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Jim's 3A Playoff Projections after Week 12 (UPDATED WITH 2018 ADMS)
Last Post 11/10/2018 7:07 AM by ConnerP. 15 Replies.
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Jim West Posts:2280
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11/06/2018 3:27 PM 0
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3A East: 


(16) Northern Nash at (1) Southern Nash

(9) Terry Sanford at (8) Franklinton

(12) West Carteret at (5) Jacksonville

(13) Williams at (4) Rocky Mount 

(14) Eastern Wayne at (3) Western Alamance

(11) Northeast Guilford at (6) Eastern Alamance

(10) South Johnston at (7) Southern Lee

(15) CB Aycock at (2) Havelock 

 

3A West: 

(16) Morehead at (1) Hunter Huss

(9) Jay M. Robinson at (8) Tuscola

(12) East Rowan at (5) Statesville

(13) West Rowan at (4) Freedom

(14) North Buncombe at (3) Kings Mountain

(11) Monroe at (6) Crest 

(10) Stuart Cramer at (7) Alexander Central

(15) Burns at (2) Charlotte Catholic

 

 

3AA East: 



(16) Northern Guilford at (1) Northern Durham

(9) Rose at (8) Eastern Guilford

(12) Topsail at (5) Cape Fear

(13) Southern Alamance at (4) Lee County

(14) Dudley at (3) Southeast Guilford

(11) Hillside at (6) Conley

(10) Clayton at (7) New Hanover

(15) Gray's Creek at (2) Cleveland

 

3AA West: 

(16) Ashbrook at (1) Northwest Cabarrus

(9) Parkland at (8) Cox Mill

(12) Central Cabarrus at (5) South Iredell

(13) Marvin Ridge at (4) Mount Tabor

(14) Southwest Guilford at (3) AC Reynolds

(11) Sun Valley at (6) Weddington

(10) Asheville at (7) Erwin

(15) AL Brown at (2) Watauga

 

Last four 3A/3AA teams in the playoffs:  Eastern Wayne, Morehead, CB Aycock, Northern Nash

Last four 3A/3AA team out of the playoffs:   Cuthbertson, West Brunswick, Orange, Union Pines

KM2ASU Posts:18 Freshman Member Freshman Member
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11/07/2018 7:26 AM 0
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Jim,
Just for clarification with the "annual changes" to play-off format. Is there still the possibility that teams that tie for the conference championship, but go into different classification 3A/3AA each qualify for a 1 seed, or is that just for Split conferences 3A/4A?
Boxman Posts:880
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11/07/2018 10:22 AM 0
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Posted By KM2ASU on 11/07/2018 7:26 AM
Jim,
Just for clarification with the "annual changes" to play-off format. Is there still the possibility that teams that tie for the conference championship, but go into different classification 3A/3AA each qualify for a 1 seed, or is that just for Split conferences 3A/4A?
 
 

Yes, that can still happen accordin to Tra at NCHSAA.

 

 

Don Hines

http://www.ncpiedmontsports.com/

mrhonda Posts:660 Senior Member Senior Member
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11/07/2018 2:19 PM 0
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AAAAnd here we go in 3A.  If this were to hold, both Havelock and Charlotte Catholic get screwed due to the word "adjusted".

KM2ASU Posts:18 Freshman Member Freshman Member
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11/07/2018 4:54 PM 0
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Thanks Don,
I know ADMs are out and these are only projections but I guess my question specifically pertained to the NPC. Isn’t there going to be a One Seed from that conference in small 3A.? I may have not thought through that scenario correctly.
Jim West Posts:2280
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11/07/2018 6:23 PM 0
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I have just updated the rankings based on the 2018 ADM's.

The change was simplistic: NW Cabarrus goes from 3A to 3AA and Alexander Central goes from 3AA to 3A.
Jim West Posts:2280
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11/07/2018 10:16 PM 0
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Correction time: I have made the following changes:

Terry Sanford goes from the 6 seed to the 9 seed.
Franklinton goes from the 9 seed to the 8 seed.
Southern Lee goes from the 8 seed to the 7 seed.
Eastern Alamance goes from the 7 seed to the 6 seed.
onioncfb Posts:168 Sophomore Member Sophomore Member
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11/08/2018 5:36 AM 0
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Well the mountains have been good to Weddington . Looks like a deep run would go that way again.
Champ Posts:7 Middle School Middle School
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11/08/2018 10:01 AM 0
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Glad NWC is 3AA. Expecting a great run from them and Huss
Reynoldsrocks23 Posts:4 Middle School Middle School
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11/08/2018 12:30 PM 0
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New "updated" ADM's are posted on NCHSAA website and it shows Alexander Central at 1409 now instead of 1200, that would make them 3AA and NW Cabarrus would go back to 3A. IF THESE ARE CORRECT.

https://www.nchsaa.org/sites/defaul...ADMs_1.pdf

Jim West Posts:2280
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11/08/2018 1:46 PM 0
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Looks like the ADMs were updated around 11:30 am today. Not surprised. We see some revisions about every year.
Reynoldsrocks23 Posts:4 Middle School Middle School
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11/08/2018 6:50 PM 0
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Posted By Jim West on 11/08/2018 1:46 PM
Looks like the ADMs were updated around 11:30 am today. Not surprised. We see some revisions about every year.

There will probably be more changes to the ADM's, but based on the new updates NW Cabarrus will go small and Alexander Central should be large. 

 

Jim West Posts:2280
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11/08/2018 9:44 PM 0
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That’s my guess too.
Cpoole1 Posts:3 Middle School Middle School
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11/09/2018 7:09 AM 0
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So Cuthbertson, Marvin Ridge, and Monroe all tied for fourth in the SCC. How will this tie be broken? Coin flip or adjusted rankings?
Reynoldsrocks23 Posts:4 Middle School Middle School
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11/09/2018 11:40 AM 0
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Posted By Cpoole1 on 11/09/2018 7:09 AM
So Cuthbertson, Marvin Ridge, and Monroe all tied for fourth in the SCC. How will this tie be broken? Coin flip or adjusted rankings?

I'm pretty sure Conferences determine their seedings with a coin flip or drawing. Adjusted rankings are for playoffs only not conference ties. 

 

 

ConnerP Posts:290 Junior Member Junior Member
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11/10/2018 7:07 AM 0
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Patriot 3A/4A results last night twisted some bracket projections up. Sanford to be seeded with the 1’s. Cape Fear & Gray’s Creek slide.
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