19.2	14.0 – 24.9	2.0	—
7	Hendersonville	9.6-0.4	17.5	12.4 – 22.8	-10.0	67%
8	North Stanly	9.5-0.5	17.4	8.7 – 24.7	-11.0	57%
9	Hertford County	6.7-3.4	17.1	9.8 – 25.5	1.0	—
10	Martin County	8.5-2.5	15.4	8.7 – 20.1	-3.0	—

2A — projected top 10

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Warren County	10.0-0.0	30.8	24.7 – 37.2	-21.6	98%
2	Tarboro	8.7-1.3	29.2	23.1 – 35.7	1.4	—
3	Holmes	8.9-1.1	23.0	15.1 – 30.6	-11.7	—
4	Starmount	9.0-1.0	18.8	12.3 – 25.2	-6.2	32%
5	Corvian Community	8.4-1.6	18.4	12.8 – 23.9	-0.7	—
6	East Wilkes	6.5-3.5	15.0	9.1 – 21.4	-4.7	—
7	Christ the King	8.5-1.5	10.9	3.6 – 20.2	-10.2	18%
8	Community School of Davidson	6.4-3.6	8.7	1.9 – 14.8	-5.6	—
9	North Rowan	7.9-2.1	7.9	0.5 – 14.9	-10.9	—
10	Alleghany	7.6-2.4	6.1	-0.3 – 11.4	-6.8	3%

8-MAN — projected top 2

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Community Christian	3.4-5.7	-22.0	-26.5 – -16.1	-14.8	—
2	Father Capodanno	2.1-4.9	-24.3	-29.1 – -18.9	-12.5	—

1A — projected top 10

	School	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Northside	9.9-0.1	8.9	3.2 – 13.7	-24.2	94%
2	Wilson Preparatory Academy	5.8-5.2	6.0	1.4 – 10.8	-0.1	—
3	Robbinsville	5.3-4.7	4.4	-1.6 – 9.5	-6.8	—
4	Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad	4.8-5.2	-19.3	-24.8 – -13.2	-23.9	—
5	Chatham Central	8.8-1.2	-19.6	-26.6 – -12.7	-32.9	32%
6	South Davidson Middle and	6.4-3.6	-21.9	-27.0 – -15.9	-31.7	—
7	Rosman	4.0-6.0	-23.5	-30.7 – -16.9	-17.8	—
8	Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy	2.5-7.5	-24.7	-31.7 – -18.0	-13.5	—
9	North Edgecombe	4.9-5.1	-25.0	-31.4 – -18.8	-21.7	—
10	Washington County	3.1-6.8	-25.1	-30.4 – -19.8	-21.5	—

Most likely to finish unbeaten

	School	Class	Proj. record	Rating	10th–90th	SOS	Unbeaten
1	Hough	8A	9.9-0.1	62.8	58.2 – 67.0	21.8	91%
2	Millbrook	8A	9.8-0.2	57.0	51.1 – 62.6	22.0	83%
3	Weddington	7A	9.7-0.3	54.4	49.9 – 58.9	22.1	73%
4	Grimsley	7A	9.6-0.4	53.3	46.9 – 59.0	17.6	65%
5	Lake Norman	7A	9.7-0.3	52.3	46.9 – 57.2	14.6	72%
6	Chambers	8A	9.4-0.6	51.3	44.3 – 58.1	22.7	52%
7	Cleveland	7A	8.7-1.3	49.9	43.5 – 56.3	26.5	27%
8	Clayton	7A	8.4-1.6	47.2	41.4 – 53.0	20.6	16%
9	Marvin Ridge	7A	8.9-1.1	43.4	36.6 – 50.6	16.0	19%
10	Northside	5A	9.7-0.3	42.8	35.1 – 52.2	12.3	80%
11	Fike	5A	9.5-0.5	42.3	34.5 – 49.0	4.8	53%
12	Junius H Rose	6A	8.9-1.1	40.3	34.3 – 47.8	21.9	29%

Strength of classification

Mean is the average member rating. Fitted level is what games between classifications say the tier is worth, which is the real comparison.

Group	Teams	Mean	Fitted level
8A	32	+22.9	+22.6
NCISAA I	10	+17.4	+16.5
7A	60	+17.0	+16.9
6A	58	+9.7	+9.6
5A	57	+7.7	+6.9
NCISAA II	9	+2.0	+1.9
4A	57	-3.3	-3.3
NCISAA 8	12	-7.5	-12.1
3A	56	-8.5	-8.7
2A	46	-13.1	-12.9
8-MAN	2	-23.1	-18.5
1A	25	-30.1	-29.0

Strength of conference

Four or more teams.

Group	Teams	Mean
Greater Neuse River	7	+29.2
Meck Power Six	6	+26.8
Big Carolina	6	+24.9
CAP	8	+22.7
NCISAA Big South	4	+22.3
Central Piedmont	6	+21.6
NCISAA Western	4	+21.5
Southern Carolina	7	+20.7
Mid South	6	+19.5
Triangle Six	6	+19.4
Carolina Coast	7	+17.2
Big East	7	+16.6
Quad City Seven	7	+15.8
Greater Charlotte	6	+15.1
North Piedmont	6	+15.0