2026 North Carolina High School Football Report

Week 4 — September 8, 2026

Work in progress. This report is in active development. Ratings and projections will change as the system is refined, and some sections are not yet complete.
Ratings basis: 759 2026 results, seeded with 2025 Home field: +1.7 pts Generated September 12, 2026

Week 4 Projections

193 games. Sorted with the closest matchups first.

Tuesday, September 8 — 3 games

MatchupProjected resultConfidence
Beddingfield at North EdgecombeBeddingfield 23–2254%
Southeast Collegiate Prep Academy at Rocky Mount PreparatoryRocky Mount Preparatory 34–1787%
Bertie at Hertford CountyHertford County 48–1197%

Thursday, September 10 — 15 games

MatchupProjected resultConfidence
Mallard Creek at Myers ParkMyers Park 22–2252%
Southeast Raleigh at Cardinal GibbonsCardinal Gibbons 23–2254%
Hickory Ridge at ParkwoodHickory Ridge 24–2158%
Chambers at PalisadesChambers 31–1980%
North Mecklenburg at East MecklenburgNorth Mecklenburg 31–1881%
Metrolina Christian Academy at RavenscroftMetrolina Christian Academy 31–1881%
Cuthbertson at Forest HillsForest Hills 33–1884%
Charlotte Latin at ProvidenceProvidence 33–1786%
Ashbrook at Marvin RidgeMarvin Ridge 34–1788%
Garinger at Ballantyne RidgeBallantyne Ridge 39–1594%
Ardrey Kell at South MecklenburgArdrey Kell 39–1594%
Crest at WeddingtonWeddington 42–1496%
Providence Day at ButlerProvidence Day 43–1496%
Hopewell at Rocky RiverHopewell 44–1397%
West Charlotte at West MecklenburgWest Charlotte 46–1397%

Friday, September 11 — 173 games

MatchupProjected resultConfidence
Piedmont at Montgomery CentralMontgomery Central 22–2250%
Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy] at Charlotte ChristianCharlotte Christian 22–2250%
North Moore at Chatham CentralNorth Moore 22–2250%
Hobbton at RosewoodHobbton 22–2251%
North Brunswick at Saint PaulsNorth Brunswick 22–2251%
Thomasville at Western GuilfordWestern Guilford 22–2251%
Midway at South JohnstonMidway 23–2252%
Kinston at White OakWhite Oak 23–2252%
East Bladen at ClintonClinton 23–2252%
Pungo Christian Academy at Wake Christian AcademyPungo Christian Academy 23–2252%
Asheville School (Independent) at AshevilleAsheville School (Independent) 23–2253%
Lake Norman Charter at ForestviewLake Norman Charter 23–2253%
Southeast Collegiate Prep Academy at Sallie B HowardSallie B Howard 23–2253%
Northeast Guilford at DudleyDudley 23–2253%
Hunt at South GarnerSouth Garner 23–2255%
Richlands at South BrunswickRichlands 24–2156%
East Wake at BunnEast Wake 24–2156%
Hendersonville at ErwinHendersonville 24–2157%
Roanoke Rapids at Pasquotank CountyRoanoke Rapids 24–2157%
Green Level at CaryGreen Level 24–2158%
Pisgah at Smoky MountainconfSmoky Mountain 24–2159%
Robbinsville at MitchellMitchell 25–2161%
Huss at Lake Wylie (SC)Huss 25–2162%
Heide Trask at West BladenHeide Trask 25–2162%
Oak Grove at Davie CountyOak Grove 25–2162%
Pender at Wallace-Rose HillPender 26–2164%
Charlotte Catholic at Kings MountainKings Mountain 26–2164%
Rosman at Copper Basin (TN)Copper Basin (TN) 26–2064%
Calvary Day (GA) at Ambassador Christian SchoolCalvary Day (GA) 26–2065%
J. F. Webb at MoreheadJ. F. Webb 26–2065%
McMichael at Cedar RidgeMcMichael 26–2065%
Ashe County at Johnson County (TN)Ashe County 26–2066%
Bear Grass Charter at North East Carolina PrepNorth East Carolina Prep 26–2067%
South Stokes at Surry CentralSouth Stokes 27–2067%
Reynolds at MurphyReynolds 27–2068%
Fairmont at LakewoodFairmont 27–2068%
West Davidson at LedfordWest Davidson 27–2069%
Walkertown at East SurryWalkertown 27–2069%
Chesterfield (SC) at Ansonno rating for one side—
North Surry at North WilkesNorth Surry 27–2070%
Sun Valley at MonroeMonroe 28–2071%
Hargrave Military Academy (VA) at North Raleigh Christian Academyno rating for one side—
Garner at D H ConleyGarner 28–2071%
Southern Alamance at Southeast AlamanceconfSouthern Alamance 28–2072%
James Kenan at East DuplinJames Kenan 28–2072%
Sandhills Classical Christian at Community ChristianconfSandhills Classical Christian 28–2072%
Bishop McGuinness at TrinityBishop McGuinness 28–2073%
Statesville at Alexander CentralAlexander Central 28–1973%
Greene Central at North PittGreene Central 29–1974%
Wheatmore at Jordan-MatthewsWheatmore 29–1974%
North Edgecombe at Northwest Halifax Collegiate and TechnicNorthwest Halifax Collegiate and Technic 29–1974%
Burns at LincolntonconfLincolnton 29–1974%
Scotland at OverhillsScotland 29–1975%
Bradford Preparatory at Union AcademyUnion Academy 29–1975%
Elkin at ForbushForbush 29–1975%
Union at LejeuneUnion 29–1976%
Southeast Guilford at R J ReynoldsR J Reynolds 29–1977%
South Iredell at Porter RidgePorter Ridge 30–1977%
Havelock at Junius H RoseJunius H Rose 30–1978%
Laney at South CentralSouth Central 30–1978%
Central (SC) at West StanlyCentral (SC) 31–1980%
Southern Wayne at Smithfield-SelmaSmithfield-Selma 31–1980%
E E Smith at Pine ForestPine Forest 31–1882%
Covenant Day at Christ the KingChrist the King 32–1882%
Chesnee (SC) at R-S CentralR-S Central 32–1882%
Warren County at South GranvilleWarren County 32–1882%
New Bern at ClevelandCleveland 32–1883%
North Johnston at PrincetonPrinceton 32–1884%
Southwest at DixonDixon 33–1884%
East Davidson at South Davidson Middle andSouth Davidson Middle and 33–1884%
Seaforth at NorthwoodSeaforth 33–1885%
Knightdale at SandersonSanderson 33–1885%
Avery County at McDowellMcDowell 33–1885%
Langtree Charter Academy at Pine Lake PreparatoryconfPine Lake Preparatory 33–1885%
Randleman at Southwestern RandolphSouthwestern Randolph 33–1885%
Gates County at Northampton CountyGates County 33–1886%
Brevard at North BuncombeBrevard 33–1786%
Westover at Cape FearCape Fear 33–1786%
Northwest Guilford at RichmondRichmond 33–1786%
T Wingate Andrews at Ben L. SmithT Wingate Andrews 34–1786%
Arendell Parrott Academy at Faith ChristianconfFaith Christian 34–1787%
SouthWest Edgecombe at TarboroTarboro 34–1787%
Pinecrest at South ViewPinecrest 34–1787%
Cummings at Bartlett YanceyCummings 34–1787%
Northside at New HanoverNorthside 34–1787%
Patton at Polk CountyPolk County 34–1788%
South Caldwell at North GastonSouth Caldwell 34–1788%
Rocky Mount Academy at MattamuskeetRocky Mount Academy 34–1788%
Fuquay-Varina at Willow SpringFuquay-Varina 35–1789%
North Lenoir at Ayden-GriftonAyden-Grifton 35–1789%
Carrboro at East Chapel HillEast Chapel Hill 35–1789%
Currituck County at HolmesHolmes 35–1789%
Wilson Preparatory Academy at NortheasternNortheastern 36–1690%
West Stokes at Community School of DavidsonCommunity School of Davidson 36–1690%
Bunker Hill at MaidenconfMaiden 36–1691%
Hillside at OrangeHillside 36–1691%
North Davidson at Central DavidsonNorth Davidson 37–1692%
Mount Airy at Jefferson Forest (VA)Jefferson Forest (VA) 37–1692%
Providence Grove at Eastern RandolphEastern Randolph 37–1692%
Terry Sanford at Jack BrittJack Britt 37–1692%
Rockingham County at AsheboroAsheboro 37–1692%
South Point at Mount PleasantSouth Point 37–1692%
Swansboro at East CarteretSwansboro 38–1692%
Heritage at WilliamsWilliams 38–1693%
Enka at CherokeeEnka 38–1693%
Hobgood Charter at ManteoManteo 38–1693%
West Iredell at North LincolnconfWest Iredell 38–1593%
College Prep and Leadership Academy at CarverCarver 38–1593%
Parkland at North Forsyth MagnetParkland 39–1593%
Seventy-First at Hoke CountySeventy-First 39–1594%
Tuscola at North HendersonconfTuscola 39–1594%
West Brunswick at South ColumbusWest Brunswick 39–1594%
Nash Central at Southern NashSouthern Nash 39–1594%
Person at Eastern AlamanceconfEastern Alamance 39–1594%
Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad at East BurkeEast Burke 40–1594%
Reagan at Northern GuilfordReagan 40–1594%
Perquimans County at NorthsideNorthside 40–1595%
Louisburg Magnet at FranklintonFranklinton 41–1495%
Columbia at Lawrence AcademyLawrence Academy 41–1495%
GRACE Christian at Wayne ChristianWayne Christian 41–1495%
Holly Springs at Apex FriendshipApex Friendship 41–1495%
Farmville Central at West CravenWest Craven 41–1495%
Eastern Guilford at ReidsvilleReidsville 41–1495%
Washington County at Weldon STEMWashington County 41–1496%
Wilson Preparatory Academy at Irmo (SC)Irmo (SC) 41–1496%
Red Springs at Purnell SwettPurnell Swett 42–1496%
Roberson at FreedomRoberson 42–1496%
West Forsyth at Mount TaborWest Forsyth 42–1496%
American Leadership Academy - Johnston at Wake Preparatory AcademyconfWake Preparatory Academy 42–1496%
Wayne Preparatory Academy at Halifax AcademyHalifax Academy 42–1496%
Trinity Christian at Indian Land (SC)Indian Land (SC) 42–1496%
East Lincoln at BandysconfEast Lincoln 42–1496%
Swain County at Mountain HeritageMountain Heritage 43–1496%
Wakefield at Wake ForestWake Forest 43–1496%
Catholic (VA) at First Flightno rating for one side—
Glenn at Southwest GuilfordGlenn 43–1497%
St. David's at John Paul II CatholicconfJohn Paul II Catholic 43–1397%
Spring Creek at South LenoirSouth Lenoir 43–1397%
Panther Creek at HoggardHoggard 44–1397%
Fike at AshleyFike 44–1397%
Independence at Lake NormanLake Norman 44–1397%
Jacksonville at TopsailJacksonville 44–1397%
Maryland School for the Deaf (MD) at Father CapodannoMaryland School for the Deaf (MD) 47–1297%
Charles B Aycock at GoldsboroCharles B Aycock 51–1097%
Jones at North Duplin Jr SrNorth Duplin Jr Sr 53–1097%
Chapel Hill at ApexApex 45–1397%
Eastern Wayne at South LenoirEastern Wayne 49–1197%
Graham at Western AlamanceconfWestern Alamance 54–997%
Hough at MooresvilleHough 44–1397%
Rocky Mount Preparatory at Triangle Math and Science AcademyRocky Mount Preparatory 51–1197%
Beacon Hill HomeSchool (VA) at North Wake Saintsno rating for one side—
KIPP Pride at High Point Christian AcademyHigh Point Christian Academy 56–897%
East Columbus Junior-Senior at WhitevilleWhiteville 51–1097%
Draughn at Mountain Island CharterMountain Island Charter 44–1397%
Washington at CroatanCroatan 45–1397%
South Wake Christian Athletics at Harrells Christian AcademyHarrells Christian Academy 49–1197%
Jordan at RiversideJordan 44–1397%
Green Hope at NorthernGreen Hope 47–1297%
Vance County at Rocky MountRocky Mount 45–1397%
Douglas Byrd at Gray's CreekGray's Creek 48–1297%
Martin County at SouthsideMartin County 48–1297%
North Stokes at Patrick County (VA)Patrick County (VA) 46–1297%
Ragsdale at East ForsythEast Forsyth 44–1397%
Chase at MadisonChase 45–1397%
Owen at West HendersonWest Henderson 44–1397%
West Lincoln at ShelbyconfShelby 46–1397%
North Iredell at Saint StephensSaint Stephens 46–1297%
SouthLake Christian Academy at Asheville Christian AcademySouthLake Christian Academy 44–1397%
Franklin at East HendersonconfFranklin 51–1097%
West Johnston at ClaytonClayton 51–1097%
Highland Tech at CherryvilleconfCherryville 48–1297%
Newton-Conover at HickoryconfHickory 45–1397%
Stuart W Cramer at Bessemer CityconfStuart W Cramer 55–997%

Saturday, September 12 — 2 games

MatchupProjected resultConfidence
North Cross (VA) at Christ SchoolChrist School 25–2163%
Mount Zion Christian Academy at Cabarrus StallionsMount Zion Christian Academy 35–1789%

Top 25 Power Rankings

SchoolClassRecordPowerSOSMaxPrepsMassey
1Hough8A3-0-0127.246.7131.9122.5
2Weddington7A3-0-0123.030.8127.4120.3
3Grimsley7A3-0-0120.636.8129.2117.8
4Providence DayNCISAA I2-1-0120.139.8127.8121.4
5Millbrook8A3-0-0118.422.1106.5110.6
6Lake Norman7A3-0-0114.815.2106.1105.7
7Cardinal Gibbons7A2-1-0113.837.4119.6110.4
8Southeast Raleigh7A3-0-0113.813.6100.9105.2
9Clayton7A3-0-0113.517.8107.3108.8
10Cleveland7A3-0-0112.721.7108.4108.2
11Chambers8A3-0-0110.517.4109.8102.8
12West Forsyth8A2-1-0109.929.9110.4106.4
13Hoggard8A2-1-0109.429.3106.3104.4
14Marvin Ridge7A3-0-0108.79.492.597.5
15Reagan7A3-0-0108.322.3107.3102.7
16East Forsyth7A2-1-0107.527.8105.3106.1
17Jay M Robinson5A3-0-0106.211.691.9101.2
18Page7A3-0-0105.717.792.797.2
19Mallard Creek8A2-1-0105.638.5113.5111.2
20Hickory5A2-1-0105.317.992.7102.4
21Myers Park8A1-2-0104.941.7106.0104.6
22South Point5A3-0-0104.326.2100.2103.9
23Fike5A3-0-0104.2-10.086.084.7
24East Lincoln5A3-0-0103.311.989.4101.1
25West Charlotte8A2-1-0103.136.2109.9109.6

By Classification

8A — top 10
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Hough3-0-0127.246.7
2Millbrook3-0-0118.422.1
3Chambers3-0-0110.517.4
4West Forsyth2-1-0109.929.9
5Hoggard2-1-0109.429.3
6Mallard Creek2-1-0105.638.5
7Myers Park1-2-0104.941.7
8West Charlotte2-1-0103.136.2
9Palisades3-0-0100.117.2
10Apex Friendship3-0-098.7-1.1
7A — top 10
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Weddington3-0-0123.030.8
2Grimsley3-0-0120.636.8
3Lake Norman3-0-0114.815.2
4Cardinal Gibbons2-1-0113.837.4
5Southeast Raleigh3-0-0113.813.6
6Clayton3-0-0113.517.8
7Cleveland3-0-0112.721.7
8Marvin Ridge3-0-0108.79.4
9Reagan3-0-0108.322.3
10East Forsyth2-1-0107.527.8
6A — top 10
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Middle Creek2-1-0103.013.7
2Roberson2-1-0102.321.4
3Junius H Rose3-0-099.412.2
4Kings Mountain2-1-099.219.2
5Northern Nash1-2-096.921.6
6Southern Alamance3-0-096.815.9
7Charlotte Catholic2-1-096.516.1
8Ashbrook2-1-096.514.7
9Scotland2-1-095.217.1
10Sun Valley2-1-093.730.4
5A — top 10
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Jay M Robinson3-0-0106.211.6
2Hickory2-1-0105.317.9
3South Point3-0-0104.326.2
4Fike3-0-0104.2-10.0
5East Lincoln3-0-0103.311.9
6Crest3-0-0102.221.6
7Oak Grove2-1-0100.65.5
8Monroe1-2-098.432.6
9Hunt3-0-092.710.7
10Havelock1-2-091.924.9
4A — top 10
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Hibriten3-0-095.93.9
2West Iredell3-0-091.7-9.1
3Burns1-2-089.518.7
4Reidsville1-2-089.321.8
5West Craven1-2-088.919.6
6Maiden2-1-088.813.4
7Mount Pleasant3-0-086.86.4
8Wilkes Central3-0-086.7-30.4
9Tuscola3-0-086.1-5.6
10Pisgah2-1-082.80.4
3A — top 10
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Shelby2-1-098.66.0
2Lincolnton3-0-095.64.1
3Northeastern2-1-087.42.8
4North Stanly3-0-086.94.9
5Hendersonville3-0-086.6-5.5
6Mount Airy2-1-085.516.7
7Eastern Randolph1-2-085.214.9
8Martin County2-1-081.5-2.3
9Whiteville3-0-080.4-3.0
10Wallace-Rose Hill1-2-079.27.3
2A — top 10
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Tarboro2-1-092.921.0
2Corvian Community2-1-086.326.5
3Holmes2-1-086.11.7
4Starmount3-0-085.7-1.8
5East Wilkes1-2-083.45.9
6Community School of Davidson2-1-082.41.6
7Alleghany3-0-076.3-7.3
8North Rowan2-1-075.5-2.4
9Mitchell2-1-072.5-11.6
10East Bladen2-1-071.0-13.5
1A — top 10
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Wilson Preparatory Academy1-2-073.723.8
2Northside3-0-072.7-12.2
3Robbinsville0-3-070.515.4
4South Davidson Middle and3-0-054.1-31.6
5Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy1-2-052.3-15.2
6Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad1-2-049.9-10.3
7Washington County0-3-044.4-17.7
8Chatham Central3-0-040.4-33.4
9Rosman1-2-038.5-15.9
10East Columbus Junior-Senior2-1-037.8-28.9
NCCSA — top 1
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Community Christian1-2-025.6-29.0
NCISAA — top 10
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Providence Day2-1-0120.139.8
2Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy]3-0-093.912.1
3Charlotte Christian1-2-092.816.6
4High Point Christian Academy2-1-091.99.8
5Charlotte Country Day School2-1-088.420.1
6Asheville School (Independent)2-1-088.38.3
7Trinity Christian3-0-082.4-11.4
8Charlotte Latin1-2-081.018.3
9North Raleigh Christian Academy2-1-075.04.0
10Metrolina Christian Academy0-3-070.612.1
independent — top 4
SchoolRecordPowerSOS
1Lawrence Academy2-1-050.7-13.8
2GRACE Christian2-1-041.5-21.9
3South Wake Christian Athletics0-3-040.4-6.4
4North Wake Saints1-2-039.1-21.2

Leaders

Scoring tables are as played. Adjusted tables account for the opponent, so ten points conceded to a strong offence outranks a shutout of a weak one — the two disagree on purpose.

Scoring offenses

SchoolClassPPG
1Fike5A66.0
2Wilkes Central4A63.3
3Harnett Central6A54.0
4Marvin Ridge7A54.0
5Pungo Christian AcademyNCISAA 852.0
6Chambers8A50.7
7West Iredell4A49.3
8Smoky Mountain5A49.0
9Greene Central3A48.7
10Lincolnton3A48.7

Offenses, adjusted

SchoolClassAdj
1Chambers8A+20.7
2Fike5A+20.3
3Harnett Central6A+19.5
4Lincolnton3A+17.0
5Hickory5A+16.3
6Southeast Raleigh7A+15.4
7Whiteville3A+14.7
8Pungo Christian AcademyNCISAA 8+13.9
9Marvin Ridge7A+13.8
10Holmes2A+13.7

Scoring defenses

SchoolClassPA/G
1Jay M Robinson5A0.7
2R J Reynolds7A1.0
3Saint Pauls5A2.0
4Wilkes Central4A2.0
5Lake Norman7A2.3
6Millbrook8A2.3
7Fike5A2.3
8Chatham Central1A2.7
9Grimsley7A3.3
10Freedom6A4.0

Defenses, adjusted

SchoolClassAdj
1Grimsley7A-18.5
2Hough8A-16.6
3Millbrook8A-15.6
4Oak Grove5A-14.5
5South Rowan4A-14.2
6Trinity ChristianNCISAA II-14.2
7Lake Norman7A-13.8
8Reagan7A-13.4
9Jay M Robinson5A-13.3
10Crest5A-13.2

Toughest schedules

SchoolClassSOS
1Hough8A46.7
2Myers Park8A41.7
3Providence DayNCISAA I39.8
4Mount Tabor6A39.6
5Mallard Creek8A38.5
6Cardinal Gibbons7A37.4
7Grimsley7A36.8
8West Charlotte8A36.2
9Mooresville7A35.6
10Wake Forest7A35.5

Classification Strength

Fitted from games between classifications, not assumed.

ClassLevel
8A+20.5
7A+16.4
NCISAA I+13.5
6A+10.6
5A+6.8
NCISAA II+0.2
4A-1.4
3A-7.1
2A-12.2
NCISAA 8-26.1
1A-28.4
8-MAN-33.6

Conference Power Rankings

Every team, strongest first.

8 Man Freelance — 1 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Lawrence AcademyNCISAA 82-1-050.7-13.8
Albemarle AAC — 4 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Holmes2A2-1-086.11.7
2Manteo2A2-1-056.5-16.0
3Perquimans County2A2-1-054.0-17.7
4Camden County2A1-2-052.2-6.4
Atlantic — 1 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Bear Grass Charter1A0-3-032.2-19.7
Big Carolina — 3 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1New Bern7A3-0-0103.117.3
2Junius H Rose6A3-0-099.412.2
3South Central7A3-0-092.73.0
Big East — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Fike5A3-0-0104.2-10.0
2Northern Nash6A1-2-096.921.6
3Hunt5A3-0-092.710.7
4Rocky Mount5A2-1-088.65.0
5Southern Nash5A1-2-080.320.0
6Southern Wayne5A2-1-055.1-16.4
Big Seven — 4 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Seaforth5A2-1-073.21.3
2South Granville5A2-1-071.90.7
3J. F. Webb5A1-2-057.6-1.3
4Carrboro4A0-3-034.0-21.2
Big South — 7 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1South Point5A3-0-0104.326.2
2Crest5A3-0-0102.221.6
3Kings Mountain6A2-1-099.219.2
4Ashbrook6A2-1-096.514.7
5Huss5A2-1-078.84.7
6Forestview5A0-3-061.910.5
7North Gaston5A0-3-047.76.5
CAP — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Millbrook8A3-0-0118.422.1
2Leesville Road8A1-2-096.319.2
3Enloe8A2-1-088.113.5
4Broughton8A2-1-087.811.9
5Corinth Holders8A1-2-083.527.4
6Athens Drive8A1-2-069.85.1
Carolina — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1East Bladen2A2-1-071.0-13.5
2Hobbton2A0-3-060.96.3
3Lakewood2A1-2-056.6-9.4
4West Columbus2A1-2-047.5-8.1
5East Columbus Junior-Senior1A2-1-037.8-28.9
Carolina Coast — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Hoggard8A2-1-0109.429.3
2North Brunswick7A3-0-086.73.8
3West Brunswick6A1-2-082.56.2
4New Hanover7A1-2-081.218.9
5Ashley7A2-1-077.811.3
6Topsail7A1-2-075.216.2
Carolina Pines — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Union Pines6A2-1-093.516.8
2Harnett Central6A3-0-089.40.2
3Triton6A3-0-079.90.7
4Lee County6A0-3-067.622.7
5Western Harnett6A2-1-056.0-27.6
6Southern Lee6A0-3-051.422.8
Catawba Shores — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Corvian Community2A2-1-086.326.5
2Community School of Davidson2A2-1-082.41.6
3Bradford Preparatory2A1-2-050.7-16.2
4Lincoln Charter4A0-3-045.4-6.3
5Langtree Charter Academy2A2-1-044.5-25.9
Central Carolina — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Thomasville3A2-1-071.0-3.1
2Providence Grove3A2-1-069.9-6.1
3Wheatmore3A0-3-048.1-14.2
4East Davidson3A1-2-043.8-9.4
5Trinity3A0-3-035.7-2.2
Central Piedmont — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1West Forsyth8A2-1-0109.929.9
2Reagan7A3-0-0108.322.3
3East Forsyth7A2-1-0107.527.8
4R J Reynolds7A2-1-083.7-9.0
5Northwest Guilford8A0-3-083.521.7
6Parkland7A1-2-071.60.2
Christian Independent — 1 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Community Christian8-MAN1-2-025.6-29.0
Coastal — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Havelock5A1-2-091.924.9
2Croatan5A3-0-091.0-6.1
3West Carteret5A1-2-073.811.1
4Swansboro6A3-0-072.6-10.5
5Dixon5A2-1-072.2-10.3
6Richlands5A1-2-067.04.2
Coastal Plains — 4 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Northside1A3-0-072.7-12.2
2East Carteret2A0-3-054.63.9
3Southside2A2-1-046.1-21.8
4Pamlico County2A1-2-037.5-11.1
East Central — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1East Duplin4A3-0-082.62.8
2Clinton4A2-1-070.50.9
3Southwest4A0-3-062.07.6
4South Lenoir3A3-0-048.9-37.1
5Heide Trask3A0-3-046.7-12.4
Eastern Carolina — 3 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Wilson Preparatory Academy1A1-2-073.723.8
2Washington County1A0-3-044.4-17.7
3North East Carolina Prep1A1-2-035.8-39.8
Eastern Plains — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Tarboro2A2-1-092.921.0
2Greene Central3A2-1-079.1-19.5
3Kinston3A1-2-078.74.1
4Farmville Central3A1-2-069.313.4
5Ayden-Grifton3A0-3-063.212.4
Eastern Sandhills — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Saint Pauls5A3-0-085.4-10.5
2South View6A1-2-080.812.0
3Westover6A1-2-080.37.2
4E E Smith6A0-3-072.18.5
5Douglas Byrd5A0-3-040.91.7
Four Rivers — 4 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Eastern Randolph3A1-2-085.214.9
2Southwestern Randolph4A3-0-075.1-20.2
3Northwood3A1-2-060.63.4
4Jordan-Matthews4A2-1-039.8-36.3
Greater Charlotte — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Hough8A3-0-0127.246.7
2Myers Park8A1-2-0104.941.7
3Hopewell7A2-1-082.617.5
4South Mecklenburg8A1-2-077.312.7
5West Mecklenburg7A0-3-072.35.4
6Garinger8A1-2-051.7-5.6
Greater Metro GMAC — 7 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1A L Brown7A3-0-0100.214.7
2Central Cabarrus6A1-2-081.911.7
3Olympic6A1-2-081.219.4
4West Cabarrus7A0-3-075.030.9
5Phillip O Berry Academy of Technology6A2-1-072.24.5
6Cox Mill7A1-2-072.18.9
7Harding University6A1-2-070.412.1
Greater Neuse River — 7 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Southeast Raleigh7A3-0-0113.813.6
2Clayton7A3-0-0113.517.8
3Cleveland7A3-0-0112.721.7
4Garner7A2-1-0100.032.2
5South Garner7A2-1-092.8-1.0
6Fuquay-Varina7A1-2-083.017.7
7Smithfield-Selma7A0-3-063.38.9
Greater Triad — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1South Davidson Middle and1A3-0-054.1-31.6
2Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad1A1-2-049.9-10.3
3Bishop McGuinness2A0-3-043.4-15.2
4South Stokes2A1-2-041.4-14.0
5Chatham Central1A3-0-040.4-33.4
6North Stokes1A0-3-026.7-21.7
Meck Power Six — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Chambers8A3-0-0110.517.4
2Mallard Creek8A2-1-0105.638.5
3West Charlotte8A2-1-0103.136.2
4Butler7A2-1-095.618.1
5Independence7A1-2-090.714.6
6North Mecklenburg7A1-2-083.6-0.2
Metro — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Grimsley7A3-0-0120.636.8
2Page7A3-0-0105.717.7
3Dudley6A1-2-093.233.6
4Ragsdale6A2-1-082.6-1.0
5Western Guilford6A1-2-070.1-1.7
6Ben L. Smith6A1-2-067.6-3.5
Mid Carolina — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Southern Alamance6A3-0-096.815.9
2Southeast Alamance5A3-0-089.4-0.3
3Eastern Alamance5A2-1-086.37.5
4Western Alamance5A3-0-081.22.0
5Person5A1-2-068.61.2
6Cummings4A0-3-056.02.4
Mid South — 4 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Pinecrest8A1-2-094.830.7
2Jack Britt7A1-2-089.823.8
3Overhills7A2-1-086.8-0.5
4Pine Forest7A2-1-081.013.4
Mid State — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Reidsville4A1-2-089.321.8
2Walkertown3A2-1-075.0-2.9
3Rockingham County5A1-2-073.58.7
4Morehead4A1-2-052.43.1
5Carver4A0-4-051.2-2.8
6Bartlett Yancey3A1-2-041.9-15.8
Mountain — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Roberson6A2-1-0102.321.4
2Asheville6A2-1-086.512.5
3Erwin5A2-1-083.66.6
4Reynolds6A1-2-081.619.6
5Enka5A3-0-078.6-4.0
6North Buncombe5A2-1-060.5-22.7
Mountain Eight — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Tuscola4A3-0-086.1-5.6
2Smoky Mountain5A3-0-084.2-19.9
3Pisgah4A2-1-082.80.4
4North Henderson5A0-3-066.612.5
5East Henderson4A1-2-048.4-14.0
Mountain Valley — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Wilkes Central4A3-0-086.7-30.4
2Starmount2A3-0-085.7-1.8
3East Wilkes2A1-2-083.45.9
4Alleghany2A3-0-076.3-7.3
5West Wilkes3A1-2-062.8-11.1
NCISAA 8 Man Freelance — 3 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Cary ChristianNCISAA 82-1-060.8-18.7
2Pungo Christian AcademyNCISAA 83-0-045.2-56.8
3Wake Christian AcademyNCISAA 81-2-043.4-28.9
NCISAA Big 6 — 4 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1High Point Christian AcademyNCISAA II2-1-091.99.8
2Asheville School (Independent)NCISAA II2-1-088.38.3
3Hickory Grove ChristianNCISAA II3-0-065.5-27.5
4SouthLake Christian AcademyNCISAA II1-2-060.3-3.8
NCISAA Big East — 3 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Trinity ChristianNCISAA II3-0-082.4-11.4
2North Raleigh Christian AcademyNCISAA I2-1-075.04.0
3RavenscroftNCISAA I1-2-059.6-5.1
NCISAA Big South — 4 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Providence DayNCISAA I2-1-0120.139.8
2Charlotte ChristianNCISAA I1-2-092.816.6
3Charlotte Country Day SchoolNCISAA I2-1-088.420.1
4Charlotte LatinNCISAA I1-2-081.018.3
NCISAA Western — 2 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy]NCISAA I3-0-093.912.1
2Metrolina Christian AcademyNCISAA I0-3-070.612.1
North Carolina Independent — 3 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1GRACE ChristianNCISAA II2-1-041.5-21.9
2South Wake Christian Athletics—0-3-040.4-6.4
3North Wake Saints—1-2-039.1-21.2
North Piedmont — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Lake Norman7A3-0-0114.815.2
2Mooresville7A0-3-098.935.6
3Davie County7A2-1-096.126.2
4Statesville6A1-2-079.312.2
5South Iredell7A1-2-075.922.5
6North Iredell6A0-3-046.217.2
Northeastern Coastal — 4 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Northeastern3A2-1-087.42.8
2Martin County3A2-1-081.5-2.3
3Currituck County5A2-1-073.2-4.4
4First Flight4A0-3-045.0-15.8
Northern Six — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Wake Forest7A1-2-098.535.5
2Franklinton6A3-0-084.3-0.9
3Heritage7A1-2-077.926.9
4East Wake7A1-2-069.518.8
5Knightdale7A0-3-066.414.6
6Vance County6A0-3-061.212.2
Northwest — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Mount Airy3A2-1-085.516.7
2North Surry4A2-1-072.4-4.6
3East Surry3A0-3-068.410.1
4Forbush4A2-1-050.9-10.9
5Surry Central3A0-3-035.4-12.4
Northwestern — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Watauga6A1-2-091.110.1
2Alexander Central6A2-1-084.88.5
3Freedom6A3-0-079.6-20.8
4Saint Stephens6A0-3-076.113.3
5South Caldwell6A1-2-062.213.2
PAC Seven — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1T Wingate Andrews4A3-0-081.2-1.3
2Montgomery Central5A1-2-076.711.1
3Central Davidson4A1-2-069.6-0.9
4Randleman4A0-3-064.411.3
5Lexington4A0-3-063.55.8
6Ledford4A1-2-063.27.1
Piedmont Triad — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Oak Grove5A2-1-0100.65.5
2Mount Tabor6A0-3-087.039.6
3North Davidson5A3-0-086.9-4.9
4Glenn6A2-1-084.517.6
5North Forsyth Magnet5A1-2-052.52.0
6Atkins5A0-3-046.06.1
Quad City Seven — 7 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Apex Friendship8A3-0-098.7-1.1
2Jordan8A2-1-091.116.4
3Green Hope8A3-0-088.1-4.7
4Panther Creek8A2-1-085.36.2
5Apex8A1-2-080.16.3
6Green Level8A1-2-070.211.9
7Willow Spring8A1-2-068.113.2
Quad County — 3 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Wake Preparatory Academy3A2-1-068.2-18.7
2Bunn4A1-2-066.61.3
3Nash Central4A0-3-062.718.9
Roanoke River — 2 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Northampton County2A0-3-046.4-7.4
2KIPP Pride1A0-3-035.8-14.8
Rocky River — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Monroe5A1-2-098.432.6
2Parkwood5A2-1-087.411.6
3Mount Pleasant4A3-0-086.86.4
4Anson4A2-1-074.3-10.4
5West Stanly4A2-1-065.5-6.1
Smoky Mountain — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Robbinsville1A0-3-070.515.4
2Cherokee2A2-1-060.43.4
3Hayesville2A1-2-048.7-2.7
4Rosman1A1-2-038.5-15.9
5Andrews1A0-3-033.2-3.5
South Piedmont — 8 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Jay M Robinson5A3-0-0106.211.6
2West Rowan5A2-1-083.812.2
3Northwest Cabarrus5A2-1-081.614.5
4Carson5A2-1-075.02.2
5South Rowan4A3-0-074.4-24.2
6Concord5A1-2-072.38.2
7East Rowan5A2-1-062.5-9.7
8Salisbury4A0-3-055.116.6
Southeastern — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Whiteville3A3-0-080.4-3.0
2South Brunswick5A1-2-064.22.0
3South Columbus3A1-2-063.01.8
4Red Springs4A0-3-047.411.3
5West Bladen3A0-3-042.3-2.5
Southern Carolina — 7 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Weddington7A3-0-0123.030.8
2Marvin Ridge7A3-0-0108.79.4
3Charlotte Catholic6A2-1-096.516.1
4Sun Valley6A2-1-093.730.4
5Porter Ridge7A0-3-082.932.4
6Piedmont6A2-1-077.8-1.8
7Cuthbertson7A1-2-073.415.5
Southern Piedmont — 8 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Shelby3A2-1-098.66.0
2Lincolnton3A3-0-095.64.1
3Burns4A1-2-089.518.7
4West Lincoln3A2-1-070.4-17.8
5East Gaston4A2-1-064.8-3.6
6Cherryville2A2-1-060.5-11.4
7Bessemer City3A0-3-038.2-2.0
8Highland Tech2A0-3-026.6-5.4
Southwestern — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Palisades8A3-0-0100.117.2
2Ardrey Kell8A2-1-097.118.3
3Providence8A1-2-091.929.6
4East Mecklenburg8A2-1-072.9-1.1
5Ballantyne Ridge7A0-3-069.116.8
6Rocky River7A0-3-054.66.0
Swine Valley — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Wallace-Rose Hill3A1-2-079.27.3
2Midway3A3-0-076.8-7.3
3Princeton3A1-2-072.23.0
4Rosewood2A1-2-059.7-5.2
5Goldsboro3A0-3-027.33.8
TAAC Six — 4 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Asheboro6A3-0-088.83.4
2Northern Guilford6A1-2-088.223.4
3Southeast Guilford6A1-2-076.913.2
4Southern Guilford5A0-3-048.83.4
Three Rivers — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1West Craven4A1-2-088.919.6
2North Pitt4A1-2-070.99.2
3Washington4A0-3-064.810.5
4North Johnston4A1-2-062.1-7.1
5North Lenoir4A0-3-050.5-1.1
Tobacco Road — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi7A2-1-0101.731.1
2Hillside7A2-1-083.213.5
3Riverside7A1-2-064.11.6
4Northern6A2-1-054.5-18.3
5Chapel Hill7A1-2-052.1-12.1
Tri County — 5 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Scotland6A2-1-095.217.1
2Gray's Creek6A1-2-074.710.7
3Terry Sanford6A1-2-074.514.7
4Purnell Swett7A1-2-067.8-0.8
5Lumberton7A0-3-063.46.2
Triangle Six — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Cardinal Gibbons7A2-1-0113.837.4
2Middle Creek6A2-1-0103.013.7
3Felton Grove6A2-1-079.30.9
4Holly Springs7A1-2-079.210.5
5Sanderson7A1-2-076.76.6
6Cary7A0-3-066.92.7
Western Foothills — 8 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Hickory5A2-1-0105.317.9
2East Lincoln5A3-0-0103.311.9
3West Iredell4A3-0-091.7-9.1
4Maiden4A2-1-088.813.4
5Newton-Conover4A1-2-077.810.5
6Bunker Hill4A2-1-074.63.3
7North Lincoln5A1-2-073.015.0
8Foard4A1-2-068.94.0
Western Highlands — 7 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Hendersonville3A3-0-086.6-5.5
2Mountain Heritage3A1-2-077.58.9
3Mitchell2A2-1-072.5-11.6
4Owen3A2-1-053.6-23.2
5Polk County3A0-3-053.32.3
6Avery County2A2-1-050.6-21.7
7Madison3A1-2-042.9-22.6
Western Piedmont — 7 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1Hibriten4A3-0-095.93.9
2R-S Central4A2-1-082.41.9
3Chase3A3-0-071.2-16.5
4East Burke4A1-2-067.610.1
5East Rutherford3A0-3-062.915.9
6Patton3A0-3-041.3-8.7
7Draughn3A0-3-038.610.3
Yadkin Valley — 6 teams
SchoolClassRecordPowerSOS
1North Stanly3A3-0-086.94.9
2North Rowan2A2-1-075.5-2.4
3South Stanly2A0-3-054.82.6
4Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy1A1-2-052.3-15.2
5Albemarle2A1-2-049.9-12.8
6Bonnie Cone Leadership Academy1A0-3-031.3-15.3

NCHSAA RPI Standings

0.4 win percentage, 0.4 opponents', 0.2 opponents' opponents'; head-to-head excluded from a team's own opponents' record. NCHSAA opponents only, so this is the association's seeding view rather than ours.

8A — 32 teams
SchoolRecordRPIPowerSOS
1Chambers3-0-00.9667110.517.4
2Hough3-0-00.9333127.246.7
3Green Hope3-0-00.844488.1-4.7
4Millbrook3-0-00.8000118.422.1
5Palisades3-0-00.7667100.117.2
6West Charlotte2-1-00.7500103.136.2
7West Forsyth2-1-00.6889109.929.9
8Apex Friendship3-0-00.677898.7-1.1
9Corinth Holders1-2-00.622283.527.4
10Broughton2-1-00.622287.811.9
11Hoggard2-1-00.5889109.429.3
12Ardrey Kell2-1-00.577897.118.3
13Pinecrest1-2-00.566794.830.7
14Enloe2-1-00.566788.113.5
15Jordan2-1-00.511191.116.4
16East Mecklenburg2-1-00.500072.9-1.1
17Myers Park1-2-00.5000104.941.7
18Providence1-2-00.494491.929.6
19Panther Creek2-1-00.466785.36.2
20Green Level1-2-00.433370.211.9
21Hoke County1-1-00.400081.619.6
22Wakefield1-1-00.400075.98.6
23Willow Spring1-2-00.388968.113.2
24Laney0-2-00.383385.129.7
25South Mecklenburg1-2-00.377877.312.7
26Leesville Road1-2-00.377896.319.2
27Mallard Creek2-1-00.3667105.638.5
28Athens Drive1-2-00.355669.85.1
29Garinger1-2-00.344451.7-5.6
30Northwest Guilford0-3-00.300083.521.7
31Rolesville0-2-00.250097.342.8
32Apex1-2-00.200080.16.3
7A — 60 teams
SchoolRecordRPIPowerSOS
1Grimsley3-0-00.9500120.636.8
2D H Conley2-0-00.833392.88.4
3Southeast Raleigh3-0-00.8000113.813.6
4Clayton3-0-00.7889113.517.8
5Cleveland3-0-00.7667112.721.7
6Cardinal Gibbons2-1-00.7667113.837.4
7Reagan3-0-00.7500108.322.3
8New Bern3-0-00.7278103.117.3
9East Forsyth2-1-00.7222107.527.8
10North Brunswick3-0-00.711186.73.8
11Hopewell2-1-00.711182.617.5
12South Central3-0-00.700092.73.0
13Lake Norman3-0-00.7000114.815.2
14Marvin Ridge3-0-00.6889108.79.4
15Davie County2-1-00.688996.126.2
16Weddington3-0-00.6889123.030.8
17Garner2-1-00.6611100.032.2
18Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi2-1-00.6556101.731.1
19Pine Forest2-1-00.638981.013.4
20Butler2-1-00.638995.618.1
21Page3-0-00.6278105.717.7
22Cape Fear2-0-00.616791.3-4.7
23A L Brown3-0-00.6111100.214.7
24Topsail1-2-00.594475.216.2
25Overhills2-1-00.533386.8-0.5
26South Garner2-1-00.527892.8-1.0
27New Hanover1-2-00.516781.218.9
28Wake Forest1-2-00.511198.535.5
29Hillside2-1-00.500083.213.5
30R J Reynolds2-1-00.500083.7-9.0
31Ashley2-1-00.500077.811.3
32Heritage1-2-00.483377.926.9
33East Wake1-2-00.477869.518.8
34Independence1-2-00.466790.714.6
35Jack Britt1-2-00.461189.823.8
36Fuquay-Varina1-2-00.455683.017.7
37Cuthbertson1-2-00.433373.415.5
38Hickory Ridge1-1-00.416790.713.9
39West Cabarrus0-3-00.411175.030.9
40Mooresville0-3-00.411198.935.6
41Sanderson1-2-00.411176.76.6
42South Iredell1-2-00.394475.922.5
43Purnell Swett1-2-00.361167.8-0.8
44Porter Ridge0-3-00.355682.932.4
45Cox Mill1-2-00.344472.18.9
46Parkland1-2-00.333371.60.2
47Chapel Hill1-2-00.316752.1-12.1
48Richmond0-2-00.316794.632.3
49Riverside1-2-00.311164.11.6
50Holly Springs1-2-00.305679.210.5
51Ballantyne Ridge0-3-00.283369.116.8
52Southwest Guilford0-2-00.266759.07.4
53North Mecklenburg1-2-00.266783.6-0.2
54Knightdale0-3-00.233366.414.6
55Smithfield-Selma0-3-00.216763.38.9
56McDowell0-2-00.216760.97.4
57West Mecklenburg0-3-00.200072.35.4
58Lumberton0-3-00.188963.46.2
59Rocky River0-3-00.111154.66.0
60Cary0-3-00.055666.92.7
6A — 58 teams
SchoolRecordRPIPowerSOS
1Seventy-First2-0-00.8167100.97.8
2Swansboro3-0-00.800072.6-10.5
3Franklinton3-0-00.777884.3-0.9
4Asheboro3-0-00.733388.83.4
5Ashbrook2-1-00.733396.514.7
6Southern Alamance3-0-00.716796.815.9
7Roberson2-1-00.7000102.321.4
8Harnett Central3-0-00.700089.40.2
9Felton Grove2-1-00.688979.30.9
10Triton3-0-00.666779.90.7
11Sun Valley2-1-00.655693.730.4
12Kings Mountain2-1-00.650099.219.2
13Glenn2-1-00.633384.517.6
14Asheville2-1-00.625086.512.5
15Freedom3-0-00.622279.6-20.8
16Scotland2-1-00.622295.217.1
17Jacksonville1-1-00.6083102.114.6
18Junius H Rose3-0-00.605699.412.2
19White Oak1-1-00.600078.2-0.2
20Charlotte Catholic2-1-00.594496.516.1
21Dudley1-2-00.588993.233.6
22Middle Creek2-1-00.5889103.013.7
23Ragsdale2-1-00.577882.6-1.0
24Piedmont2-1-00.577877.8-1.8
25West Brunswick1-2-00.533382.56.2
26South Caldwell1-2-00.533362.213.2
27Alexander Central2-1-00.516784.88.5
28Northern2-1-00.511154.5-18.3
29Central Cabarrus1-2-00.511181.911.7
30East Chapel Hill1-1-00.508346.8-11.5
31Union Pines2-1-00.500093.516.8
32Southeast Guilford1-2-00.477876.913.2
33Northern Nash1-2-00.477896.921.6
34Mount Tabor0-3-00.466787.039.6
35South Johnston1-1-00.466775.113.7
36Terry Sanford1-2-00.450074.514.7
37Williams1-0-00.450093.8-14.0
38Harding University1-2-00.438970.412.1
39Olympic1-2-00.433381.219.4
40Phillip O Berry Academy of Technology2-1-00.433372.24.5
41Reynolds1-2-00.427881.619.6
42Lee County0-3-00.422267.622.7
43Eastern Guilford0-2-00.416769.517.9
44Statesville1-2-00.388979.312.2
45Watauga1-2-00.383391.110.1
46West Johnston1-1-00.366772.28.1
47Western Harnett2-1-00.361156.0-27.6
48Northern Guilford1-2-00.350088.223.4
49Vance County0-3-00.338961.212.2
50Gray's Creek1-2-00.333374.710.7
51Southern Lee0-3-00.333351.422.8
52Ben L. Smith1-2-00.322267.6-3.5
53North Iredell0-3-00.322246.217.2
54Western Guilford1-2-00.311170.1-1.7
55South View1-2-00.283380.812.0
56Westover1-2-00.266780.37.2
57Saint Stephens0-3-00.250076.113.3
58E E Smith0-3-00.211172.18.5
5A — 57 teams
SchoolRecordRPIPowerSOS
1South Point3-0-00.9222104.326.2
2Northside2-0-00.875095.518.6
3Crest3-0-00.8667102.221.6
4Southeast Alamance3-0-00.811189.4-0.3
5Hunt3-0-00.811192.710.7
6Northeast Guilford2-0-00.800093.4-0.7
7Enka3-0-00.755678.6-4.0
8Hickory2-1-00.7556105.317.9
9North Davidson3-0-00.750086.9-4.9
10Jay M Robinson3-0-00.7444106.211.6
11Forest Hills2-0-00.716783.7-11.0
12East Lincoln3-0-00.7111103.311.9
13West Rowan2-1-00.700083.812.2
14West Henderson1-1-00.666778.615.1
15Franklin2-0-00.666792.73.0
16Fike3-0-00.6444104.2-10.0
17Parkwood2-1-00.644487.411.6
18Southern Wayne2-1-00.644455.1-16.4
19Seaforth2-1-00.622273.21.3
20Carson2-1-00.622275.02.2
21South Granville2-1-00.600071.90.7
22Charles B Aycock1-1-00.600072.53.5
23Eastern Alamance2-1-00.588986.37.5
24Croatan3-0-00.588991.0-6.1
25Oak Grove2-1-00.5889100.65.5
26Orange1-1-00.583366.50.8
27North Buncombe2-1-00.577860.5-22.7
28Western Alamance3-0-00.577881.22.0
29Northwest Cabarrus2-1-00.566781.614.5
30Currituck County2-1-00.566773.2-4.4
31North Lincoln1-2-00.566773.015.0
32Saint Pauls3-0-00.566785.4-10.5
33East Rowan2-1-00.561162.5-9.7
34Monroe1-2-00.555698.432.6
35Smoky Mountain3-0-00.544484.2-19.9
36Rocky Mount2-1-00.533388.65.0
37Havelock1-2-00.522291.924.9
38Southern Nash1-2-00.516780.320.0
39Montgomery Central1-2-00.500076.711.1
40Concord1-2-00.488972.38.2
41Huss2-1-00.488978.84.7
42J. F. Webb1-2-00.461157.6-1.3
43Erwin2-1-00.438983.66.6
44Person1-2-00.416768.61.2
45North Forsyth Magnet1-2-00.411152.52.0
46North Henderson0-3-00.411166.612.5
47Dixon2-1-00.405672.2-10.3
48Rockingham County1-2-00.400073.58.7
49Richlands1-2-00.383367.04.2
50South Brunswick1-2-00.372264.22.0
51West Carteret1-2-00.372273.811.1
52Forestview0-3-00.333361.910.5
53North Gaston0-3-00.244447.76.5
54Douglas Byrd0-3-00.238940.91.7
55Atkins0-3-00.200046.06.1
56Cedar Ridge0-2-00.150028.8-18.6
57Southern Guilford0-3-00.122248.83.4
4A — 57 teams
SchoolRecordRPIPowerSOS
1T Wingate Andrews3-0-00.822281.2-1.3
2Mount Pleasant3-0-00.800086.86.4
3South Rowan3-0-00.788974.4-24.2
4Tuscola3-0-00.766786.1-5.6
5SouthWest Edgecombe2-0-00.750081.3-1.4
6Eastern Wayne2-0-00.741787.3-20.1
7Southwestern Randolph3-0-00.722275.1-20.2
8East Duplin3-0-00.700082.62.8
9Maiden2-1-00.677888.813.4
10West Iredell3-0-00.666791.7-9.1
11North Surry2-1-00.658372.4-4.6
12Hibriten3-0-00.655695.93.9
13Clinton2-1-00.644470.50.9
14Graham0-1-00.600032.1-29.6
15West Stanly2-1-00.588965.5-6.1
16West Stokes1-1-00.583368.5-5.9
17Pisgah2-1-00.577882.80.4
18Burns1-2-00.566789.518.7
19Stuart W Cramer2-0-00.533392.4-15.2
20East Burke1-2-00.533367.610.1
21Jordan-Matthews2-1-00.533339.8-36.3
22Wilkes Central3-0-00.533386.7-30.4
23Bunn1-2-00.522266.61.3
24Forbush2-1-00.522250.9-10.9
25Roanoke Rapids2-0-00.516768.5-28.9
26Reidsville1-2-00.500089.321.8
27Ledford1-2-00.488963.27.1
28Bunker Hill2-1-00.488974.63.3
29Lake Norman Charter1-1-00.483363.9-2.1
30Fairmont1-1-00.483362.83.6
31R-S Central2-1-00.472282.41.9
32West Craven1-2-00.455688.919.6
33Newton-Conover1-2-00.433377.810.5
34Morehead1-2-00.433352.43.1
35North Pitt1-2-00.422270.99.2
36Foard1-2-00.422268.94.0
37Bandys1-1-00.416779.317.6
38East Henderson1-2-00.411148.4-14.0
39East Gaston2-1-00.411164.8-3.6
40Anson2-1-00.400074.3-10.4
41Lexington0-3-00.388963.55.8
42Central Davidson1-2-00.366769.6-0.9
43Salisbury0-3-00.366755.116.6
44Washington0-3-00.355664.810.5
45Red Springs0-3-00.344447.411.3
46Nash Central0-3-00.300062.718.9
47Randleman0-3-00.300064.411.3
48North Johnston1-2-00.294462.1-7.1
49Southwest0-3-00.266762.07.6
50Lincoln Charter0-3-00.233345.4-6.3
51North Lenoir0-3-00.222250.5-1.1
52Carrboro0-3-00.188934.0-21.2
53First Flight0-3-00.188945.0-15.8
54Cummings0-3-00.183356.02.4
55Ashe County0-2-00.166752.518.0
56Brevard0-2-00.166773.712.6
57Carver0-4-00.077851.2-2.8
3A — 55 teams
SchoolRecordRPIPowerSOS
1Lincolnton3-0-00.877895.64.1
2North Stanly3-0-00.855686.94.9
3James Kenan2-0-00.833390.0-2.3
4Whiteville3-0-00.761180.4-3.0
5Hendersonville3-0-00.755686.6-5.5
6Chase3-0-00.744471.2-16.5
7Midway3-0-00.733376.8-7.3
8Northeastern2-1-00.661187.42.8
9Shelby2-1-00.655698.66.0
10Hertford County1-1-00.650074.60.4
11Mount Airy2-1-00.633385.516.7
12North Wilkes2-0-00.600065.4-31.6
13Martin County2-1-00.577881.5-2.3
14Northwood1-2-00.566760.63.4
15Pasquotank County1-1-00.566765.40.1
16Providence Grove2-1-00.566769.9-6.1
17West Davidson2-0-00.544469.7-16.5
18Louisburg Magnet2-0-00.533365.3-25.6
19Pender2-0-00.533384.1-25.2
20South Columbus1-2-00.533363.01.8
21South Lenoir3-0-00.533348.9-37.1
22Farmville Central1-2-00.527869.313.4
23Thomasville2-1-00.527871.0-3.1
24Owen2-1-00.522253.6-23.2
25Wake Preparatory Academy2-1-00.522268.2-18.7
26Union Academy1-1-00.516757.1-10.1
27Wallace-Rose Hill1-2-00.500079.27.3
28Walkertown2-1-00.500075.0-2.9
29Trinity0-3-00.477835.7-2.2
30Princeton1-2-00.433372.23.0
31Bartlett Yancey1-2-00.427841.9-15.8
32Eastern Randolph1-2-00.422285.214.9
33East Rutherford0-3-00.400062.915.9
34Greene Central2-1-00.388979.1-19.5
35Pine Lake Preparatory1-1-00.383354.9-19.6
36North Moore0-2-00.377841.616.2
37East Davidson1-2-00.377843.8-9.4
38Kinston1-2-00.377878.74.1
39West Lincoln2-1-00.377870.4-17.8
40Draughn0-3-00.355638.610.3
41Mountain Heritage1-2-00.355677.58.9
42Goldsboro0-3-00.344427.33.8
43Polk County0-3-00.333353.32.3
44West Wilkes1-2-00.327862.8-11.1
45Wheatmore0-3-00.322248.1-14.2
46Madison1-2-00.300042.9-22.6
47Patton0-3-00.300041.3-8.7
48Surry Central0-3-00.294435.4-12.4
49West Bladen0-3-00.244442.3-2.5
50McMichael0-2-00.233334.1-6.0
51East Surry0-3-00.233368.410.1
52Ayden-Grifton0-3-00.222263.212.4
53Heide Trask0-3-00.211146.7-12.4
54Bessemer City0-3-00.172238.2-2.0
55Beddingfield0-2-00.116743.0-2.8
2A — 46 teams
SchoolRecordRPIPowerSOS
1North Duplin Jr Sr2-0-00.816759.7-17.1
2Alleghany3-0-00.808376.3-7.3
3Christ the King2-0-00.766772.0-13.9
4Cherokee2-1-00.766760.43.4
5Starmount3-0-00.755685.7-1.8
6Corvian Community2-1-00.750086.326.5
7Tarboro2-1-00.711192.921.0
8Cherryville2-1-00.655660.5-11.4
9Holmes2-1-00.638986.11.7
10Hayesville1-2-00.633348.7-2.7
11Warren County2-0-00.633383.5-10.6
12Community School of Davidson2-1-00.622282.41.6
13Southside2-1-00.622246.1-21.8
14North Rowan2-1-00.600075.5-2.4
15Elkin2-0-00.533344.5-38.9
16Langtree Charter Academy2-1-00.522244.5-25.9
17Mountain Island Charter2-0-00.500063.5-29.9
18East Bladen2-1-00.500071.0-13.5
19Manteo2-1-00.477856.5-16.0
20Northwest Halifax Collegiate and Technic1-1-00.475046.7-33.8
21Murphy1-1-00.466775.510.5
22Lakewood1-2-00.444456.6-9.4
23Rosewood1-2-00.444459.7-5.2
24East Wilkes1-2-00.444483.45.9
25Albemarle1-2-00.433349.9-12.8
26Camden County1-2-00.422252.2-6.4
27Pamlico County1-2-00.422237.5-11.1
28Avery County2-1-00.408350.6-21.7
29Mitchell2-1-00.400072.5-11.6
30Perquimans County2-1-00.394454.0-17.7
31West Columbus1-2-00.394447.5-8.1
32Hobbton0-3-00.388960.96.3
33Swain County0-2-00.388955.113.5
34American Leadership Academy - Johnston1-1-00.366747.6-29.5
35Union1-1-00.366743.5-26.3
36South Stokes1-2-00.366741.4-14.0
37Gates County1-1-00.333359.5-14.8
38Northampton County0-3-00.333346.4-7.4
39Bertie0-2-00.316739.514.5
40Triangle Math and Science Academy0-2-00.311111.4-31.3
41Bradford Preparatory1-2-00.300050.7-16.2
42South Stanly0-3-00.266754.82.6
43Lejeune0-2-00.250034.4-17.2
44Bishop McGuinness0-3-00.244443.4-15.2
45Highland Tech0-3-00.211126.6-5.4
46East Carteret0-3-00.183354.63.9
1A — 24 teams
SchoolRecordRPIPowerSOS
1Chatham Central3-0-00.883340.4-33.4
2Hobgood Charter2-0-00.800040.2-28.7
3Northside3-0-00.700072.7-12.2
4East Columbus Junior-Senior2-1-00.600037.8-28.9
5South Davidson Middle and3-0-00.566754.1-31.6
6Columbia2-0-00.533331.7-52.8
7Wilson Preparatory Academy1-2-00.477873.723.8
8Sallie B Howard1-1-00.466742.2-17.8
9Rosman1-2-00.422238.5-15.9
10North Edgecombe1-1-00.416740.7-25.7
11Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy1-2-00.411152.3-15.2
12North East Carolina Prep1-2-00.405635.8-39.8
13Jones0-2-00.400013.7-29.7
14Bonnie Cone Leadership Academy0-3-00.388931.3-15.3
15Robbinsville0-3-00.344470.515.4
16Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad1-2-00.338949.9-10.3
17North Stokes0-3-00.333326.7-21.7
18College Prep and Leadership Academy0-2-00.250034.8-13.3
19Washington County0-3-00.233344.4-17.7
20Southeast Collegiate Prep Academy0-2-00.225042.5-17.0
21Andrews0-3-00.211133.2-3.5
22KIPP Pride0-3-00.166735.8-14.8
23Weldon STEM0-2-00.100022.1-22.4
24Bear Grass Charter0-3-00.050032.2-19.7

Season Projection

120 simulated seasons, each playing every remaining game and refitting ratings weekly, seeded with the 760 results already in hand. This run does not record which week those results run through. Outcomes are sampled rather than awarded to the favourite, so upsets happen at the rate the model believes they happen. The mean rating comes back close to where the season has already put each team — a simulation learns nothing new about games nobody has played — so the 10th–90th band, not the mean, is the forecast, and it widens the further out the projection runs.

Projected final power rankings — top 25

SchoolClassProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Hough8A9.8-0.262.155.1 – 69.620.684%
2Millbrook8A9.9-0.158.251.6 – 65.219.790%
3Weddington7A9.6-0.457.950.5 – 66.323.467%
4Grimsley7A9.7-0.357.650.6 – 64.620.072%
5Providence DayNCISAA I8.7-1.353.044.8 – 60.223.0—
6Southeast Raleigh7A8.4-1.652.544.4 – 63.425.919%
7Lake Norman7A9.4-0.652.043.0 – 59.712.352%
8Cardinal Gibbons7A8.2-1.851.042.3 – 58.725.1—
9Clayton7A8.7-1.348.740.4 – 56.621.821%
10Cleveland7A8.5-1.548.137.5 – 56.626.725%
11Chambers8A9.0-1.047.537.0 – 57.720.842%
12Fike5A9.6-0.447.336.2 – 58.83.568%
13Marvin Ridge7A8.8-1.246.937.3 – 56.717.318%
14Hoggard8A8.8-1.246.839.1 – 54.818.7—
15Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi7A7.8-1.246.137.9 – 53.811.7—
16West Forsyth8A7.9-2.145.236.7 – 51.725.9—
17Reagan7A8.1-1.942.835.7 – 52.425.411%
18Page7A8.9-1.142.734.3 – 50.69.418%
19East Forsyth7A7.4-2.642.033.1 – 50.724.4—
20Wake Forest7A7.7-2.341.432.9 – 50.617.1—
21Jay M Robinson5A9.8-0.240.633.7 – 48.92.583%
22Hickory5A8.3-1.739.830.8 – 47.812.1—
23Myers Park8A6.6-3.439.430.7 – 48.024.8—
24Roberson6A8.7-1.339.029.2 – 47.48.0—
25South Point5A8.8-1.237.430.7 – 43.714.732%

By classification

8A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Hough9.8-0.262.155.1 – 69.620.684%
2Millbrook9.9-0.158.251.6 – 65.219.790%
3Chambers9.0-1.047.537.0 – 57.720.842%
4Hoggard8.8-1.246.839.1 – 54.818.7—
5West Forsyth7.9-2.145.236.7 – 51.725.9—
6Myers Park6.6-3.439.430.7 – 48.024.8—
7Palisades8.4-1.635.928.5 – 44.214.312%
8Apex Friendship9.0-1.034.725.8 – 43.27.938%
9Leesville Road5.8-4.230.721.4 – 42.021.8—
10Pinecrest5.8-4.230.321.7 – 39.725.3—
7A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Weddington9.6-0.457.950.5 – 66.323.467%
2Grimsley9.7-0.357.650.6 – 64.620.072%
3Southeast Raleigh8.4-1.652.544.4 – 63.425.919%
4Lake Norman9.4-0.652.043.0 – 59.712.352%
5Cardinal Gibbons8.2-1.851.042.3 – 58.725.1—
6Clayton8.7-1.348.740.4 – 56.621.821%
7Cleveland8.5-1.548.137.5 – 56.626.725%
8Marvin Ridge8.8-1.246.937.3 – 56.717.318%
9Southern School of Energy and Sustainabi7.8-1.246.137.9 – 53.811.7—
10Reagan8.1-1.942.835.7 – 52.425.411%
NCISAA I — projected top 9
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Providence Day8.7-1.353.044.8 – 60.223.0—
2Cannon [Cannon/Concord Academy]7.4-2.623.716.2 – 31.814.61%
3Charlotte Christian4.5-4.520.39.2 – 29.817.4—
4Charlotte Country Day School5.1-4.918.710.9 – 26.522.4—
5Christ School5.7-3.312.13.4 – 21.57.55%
6Charlotte Latin2.7-7.36.6-3.4 – 17.021.9—
7North Raleigh Christian Academy6.3-3.76.0-2.3 – 13.80.8—
8Metrolina Christian Academy3.1-6.93.2-4.3 – 12.59.4—
9Ravenscroft3.0-7.0-10.0-17.7 – -1.40.8—
6A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Roberson8.7-1.339.029.2 – 47.48.0—
2Jacksonville6.5-2.536.527.2 – 44.819.5—
3Middle Creek7.2-2.935.326.8 – 42.815.8—
4Seventy-First8.2-0.835.224.5 – 45.56.349%
5Junius H Rose7.4-2.632.424.4 – 42.021.67%
6Southern Alamance8.7-1.332.224.2 – 42.68.628%
7Kings Mountain6.9-3.131.424.0 – 40.212.6—
8Scotland7.4-2.631.022.8 – 38.613.9—
9Ashbrook6.3-3.730.922.5 – 38.114.8—
10Harnett Central9.2-0.830.220.5 – 38.22.041%
5A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Fike9.6-0.447.336.2 – 58.83.568%
2Jay M Robinson9.8-0.240.633.7 – 48.92.583%
3Hickory8.3-1.739.830.8 – 47.812.1—
4South Point8.8-1.237.430.7 – 43.714.732%
5East Lincoln9.0-1.035.828.3 – 43.29.729%
6Oak Grove7.8-2.234.826.7 – 43.55.9—
7Northside9.0-1.034.523.5 – 46.811.242%
8Northeast Guilford8.0-2.032.622.1 – 44.28.68%
9Southeast Alamance9.3-1.730.421.0 – 43.84.916%
10Crest7.3-2.730.118.9 – 41.717.22%
NCISAA II — projected top 9
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1High Point Christian Academy8.0-2.026.419.7 – 33.31.1—
2Asheville School (Independent)6.8-3.220.912.9 – 29.29.6—
3Trinity Christian7.4-3.614.87.4 – 23.04.81%
4Harrells Christian Academy6.5-3.511.72.3 – 22.0-1.5—
5Hickory Grove Christian7.2-2.8-2.1-10.9 – 7.1-12.85%
6Covenant Day3.1-6.9-4.7-16.3 – 7.54.6—
7SouthLake Christian Academy3.3-6.7-9.9-18.9 – -1.2-1.1—
8Wayne Christian5.2-3.8-10.1-21.1 – 1.6-17.2—
9GRACE Christian4.8-6.2-25.3-32.5 – -15.8-17.7—
4A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Hibriten9.7-0.330.621.7 – 37.1-9.376%
2Tuscola8.7-1.323.714.1 – 33.4-1.124%
3West Craven7.0-3.021.613.5 – 28.54.9—
4Eastern Wayne7.9-1.121.512.8 – 31.7-9.432%
5Stuart W Cramer8.1-1.920.712.1 – 30.7-10.99%
6Burns6.0-4.020.313.2 – 28.00.8—
7West Iredell7.4-2.619.912.1 – 28.84.32%
8Reidsville7.4-2.619.79.3 – 28.3-5.3—
9Wilkes Central8.8-1.217.38.1 – 27.5-16.930%
10Mount Pleasant6.9-3.116.27.5 – 25.89.82%
NCISAA 8 — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1John Paul II Catholic8.6-1.418.910.4 – 28.9-7.621%
2Faith Christian7.0-1.018.88.8 – 30.6-8.333%
3Pungo Christian Academy8.4-0.67.1-4.5 – 19.2-29.758%
4Liberty Christian Academy6.0-1.05.1-4.6 – 17.5-17.322%
5St. David's6.5-2.52.3-10.7 – 13.6-7.56%
6Cary Christian4.8-4.2-6.8-17.7 – 4.2-7.9—
7Lawrence Academy6.8-3.2-7.3-16.1 – 1.2-14.8—
8Sandhills Classical Christian4.6-2.4-8.6-17.1 – -2.5-19.7—
9Wake Christian Academy4.3-6.7-10.1-18.4 – -0.5-7.7—
10Arendell Parrott Academy3.1-5.8-15.7-28.1 – -1.8-3.5—
3A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Shelby8.0-2.029.620.8 – 37.9-0.2—
2Lincolnton8.7-1.425.917.1 – 34.0-5.120%
3James Kenan7.9-1.123.715.4 – 32.6-4.038%
4North Stanly9.6-0.421.913.6 – 31.0-11.867%
5Northeastern7.8-2.220.110.4 – 30.9-0.4—
6Pender8.8-1.118.48.6 – 31.7-12.634%
7Eastern Randolph6.6-3.416.57.0 – 25.50.1—
8Hendersonville8.8-1.215.06.5 – 22.9-11.930%
9Mount Airy7.2-2.814.04.6 – 21.00.5—
10Whiteville9.2-0.813.35.4 – 21.5-13.346%
2A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Tarboro8.4-1.626.216.4 – 33.92.4—
2Holmes8.8-1.224.013.4 – 33.9-12.6—
3Warren County9.6-0.423.114.4 – 32.6-21.469%
4Corvian Community8.1-1.916.99.5 – 24.3-1.4—
5Community School of Davidson7.7-2.314.66.9 – 23.0-6.2—
6East Wilkes6.4-3.614.67.4 – 22.8-3.1—
7Starmount8.2-1.814.65.6 – 22.2-5.98%
8Christ the King8.2-1.89.3-0.3 – 18.9-10.412%
9Alleghany7.7-2.38.6-0.2 – 17.0-4.98%
10North Rowan7.9-2.17.9-0.4 – 15.9-12.7—
8-MAN — projected top 2
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Father Capodanno2.3-4.7-25.3-33.6 – -17.1-16.2—
2Community Christian3.3-5.7-26.2-36.6 – -17.8-14.5—
1A — projected top 10
SchoolProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Northside9.6-0.47.4-0.5 – 14.8-25.869%
2Wilson Preparatory Academy6.5-4.56.0-2.1 – 13.9-0.5—
3Robbinsville5.3-4.71.6-5.9 – 10.9-7.5—
4Winston-Salem Preparatory Acad6.3-3.7-13.8-23.3 – -3.7-25.2—
5Hobgood Charter8.3-1.7-16.1-29.0 – -2.7-33.523%
6South Davidson Middle and8.3-1.7-17.2-23.6 – -10.4-34.013%
7Thomas Jefferson Classical Academy3.9-6.1-18.9-29.6 – -8.8-13.8—
8North East Carolina Prep5.0-5.0-24.7-33.2 – -14.4-29.8—
9Chatham Central7.5-2.5-25.2-34.1 – -14.3-33.87%
10Washington County3.1-6.9-25.4-33.7 – -16.7-20.3—

Most likely to finish unbeaten

SchoolClassProj. recordRating10th–90thSOSUnbeaten
1Hough8A9.8-0.262.155.1 – 69.620.684%
2Millbrook8A9.9-0.158.251.6 – 65.219.790%
3Weddington7A9.6-0.457.950.5 – 66.323.467%
4Grimsley7A9.7-0.357.650.6 – 64.620.072%
5Southeast Raleigh7A8.4-1.652.544.4 – 63.425.919%
6Lake Norman7A9.4-0.652.043.0 – 59.712.352%
7Clayton7A8.7-1.348.740.4 – 56.621.821%
8Cleveland7A8.5-1.548.137.5 – 56.626.725%
9Chambers8A9.0-1.047.537.0 – 57.720.842%
10Fike5A9.6-0.447.336.2 – 58.83.568%
11Marvin Ridge7A8.8-1.246.937.3 – 56.717.318%
12Reagan7A8.1-1.942.835.7 – 52.425.411%

Strength of classification

Mean is the average member rating. Fitted level is what games between classifications say the tier is worth, which is the real comparison.

GroupTeamsMeanFitted level
8A32+22.9+22.5
7A60+17.7+17.6
NCISAA I10+13.5+12.8
6A58+11.3+11.2
5A57+7.9+7.1
NCISAA II9+2.4+2.3
4A57-4.2-4.1
NCISAA 812-5.2-10.1
3A56-9.7-9.9
2A46-13.5-13.4
8-MAN2-25.8-20.6
1A25-30.8-29.6

Strength of conference

Four or more teams.

GroupTeamsMean
Greater Neuse River7+29.6
Big Carolina6+26.1
Central Piedmont6+26.0
NCISAA Big South4+24.7
Meck Power Six6+23.9
Southern Carolina7+23.7
Mid South6+21.7
CAP8+21.6
Triangle Six6+19.1
Greater Charlotte6+17.1
Carolina Coast7+16.8
Metro7+16.7
Big East7+16.0
Quad City Seven7+15.6
North Piedmont6+14.2