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Jim's 1A/2A Playoff Projections after Week 4
Last Post 09/15/2018 4:44 PM by Jim West. 6 Replies.
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Jim West Posts:2029
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09/10/2018 12:55 PM 0
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For this week, I'm using a hybrid model that incorporates my automatic playoff bids and the MaxPreps rankings.  I use discretion when adjusting the MaxPreps rankings if I feel that they are not incorporating enough of the 2018 or if they are incorporating too much of the 2017 season data.

 

1A East

 

(1) Northampton County (bye)

(9) Southside at (8) Washington County

(4) South Creek (bye)

(12) Bear Grass Charter at (5) Northside-Pinetown

(3) Southeast Halifax (bye)

(11) West Columbus at (6) Rosewood

(2) Pamlico (bye)

(10) North Edgecombe  at (7) North Duplin

 

1A West

 

(1) Mitchell (bye)

(9) South Robeson at (8) Bishop McGuinness

(4) Thomas Jefferson  (bye)

(12) Albemarle at (5) Robbinsville

(3) Elkin (bye)

(11) Community School of Davidson at (6) Cherokee

(2) Mountain Island Charter (bye)

(10) Alleghany at (7) Union Academy

 

1AA East

 

(1) Tarboro (bye)

(9) Riverside-Martin at (8) Gates County

(4) Princeton (bye) 

(12) Union at (5) Granville Central

(3) North Stanly (bye)

(11) Manteo  at (6) East Carteret

(2) Holmes (bye)

(10) South Stanly  at (7) Lakewood

 

1AA West

 

(1) Murphy (bye)

(9) Bessemer City at (8) Swain

(4) North Rowan (bye)

(12) Pine Lake Prep at (5) East Wilkes

(3) East Surry (bye)

(11) Highland at (6) Cherryville

(2) Mount Airy (bye)

(10) Starmount at (7) Polk

 

Last four teams in the 1A/1AA playoffs:  Community School of Davidson, North Edgecombe, Albemarle, West Columbus

Last four teams out of the 1A/1AA playoffs:  Winston-Salem Prep, West Montgomery, East Columbus, Hayesville

 

2A East

 

(16) Hertford County at (1) Northeastern

(9) Whiteville at (8) Clinton

(12) First Flight at (5) Wallace-Rose Hill

(13) Goldsboro at (4) SouthWest Edgecombe

(14) James Kenan at (3) Kinston

(11) Beddingfield at (6) East Bladen

(10) Ayden-Grifton at (7) Bertie

(15) Greene Central at (2) Southwest Onslow

 

2A West

 

(16) Trinity at (1) Reidsville

(9) Salisbury at (8) Carrboro

(12) Brevard at (5) East Rutherford

(13) Owen at (4) Mountain Heritage

(14) West Stanly at (3) South Columbus

(11) Wheatmore at (6) Eastern Randolph

(10) Red Springs at (7) West Lincoln

(15) North Wilkes at (2) Hendersonville

 

2AA East

 

(16) Currituck at (1) North Davidson

(9) Nash Central at (8) Washington

(12) Richlands at (5) Anson

(13) Saint Pauls at (4) South Granville

(14) West Craven at (3) Randleman

(11) Bunn at (6) West Stokes

(10) Forest Hills at (7) Ledford

(15) T.W. Andrews at (2) East Duplin

 

2AA West

 

(16) East Henderson at (1) Hibriten

(9) Bandys at (8) Smoky Mountain

(12) Newton-Conover at (5) Pisgah

(13) Mount Pleasant at (4) Ashe County

(14) East Lincoln at (3) Maiden

(11) Franklin at (6) Patton

(10) Shelby  at (7) North Surry

(15) West Iredell at (2) South Point

 

Last Four 2A/2AA teams in the playoffs:  Hertford County, Trinity, West Iredell, East Henderson

Last Four 2A/2AA teams out of the playoffs:  R-S Central, Lexington, North Lincoln, Lincolnton

Daniel Burleson Posts:38 Freshman Member Freshman Member
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09/10/2018 3:30 PM 0
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I think Gates County could get a higher seed than an 8, maybe a 5 or 6. Looking at their schedule, they'll be favored in everyone of those games, except for Edenton Holmes. They could be 9-1 when the playoffs start.
CarolinaVarisity NENC Corespondent
Jim West Posts:2029
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09/10/2018 4:40 PM 0
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Daniel, it’s definitely possible. Tarboro, Holmes, Princeton (or Lakewood if they beat Princeton in conference), and Granville Central will get the first four seeds.

It’s 50/50 at best that North Stanly goes east and probably a little better that North Stanly wins their conference. If I had to guess, North Stanly will end up west.

East Carteret will win the 1A portion of the 1A/2A Coastal Eight and should have a winning record (must have a winning record to be seeded with conference champions). As such they will get the 5 seed.

If I had to guess, Gates County will end up with a 6 or 7 seed should they finish with only one loss. Their competition for the 6 seed would be the loser of the Princeton-Lakewood game. Another fly in the ointment is if Riverside finishes 2nd in their conference. The 2nd place teams are seeded by MaxPreps rankings with an emphasis on SOS.
Murphy1981 Posts:1 Middle School Middle School
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09/14/2018 1:55 PM 1
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Murphy's enrollment is around 480 this year. Most likely will be 1A

allenjd4life Posts:192 Sophomore Member Sophomore Member
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09/15/2018 1:09 AM 0
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I wouldn't be surprised smoky mtn finishes 1st or 2nd in their conference I know Pisgah got blown out by Tennessee power Greenville but them struggling with tuscola has me thinking they might no be world beaters. And I was not impressed with Hendersonville at all giving up 56 points to an average burns team. Smokey blew out Swain and are undefeated if they can smoke tuscola we have might have over looked the mustangs. Hopefully judd can help spread some word to influence my vote
Jim West Posts:2029
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09/15/2018 4:38 PM 0
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Posted By Murphy1981 on 09/14/2018 1:55 PM

Murphy's enrollment is around 480 this year. Most likely will be 1A




Thanks for the info. Murphy would be a tough out if they go 1A or 1AA.
Jim West Posts:2029
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09/15/2018 4:44 PM 0
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Posted By allenjd4life on 09/15/2018 1:09 AM
I wouldn't be surprised smoky mtn finishes 1st or 2nd in their conference I know Pisgah got blown out by Tennessee power Greenville but them struggling with tuscola has me thinking they might no be world beaters. And I was not impressed with Hendersonville at all giving up 56 points to an average burns team. Smokey blew out Swain and are undefeated if they can smoke tuscola we have might have over looked the mustangs. Hopefully judd can help spread some word to influence my vote


Smoky Mountain has defeated 3 1A schools and sqeaked by a game against North Buncombe. In other words I am not surprised they are undefeated.
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